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England V Tonga - First Stoppage
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johnnyfp
Group 2 Class


Joined: 26 Jun 2007
Posts: 207

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 10:05 pm    Post subject: England V Tonga - First Stoppage

Just scanning the odds on the game and think I have spotted a bit of value on Ladbrokes

Penalty 1/2
Lineout 4/1
Try 14/1
Scrum 4/1
Any Other 25/1

The pattern in most games is the team receiving the kick off punt the ball back towards the touchline for a lineout. So 4/1 looks a decent price.

If the team fumble then the likely outcome is a scrum 4/1.

A little dabble on scrum and lineout could pay dividends.

If only I had topped up my account I would be backing this now.

Your thoughts please.
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Betfairalfie
Stallion


Joined: 01 Mar 2005
Posts: 5044

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 10:26 pm    Post subject:

1st stoppage in last 3 England matches according to BBC "as it happened" webpages

Somoa Try
SA Penalty
USA lineout

Laddies are the only ones with this market Confused They also have first scoring play as do most bookies and exchanges.

PS - isn't "25/1 Any Other" just an incitement for Streakers Smile
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betking
At Stud

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Joined: 26 Feb 2007
Posts: 3926
Location: Listening to the voices in my head...

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 11:43 pm    Post subject:

I just posted in the other thread about this, 4/1 for a lineout seems a good price, and seems quite likely, worth a shot.
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mathewjamie17
Group 1 Class


Joined: 29 Mar 2007
Posts: 270
Location: Bradford

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 11:49 pm    Post subject:

Will be a punt on the Lineout at 4/1 as a few good tipsters on here have suggested this bet Win
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Betfairalfie
Stallion


Joined: 01 Mar 2005
Posts: 5044

PostPosted: Fri Sep 28, 2007 8:14 am    Post subject:

Well I hope you guys have it right and Ladbrokes have it wrong. It should make for an exciting first minute or so. I'll swerve it.

Wheres Mark Roberts these days www.thestreaker.org.uk ? Maybe he has had a nibble of the 25/1 for Any Other Laughing
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johnnyfp
Group 2 Class


Joined: 26 Jun 2007
Posts: 207

PostPosted: Fri Sep 28, 2007 10:16 pm    Post subject:

hope you got on - First Stoppage LIneout

1 min: Pierre Hola kicks off for Tonga, but England deal with it proficiently and Jonny Wilkinson finds a decent touch on halfway.
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Betfairalfie
Stallion


Joined: 01 Mar 2005
Posts: 5044

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 12:22 pm    Post subject:

Well done Win
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