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Open de Espana
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kerrsie
Handicapper


Joined: 18 Jan 2008
Posts: 12

PostPosted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 9:29 am    Post subject: Open de Espana

Hey all, was a bit off the mark with Mark Brown last week (no pun intended) but am raring to go again this week. Thinkin of havin a cheeky e/w punt on Miles Tunnicliff and Fernando Gonzalez Castano Confused

Lookin for a nice return to start a small betting bank, save me dippin into my wages each week for bets.

Who do you all like for this week?
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danza invisible
2yo


Joined: 23 Apr 2008
Posts: 3

PostPosted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 10:48 pm    Post subject:

hello to every one ,this is my fist post i am abig golf fan . ihave had some very juicy winners over the last few months or so andres romero 125/1 immelman 66/1 to name but two. hoping to share with others on this site, so here goes . espana alejandra canizares to me look, very good value 50/1 . also i believe there is bet to be had in the nationwide tour greg owen 18/1 ; and an e/w arjan atwell 28/1 i think. all Stan James.




tanks.tony
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gecko6
At Stud

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Joined: 20 Oct 2006
Posts: 3045

PostPosted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 11:23 pm    Post subject:

down to seville this week... nice looking course... apparently the rough is pretty thick so driving accuracy will be important... thus clarke, brown, forsyth, kjeldsen all perk up since they have played well recently

forsyth also has decent GIR stats along with home hope lara

would expect a decent showing from the home contingent so lara should feature and also jiminez who recently shot a cracking last round in the masters to end up in the top 10 after being a shot off the cut at halfway

fave is niclas fasth understandably and he looks a decent shout at 16/1, schwartzel has played well recently so as defending champ is worth watching also at 16/1...prefer clarke as he may gain lot of confidence form last week..and 28/1 looks good for trading

dinwiddie and tunnicliff have both played well last few wks and prices of 90 and 66 respectively look interesting

very open event basically... I want to back FORSYTH but worried that his average putting will let him down - I'm sure he will feature though and if he can putt well has a decent crack of taking this at 33/1 - lost playoff in portugal few wks ago and won 2 wks before that so hoping he may still be in good form

jose manuel LARA is probably the best home hope as often plays well in Spain - is in decent form and missed winning this by a shot 2 yrs ago - stats are good and has rested the last fortnight.. was top 10 in portugal a month ago - his price is already in to 40/1 so I'll back him this week at that as I think it should be half that; only doubt is his average form prior to that

FASTH is a class act and should feature, won here 2 yrs back...but will pass on him and look at CLARKE hoping he can stay hot (due to his driving accuracy) and also look at DINWIDDIE who's price looks too high - definitely worth trading

LORENZO-VERA is interesting too as seems to be in good form..50/1 aint bad for him...

from all these..I'll back LARA, FORSYTH and DINWIDDIE probably...with possible interest in CLARKE and JIMINEZ

good luck all
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swashbuckler
Group 1 Class


Joined: 19 Mar 2007
Posts: 366

PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2008 12:29 am    Post subject:

hi gecko
just wrote a long post for here and,,,,,logged off Mad
anyway i have always punted on golf but have never posted any opinions here as i usually do match bets or group betting and usually back outright in-running.i always look in on these pages for some helpful information. i fancy 2 match bets in ;this tournament;
j.lara 10/11 [ v montgomerie] Ladbrokes
peter lawrie 4/5 [ v r.finch ] Paddy Power
i don`t think montgomerie will be 100 % for this and think he could be a bit rusty as he only got married a few weeks ago. i actually think he could miss the cut here,,and collect his appearance monies Cheeky
r. finch had a bad final 2 rounds last week and i think peter lawrie could challenge for a european title this year and seeing his compatriot d.mcgrane win a couple of weeks ago i would imagine that will help his confidence and belief to believe he can go on to better things
so i think peter lawrie as a longshot ,
and if g.f. castano can improve his putting a bit he would be my number 1 bet. Win
anyone backing c.schwartzel outright should beware that it is 50 years since a player defended their title in this tournament.
be lucky Win
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richardmcfc
Group 1 Class


Joined: 09 May 2007
Posts: 397

PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2008 2:29 pm    Post subject:

I very very rarely back any favourite in golf, but N Fasth really stands out for me at 17/1 with some firms. A class golfer as proven in recent events including Majors and returns to the tour this week. He is a past winner and can do it again.
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gecko6
At Stud

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Joined: 20 Oct 2006
Posts: 3045

PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2008 1:35 pm    Post subject:

well... a couple of blowouts for me but LARA and JIMINEZ both tied 4th which is good...

although Garrido has stormed clear by shooting 66, 63 Shocked
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swashbuckler
Group 1 Class


Joined: 19 Mar 2007
Posts: 366

PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2008 4:00 pm    Post subject:

just seen c.rodiles is now -9 and 16/1 in Paddy Power[ each-way1/4 1,2,3 ] i think that could be a good bet.some other great prices for e.w backers. jimenez 14/1 lara 20/1 noren 33/1 derksen 40/1 lawrie 45/1.
there is bound to be a winning e.w bet in there [ if not the winner ]
derksen is making a move too, he is on -5 atm only 6 behind 2nd place and 3 behind 3rd.
where is my monies when i need them Laughing
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swashbuckler
Group 1 Class


Joined: 19 Mar 2007
Posts: 366

PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2008 4:17 pm    Post subject:

my maths was not so good Embarassed
derksen is 4 shots behind 3rd
9-5= 4
school report; must do better Very Happy
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lesh37
Group 3 Class


Joined: 01 Nov 2007
Posts: 76

PostPosted: Sat May 03, 2008 11:46 pm    Post subject:

Hi lads,

Forgot to put my selection for the weekend up earlier this week, went for Jiminez, seemed to be coming into form recently, hope he can reel Garrido in tommorrow.

Good luck to all.
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swashbuckler
Group 1 Class


Joined: 19 Mar 2007
Posts: 366

PostPosted: Sun May 04, 2008 12:12 am    Post subject:

hi lesh
i think jimenez will reel in garrido and s. hansen will be in the mix also me thinks Smile but credit to garrido,he is still hanging in there, i just don`t see him staying there Win
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gecko6
At Stud

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Joined: 20 Oct 2006
Posts: 3045

PostPosted: Sun May 04, 2008 12:47 pm    Post subject:

final round just started and jiminez already fave on b/f ahead of garrido... just 2 shots behind and as Ive backed jiminez and laid garrido, it's looking good...

lara +2 after 6 so he won't be making a run at it..fasth -7 today is impressive but a bit late I'm afraid

peter lawrie at 28 on Betfair might be a decent punt as if he can get a score going he isnt that far back...
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gecko6
At Stud

Read My Blog!

Joined: 20 Oct 2006
Posts: 3045

PostPosted: Sun May 04, 2008 3:43 pm    Post subject:

lawrie steaming along now... just traded below evens which was good for laying off Laughing
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