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RE: Monte Carlo Masters
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mathewjamie17
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Joined: 29 Mar 2007
Posts: 258
Location: Bradford

PostPosted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 10:36 pm    Post subject:

Well a shock final then Nadal v Federer,Nadal 2/5 Fed 2/1 im not too sure where to go with this one to be honest.
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betking
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Joined: 26 Feb 2007
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Location: Finding new Fantasy Football competitions

PostPosted: Sun Apr 27, 2008 12:00 am    Post subject:

Im tempted to say Federer to win, and Nadal to return the favour at Roland Garros, but I'm not convinced. Think laying Nadal 2-0 may be the way to go, I can see Fed taking a set at worst Confused
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thetitan
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 27, 2008 10:32 am    Post subject:

such a tough one to call, haven't been this flummoxed about a bet in a while.

have been tempted to say 'no bet' but i'm sure there's some good value in here.

the stats say that 1.5 on nadal is probably far too high - something ridiculous like 100-3 record in his last 100-odd matches on clay.

but you can't help but get the feeling that federer is being under-rated at the moment, his comeback against ramirez hidalgo was the stuff of champions, yet he's been odds-against for his matches against nalbandian, djoko and now 2/1+ against nadal! Shocked

i think that the 2-0 nadal Lay is pretty good value considering federer's form, and that 2-1 federer is probably the most likely result. I'm tempted to have a small dabble @ 5/1+ as it's highly unlikely for him to win in 2. Then again, Nadal was blown away in his last final in 2 sets, against Davydenko. Confused

hmmmm....decisions, decisions!

I think I'll have a 2-0 nadal Lay as cover for an outright bet on federer, will look for 3/1+ in-play.

Good luck, should be awesome to watch Fingers Crossed
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