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abcs
Group 3 Class


Joined: 05 Mar 2008
Posts: 88

PostPosted: Tue Apr 15, 2008 8:30 pm    Post subject: Heritage..

My bets last week were pretty solid minus the Tiger to win. Would have pushed on the Watson bet if he didnt call a 2 shot penalty on himself in the final round. Fading Els was too easy.. Win
This week I absolutely love Stewart Cink.. also think Davis Love might surprise some people. Still no matchups available at 5 dimes right now though. Mad
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mattpjl
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Joined: 21 Mar 2005
Posts: 2175
Location: Hove

PostPosted: Tue Apr 15, 2008 11:54 pm    Post subject:

Yeah Cink played really well in the Masters so if can re-produce that form he looks a sound each-way bet.
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abcs
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Joined: 05 Mar 2008
Posts: 88

PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 12:42 am    Post subject:

Matt also like Brandt Snedeker a lot this week. He is a streaky golfer, when he gets hot he stays hot for a while. go to asapsports.com and read his comments about this week.

My plays
Kyle Thompson over Nick Flannagan
Warren over McNeil
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abcs
Group 3 Class


Joined: 05 Mar 2008
Posts: 88

PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 3:18 am    Post subject:

Kyle Thompson -125 over Nick Flannagan

KYLE THOMPSON: This is an event I've been looking forward to all year, playing in front of a lot of my friends and family. It's always great to come back to your home state
but I'm been working a lot with my coach, Puggy Blackmon, but we worked a lot this year and started to really play a lot better. I finished 15th in Puerto Rico, should have Top Tenned, but kind of made some mistakes on Sunday.
And then the following week I didn't get into New Orleans so I went and played in Lafayette and finished 2nd there. I feel like I've got some confidence and some momentum, and we'll see where it gets me.
It's up there as far as my favorite courses we've played this year. I'm really excited to play here this week.



Its always risky betting on a below average golfer, but he went to school at south carolina well see..Be Careful on this one.

Charles Warren -115 over George McNeil
Warren is a clemson grad. Hes played the course a few times. McNeil has never played here, is a long driver but not very accurate and had to wd last time out because of a shoulder injury

Rod Pampling -115 over David Toms
Carl Petterson -120 over Niclas Fasth
Bill Haas -130 over Parker McLachin
Brian Bateman -103 over Jeff Overton
Carl Pettersson -120 over Niclas Fasth

Unlucky
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healm
Group 3 Class


Joined: 05 Feb 2008
Posts: 51

PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 10:17 am    Post subject:

Gotta agree that Cink looks good this wk. Especially as he always mentions his ability to play well in events after the Majors.
But when I see Cink at 16/1 I don´t see value so I skip him.

I´m in the "longshot-mood" and therefore I try Lickliter II @ 400 BF.
No nice stats in this event apart from a t17 in -06. But when he gets hot he gets really hot and he´s worth a punt when at 400!
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gecko6
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Joined: 20 Oct 2006
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 10:30 am    Post subject:

this week throws up a few obvious names for me - the course is tight and for a change will reward shorter hitters who scramble well rather than the blast-it-miles merchants - accuracy is key so worth checking the stats for this week's tips I think...

stuart CINK > in good form, played well last wk without ever really threatening to win... has solid form this season (4 top 3s) and his stats are good for GIR so could be the week for him to step up and win this event for the 3rd time > a popular pick this week as he is currently 16/1 joint fave

davis LOVE > won this event 5 times so you cannot afford to ignore him, also has started to show signs of a revival in his form recently so could be worth playing at longer odds... currently 94 on Betfair..

boo WEEKLEY > defending champ (4 rounds in the 60s last yr, held off els) and in good form recently..managed 3 top 10s in 11 events this season... priced at 40/1 which isn't huge value but he may feature

zach JOHNSON > 6th here last yr and played well at Augusta last wk, hasn't missed a cut this yr and going well.. has only one top10 however.. accurate off the tee so should be worth backing @ 28/1 as that seems a bit high for someone so capable

few others worth a mention > justin ROSE had a week to forget after a great opening round at Augusta, may be worth an interest as has good stats for scrambling etc... 25/1 best

bart BRYANT likewise has good stats for scrambling, is available at 33/1 and has started to hit form recently > looking a bit deper into the stats, he is good on accuracy, putting and GIr, which obviously leads to a decent all-round ranking of 7th... has made top 25 5 times in 8 events,missed just one cut.. all looking promising for one of the less obvious names on tour... came 13th and 21st in 2 of last 3 here so has some course form...

