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Kamizu
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Kamizu
Group 2 Class
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Joined: 06 Nov 2007
Posts: 124
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 Posted: Sun Jun 15, 2008 10:31 pm Post subject: |
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(16/06 10:00) Gilles Simon vs Donald Young : Gilles Simon Win @ 1.83
Donald Young was one of the best in Boys grass court tennis players. Now he need demonstrate what he may be same good in adult ATP tour grass tourneys. I dont think he can win over Gilles Simon there. Simon in good shape now and have non-comparable much more grass matches for defeat young talant. Bet on Simon, think like its value.
(16/06 12:00) Simone Bolelli vs Julien Benneteau : Simone Bolelli Win @ 2.00
Bolelli do big progress in rankings in this year, still young and have good all season. Leads H2H 1-0. Have better grass stats. Julien Benneteau must be overprices because his great game with home crowd supports on Roland Gaross, but didnt think its must have weight in this match. Good value for Bolelli.
(16/06 10:00) Dudi Sela vs Andreas Seppi : Andreas Seppi Win @ 1.40
Seppi Andreas have good all season now. H2H 1-1, but seppi win match in this year. Seppi fitness better. Better grass court stats:
matches: 29
won: 18
percentage: 62.1 %
Sela Dudi grass court stats awful, one only win over Vico Uros (264):
matches: 6
won: 1
percentage: 16.7 %
(16/06 10:00) Radek Stepanek vs John Isner : Radek Stepanek Win @ 1.50
I dont think John Isner can jump over his head in this match, he not ready win over hi-ranking player like Stepanek on the grass there played just 3 matches. Stepanek solid and strong player, he have good season and have consistant results on grass:
matches: 41
won: 25
percentage: 61 %
Good value bet.
(16/06 13:30) Marin Cilic vs Paul Henri Mathieu : Paul-Henri Mathieu Win @ 1.67
Paul Henri Mathieu leads H2H 3-0. Last win on this week in London.
Marin Cilic still not good enough on grass, and such recent lose to Mathieu must be tough for him for win in this match, he must be depressed for this unlucky draw he have.
Bet on Paul Henri Mathieu to win.
(16/06 10:00) Dmitry Tursunov vs Yen Hsun Lu : Dmitry Tursunov Win @ 1.29
Tursunov leads H2H 2-0 on hard surface in straight sets. His results on grass much more better. Tursunov may be very stong if he have good motivation, and he not like lose to low ranking opponents, must win this match.
(16/06 10:00) Juan Martin Del Potro vs Fabrice Santoro : Juan Martin Del Potro Win @ 2.00
Santoro 35 yr old tricky magician, but without good wins on grass in last years, and with unstable season.
Juan Martin Del Potro young 19yr old argentinian who play not bad on grass for his rank.
height: 195 cm
weight: 78 kg
matches: 233
won: 151
percentage: 64.8 %
pretty good for have chances to win in this match, if he not fall for Santoro magic of course  .
(16/06 10:00) Olivier Rochus vs Richard Gasquet : Richard Gasquet Win @ 1.20
Must be easy win for Richard Gasquet there, he not such bad on grass for lose to Rochus. He was good in London on this Week, win over Bolelli and Ancic.
(16/06 10:00) Olivier Rochus vs Richard Gasquet : Richard Gasquet to win 2 - 0 Win @ 1.44
Leads H2H 2-1. Both wins was easy in straight sets |
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thetitan
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Joined: 25 Apr 2007
Posts: 2965
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| Posted: Sun Jun 15, 2008 11:12 pm Post subject: |
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nice write-ups kamizu 
am inclined to agree with all of them, except I reckon I might leave Bolelli and del Potro matches, which I reckon are both 50/50 (and thus priced correctly!)
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Gini80
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Joined: 26 May 2008
Posts: 46
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| Posted: Mon Jun 16, 2008 8:56 am Post subject: |
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Vliegen - Granollers 45% 3.60(-commission, Betfair)
I think spaniard has had much better season than Kristof and recently Granollers has win matches unlike Vligen who has lost three games in a row (Gulbis, Montanes, Acasuso). Vliegen is a decent grass court player, but IMO likes clay better. On the other hand we donīt have much information how Granollers play on grass and in Netherland crowd might help belgian a bit. Nevertheless 3.6 is a very good price.
Edit: Head to head 0-1 Granollers. (2008 ATP Masters Series Hamburg, Clay) |
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manafana
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Joined: 09 Apr 2005
Posts: 3866
Location: Galway, Ireland
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| Posted: Mon Jun 16, 2008 10:08 am Post subject: |
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missed the 1/5 about gasquet last night and hes not 1/7 so think il leave it, just one for earlier matches.
11:15 Denis Gremelmayr vs Viktor Troicki
Denis Gremelmayr (To Win Match) @ 3
I think Denis has been under rated here yes hes not much of a grass courter but thats because he hasnt played it, tricki has played little of it too and if anything looks best on clay so worth taking the 2/1 about grememayr here who i think is bit better a player anyway.
11:30 Benjamin Becker vs Arnaud Clement
Benjamin Becker (To Win Match) @ 1.61
Played well last week getting past first round and then taking blake to 3 sets. clemnet has just had a rubbish season and is moving down the rankings at an alarming rate and this is a match becker should win.
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skybluesam
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Joined: 17 Oct 2006
Posts: 102
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| Posted: Tue Jun 17, 2008 11:55 am Post subject: |
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Gasquet just lost to Gicquel. I knew I should have stuck with the "oppose the Gasmug at all costs" approach
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Kamizu
Group 2 Class
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Joined: 06 Nov 2007
Posts: 124
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| Posted: Tue Jun 17, 2008 3:59 pm Post subject: |
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Strange for Gasquet. He have problems with health?
(18/06 10:00) Ivo Karlovic vs Sam Querrey : Sam Querrey Win @ 3.50
H2H 2-0 for Sam Querrey. Not have good expirience on grass, bug he do big progress and still young. His physics very good for play on grass and he have good chances in this match. |
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thetitan
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Joined: 25 Apr 2007
Posts: 2965
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| Posted: Tue Jun 17, 2008 7:12 pm Post subject: |
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a set up, Gicquel was 2.2 to beat Gasquet at the start of the 2nd set tie-break - some of the best value I've seen in a while. Worth keeping in mind, seems like the market has too much faith in gasquet!
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Gini80
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Joined: 26 May 2008
Posts: 46
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| Posted: Wed Jun 18, 2008 8:40 am Post subject: |
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Canas 80% 1.41 (-commision, Betfair) v Bopanna
Bopanna has only played three single matches before Ordina in Hopman cup and lost them all (Berdych, Fish, Luczak). Canas has had a satisfying season so far. He prefers clay, but plays pretty good on faster courts as well. 80-20 for argentinian. |
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Gini80
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Joined: 26 May 2008
Posts: 46
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| Posted: Wed Jun 18, 2008 9:41 am Post subject: |
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Clement v Granollers 46% 3.55 (-commision, Betfair)
Clement is good grass court player, but he has had a very poor season and thatīs why I think Granollers 3.55 is very good price. To be honest Iīd be surprised if we can see Clement on 3rd round in any remaining tournaments this year. |
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thetitan
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| Posted: Wed Jun 18, 2008 10:03 am Post subject: |
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I like Granollers to beat Clement, seems a very decent price. 
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manafana
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Location: Galway, Ireland
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