Davis Cup Quarters

skybluesam · Group 2 Class Joined: 17 Oct 2006 Posts: 102

OK guys, we're back up and running again after a well earned few days off.

Russia v Czech Republic

Well the first thing to mention has to be the surprise team selections the Russians have made. Safin and Andreev will play singles on the opening day despite the presence of Davydenko and Youzhny in the side. Safin faces Berdych and Andreev will play Stepanek.

Berdych, despite worries about his mental fragility actually has a very good Davis Cup record at 15-4 and is at home on red clay. Safin has only won one match this year and as far as I'm concerned will have to prove himself again before I can trust him to win a match like this. I actually think the 1.52 on Berdych is too big here, if he plays anything like he did last week it will be very hard for Safin to stop him.

4pts on Berdych to win at 1.52

Andreev is very good on clay and played well enough last week to make him favourite for this. The second match is a no bet for me, but I will be looking to back Russia after the first match if Berdych wins. They always have the option to bring in Davydenko on the final day if necessary.

Argentina v Sweden

Argentina have an incredible home record in the Davis Cup and will prove way too strong for the Swedes here over the course of the weekend. The only interest I will be taking in this tie for now will be on Acasuso at 1.5 to beat Soderling who retired ill from the Miami Masters last week. I believe Acasuso is the better player on a clay court, has a decent winning record in Davis Cup and has the home crowd behind him.

3 pts on Acasuso to win at 1.5

Germany v Spain

Rafael Nadal makes a rare Davis Cup appearance here and his presence should be enough to take the Spaniards through. He looked in a different league to Kiefer in Miami and should be good for 2 wins here. Lopez/Verdasco are a reliable and experienced doubles pairing, but may struggle against Kohlschreibre/Petzschner on an indoor court.

David Ferrer, though, appears to be in dreadful form so at around 1.3, they are plenty short enough. I'll be taking an interest in the Germans at 3.95 and in Kohlschreiber at around evens to beat Ferrer on opening day. Kohl should excel on an indoor court and Ferrer will have to improve considerably on his performances of the last few weeks to trouble him.

1pt on Germany to win the tie at 3.95
2pts on Kohlschreiber to win at 2.02

USA v France

The withdrawal of Gasquet and Tsonga has all but turned this into a non event imho. The Bryans are almost certain to take the doubles and Roddick/Blake both have fantastic Davis Cup records and these fast courts will suit them down to the ground. For now, I'll hold off and say no bet on this tie.

Recap:

4pts Berdych @ 1.52
3pts Acasuso @ 1.5
1pt Germany @ 3.95
2pts Kohlschreiber @ 2.02

Good luck all

penypicker · Group 2 Class Joined: 05 Nov 2007 Posts: 188

Are the ties all to be played over the following days? Sporting bet has the match ties to be played next december O_o

thetitan · At Stud Joined: 25 Apr 2007 Posts: 2964

agree with acasuso, looks a cracking shout Fingers Crossed

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Shockjock · Group 1 Class Joined: 02 Feb 2007 Posts: 362

I'm all for first time records but not when it crushes my main bet, Safin 0-2 and comes back to win 3-2 for the first time in his career.

deco121 · Posted: Fri Apr 11, 2008 2:33 pm Post subject:

just saw that result now - what a comeback! Shocked

Had a few quid on Berdych @ 1.45 this morning and after the first two sets he hit 1.07 so I traded out and went off out - thank god for the exchanges these days. Phew

Hard luck with that one Shockjock Crying or Very sad

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Racing tips in 2007 = +201.04 (LSP)
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Shockjock · Group 1 Class Joined: 02 Feb 2007 Posts: 362

Nice call on your trading Deco, you live and learn with your betting and I will have to make an attempt at trading on Betfair! Something I have never got involved in but results like that show the benefit.

thetitan · At Stud Joined: 25 Apr 2007 Posts: 2964

what the hell happened to acasuso?

winning only 5 games in the whole match, at home, on his favourite surface?! Confused

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princefaz · Handicapper Joined: 18 Feb 2008 Posts: 12

Guys i really think the davis cup is really unpredictable its like the lottery honestly. You dont know how committed guys are their country these days.

penypicker · Group 2 Class Joined: 05 Nov 2007 Posts: 188

Blake winnin after looking like the game was gone was golden

princefaz · Handicapper Joined: 18 Feb 2008 Posts: 12

yeah! At one particular stage Blake was 16/1!

murrayfield · Classic Winner Joined: 07 Nov 2006 Posts: 719

Andreev, Acasuso, Berdych from the fifth set onwards, Mathieu from match point onwards- had shockers! Davis cup is predicatably unpredictable. Erm an early shout out to titan, watch out for blake v nishikori 2, might get some early value

penypicker · Group 2 Class Joined: 05 Nov 2007 Posts: 188

Brayns lost O_O