joe DURANT is an outsider to watch - his stats are superb for accuracy and GIR etc... but his putting is relatively awful... 229 on Betfair appeals if he can manage to sink a few or chip in! his price reflects his ability on the greens but if his putter warms up then he could easily shoot some decent scores... tied 6th at the Buick this recently

one of those weeks where you could pick any number of players to feature... could be a cracking event... I'll settle for BRYANT as my pick this week... with CINK, JOHNSON and ROSE in the places... DURANT as a big-priced outsider

good luck to all
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badcompany
Group 3 Class


Joined: 05 Jan 2007
Posts: 51

PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 11:57 am    Post subject:

Got to agree with Stuart Cink as he has been playing well and maybe at 16/1 its best backing him Each Way so you win even if he finishes 5th.

As for Justin Rose I am afraid I have no confidence in backing young Master Rose at the moment.

Bo Weekly has been finding his touch over his last few rounds and might be worth an Each Way bet but for me I will back Cink and Weekly Each Way.

Good Luck all 1st
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beng986
Listed Class


Joined: 09 May 2007
Posts: 36

PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 12:19 pm    Post subject:

bart bryant has been scoring some low scoring rounds lately. The course doesn't suit the big hitters but those who have better accuracy. His stats are good for driving accuracy and GIR.
Brandt Snedeker is the other one that could do well. scoring some low and consistent scores of late. tied third at the masters last week. a player who has average stats but is able to finish well in the standings. Final round can be a little worse than the earlier rounds (only just though). however this tend to fine as this at this tournement strong opening rounds tend to do well. a score of about 70 tends to safice.

Bart Bryant 28/1 e/w
Brandt Snedeker 33/1 e/w
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welshie1
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Joined: 31 Aug 2007
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 5:58 pm    Post subject:

agree with the general opinion here my pick is Cink @ 17

Cink did very well in the Masters where he finished a tied 3rd, his fourth top 3 finish of 2008. He has been knocking the door recently and it will only be a matter of time before he wins an event and it could well be this one as he has won this Tournament twice in his career. He has no Tiger Woods to face this week and he will be very focused after that good showing in Augusta.
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lesh37
Group 3 Class


Joined: 01 Nov 2007
Posts: 79

PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 6:24 pm    Post subject:

Bart Bryant for me this week lads, scoring well recently and may just offer some value at 33's.

Good luck to all. Fingers Crossed
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abcs
Group 3 Class


Joined: 05 Mar 2008
Posts: 88

PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 6:51 pm    Post subject:

There are a couple courses that are real similar here. Look out for guys like Jose Coceres. Guys who play well at the Honda Classic play well here.. go back and compare the last few leaderboards.

Also wouldnt back anyone who has never played here before. The Australians have a nice history here.
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abcs
Group 3 Class


Joined: 05 Mar 2008
Posts: 88

PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 7:15 pm    Post subject:

Lets go with Dustin Johnson also..250/1 is sick odds
Give me a break

JOAN vT ALEXANDER: We'd like to thank Dustin Johnson for joining us for a few minutes here in the media center at the Verizon Heritage. Local boy who grew up in Columbia, South Carolina. I'm sure you have lots of family and friends here. But you've had a great start to your year, started out with the top 10 at Sony, top 12 the next week. So you've had a good start to your rookie year. Talk about being a rookie and then also touch on being close to home.
DUSTIN JOHNSON: Being a rookie is a lot different, because you're learning stuff. It's hard to schedule, especially -- I got lucky, because I got to play right out the gate, since I played well. It was nice. Playing well, obviously I got -- my Q-School number is good, so I could enter the tournaments, which was nice.
JOAN vT ALEXANDER: Talk about being close to Columbia and being here at the Heritage.
DUSTIN JOHNSON: It's nice being close to home, because all my family and friends get to come out and watch. And it's really the first tournament I've had a chance at it. My mom came down to Orlando, but that's the only one we've really had close enough where my family and friends could come out. I'm looking forward to it. It's going to be a fun week.

Q. Do you feel any more pressure here this week, because of it being so close to home or is it just another tournament?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: No, I mean it's actually going to be more fun, I think, because I'll have probably a pretty big crowd following me around, so it will be nice. It makes it a lot more fun when you've got a lot of people watching.
So I don't think it will be any more pressure. I'm used to playing in front of them, so it's not a big deal.

Q. Who are some of the people that are coming down? Can you go through any former teammates?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: I don't think the team is going to be able to come down. They've got conference next week, so they're not going to make it. But my mom, my dad, my grandma, grandpa, brother, sister, they're all coming, uncles, aunts and grandparents. I mean, I don't know, there's a pretty long list of family coming down. And then I've got a bunch of friends coming, too.

Q. From where, Myrtle Beach or Columbia?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: Friends from Myrtle Beach, Columbia, Charleston, they're all coming.

Q. You're going to have quite the following it sounds like out there?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: Yeah, we should.

Q. Are they all going to be color coordinated?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: I doubt it.

Q. What's the difference been between the first four or five weeks and the last four or five tournaments? Obviously you came out really hot and you've missed some cuts since. What's happened in that time?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: I played well the first four or five weeks, and I haven't really played bad, I don't think I've been doing the right things, like practice-wise. It's really tough playing all those times in a row. You've got to have some time off. I've never really had any time off. So it was real tough. And I just fell into a lot of bad habits.
So the last week I've just been really practicing hard and getting in the gym a lot. So I'm looking forward to this week and I'm pretty confident in my game right now.

Q. When you say "bad habits," swing bad habits? You said practice habits.
DUSTIN JOHNSON: Yeah, you kind of lose -- it's tough for me to explain. My coach could tell you a lot more. Just not having a break, and playing a bunch, like just your basic fundamentals, you know, with your swing, set-up, posture and just stuff. Also I lost a lot of confidence in my putter, which I'm just not practicing right. I switched putters a few times this year. So I'm getting back to where I'm going to stick with one. I've been putting pretty good lately, so I'm excited.

Q. Which one are you sticking with?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: The Spider.

Q. Is it something you used in the past or did you use it before?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: I used it at Buick, that's it. So I just started putting with it last week.

Q. Can you talk about your past experiences of this course in particular, and being from South Carolina, maybe where this course ranks in your favorites in the state?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: It would probably be one of any top two favorites in the state, this one and then obviously there's another course I really like.
I've only played here a couple of times. I played a long time ago, when I was 11 or 12 was the last time I played it. I played it and we had a junior tournament here. I think I won the tournament. Good memories, I guess. What I remember of it.

Q. So you don't really have that much of a recollection of the course and how to play it or any of that?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: No, I couldn't. Coming in yesterday I couldn't have told you what one hole looked like, except for 18. And then, you know, once I got on the course I remembered them. But before I got out there I couldn't remember much. It was a long time ago when I played.

Q. And this course, it's a shorter placement course, and you're obviously a long hitter. Did you feel comfortable here? Do you think you have to adapt your game to it or are you comfortable playing it?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: No, I'm comfortable. Actually it works out well for me, I can hit a lot of 2-irons off the tees, which is strong for me. The tree line is really narrow. I like that. Even though I hit it long, I'm not a big fan of wide-open golf courses, because I hit it everywhere. So you have nothing to aim at.
But I like the golf course. I think it's in great condition. And I think it suits my game pretty well, small greens. It's a great little track.

Q. Being from South Carolina, do you have a lot of folks here this week, family, that sort of thing?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: Yeah, I do. I have a bunch of family and friends. Maybe a hundred. I've got a bunch.

Q. Would it be more important to you to get your first win somewhere so close to home?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: Sure. It doesn't matter where I get my first win, it will still be very important. It doesn't matter if it's this week or at the end of the year. Obviously I'd like to get it here in front of my family and friends, but a win is a win, and it's very important anywhere it happens.

Q. You mentioned playing a lot in a row and all that. For a couple of years you had a real extensive summer amateur. You flew all over the place, playing in different tournaments every week. Is it just the different atmosphere that's here, because you seemed to play a lot week after week?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: It's not necessarily playing all the time. But I had to get used to, I'm traveling by myself. The only schedule I'm on is mine.
At the beginning of the year I was a lot more disciplined than I was, say, the last few weeks. So I just needed to get back on -- get organized and actually have a schedule, playing golf for the whole week. It didn't work out so well. Because a few weeks where I missed a few cuts, I just wasn't very organized and my priorities weren't great.

Q. So what is your schedule this week? You have one pretty well laid out for this week?
DUSTIN JOHNSON: Well, I just got my tee times. I'll find the time to get to the gym for at least an hour every day. So tomorrow morning, I'll go to the gym tomorrow afternoon, after I've played, then I'll practice and then I'll go to the gym. And then actually, on Friday morning, I'll work out before I go play. It's easier to schedule Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, than it is during the tournament, because you don't exactly know what the tee times are. As long as I stay focused and stay on schedule at the beginning of the week, the rest of the week will work out.
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