South Africa v West Indies-1st Test

findfreelay · Group 3 Class Joined: 08 Dec 2007 Posts: 82

WI 190/3 at Tea.
SA odds around evens.
Draw shorten.Weather or anything else i don't know.But want to stick to SA.
My book is good green on SA and small red on other results.
May consider Lay Draw around evens if comes today.
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konark · 2yo Joined: 25 Dec 2006 Posts: 3

evening mates, I am pretty new to this but am reading your posts from the last couple of matches and it was really helpful to me. Just thought u guys would like to know that the ground is surrounded by quite a few clouds but they are empty, they wont spit no rain. cheers

findfreelay · Group 3 Class Joined: 08 Dec 2007 Posts: 82

It's raining now Crying or Very sad

oh weather.
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konark · 2yo Joined: 25 Dec 2006 Posts: 3

i dunn know, i checked all the weather sites & accuweather aswell and it said theres no rain. i guess titan ur rite bout the weather sites. they are never rite.

findfreelay · Group 3 Class Joined: 08 Dec 2007 Posts: 82

Evening Konark,
Sorry to miss previously.
Strange market imo but no doubt Draw around evens is to Lay.
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konark · 2yo Joined: 25 Dec 2006 Posts: 3

as u guys already know the match has started again. is it worth laying draw at this very moment?

thetitan · At Stud Read My Blog! Joined: 25 Apr 2007 Posts: 2795

welcome konark Smile

whereabouts are you mate? near the ground by any chance?

213/3, i'm thankfully green all around thanks to dip's call of laying SA pre-match.

Right now i'm equal green on WI and Draw, and slightly less on SA. Not really sure what to do now to be honest, this game is awfully boring!

draw is heading for odds-on by close of play unless we see a collapse. traditionally, this is a results pitch and SA are clearly a better side than Windies.

Right now I can't see a bet worth making although I'm leaning towards the draw Lay...but I think we can get better odds at close of play.

Still 4 days worth of cricket left, I think SA will also get a high score, WI pacers will struggle more than SA's.
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edmondsj · Group 3 Class Joined: 29 Dec 2006 Posts: 98

backed SA @ 2.42 around what time wednesday do you think ill have a chance of getting out?

thetitan · At Stud Read My Blog! Joined: 25 Apr 2007 Posts: 2795

depends whether they can bowl out WI cheaply or not, i think they have every chance of bowling them out for less than 375, but they'd need to get chanderpaul out quite early. if they dont get more than one wicket with the new ball, they'll drift big time.

i think you'll only be able to Lay off if they bowl WI out pretty quickly.
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fairfranco · At Stud Joined: 17 Nov 2005 Posts: 4065

hi guys,

first day i've started following and it looks like SA are starting to make the breakthrough.

layed the draw at 1.85 when i got up this morning seeing the position and the opportunity for quick movement.

a couple of wickets down and the draw is back over evens again and SA are back down to around 2.2 having earlier been at 3's, good value that one was but I didn't take it!

don't know what the weather's due to do but if SA can get Chanderpaul out I think the Windies won't last much longer.

thetitan · At Stud Read My Blog! Joined: 25 Apr 2007 Posts: 2795

Darren Sammy playing really well at the moment and Chanderpaul is still in so they're looking for 400+ as it stands.

Still, it's only day 2 so there's a lot of time left in the match. But the pitch looks pretty dead and I'd be surprised if SA didnt rack up 400-500. Draw will only keep coming in, unless there's a load of wickets.

SA's only chance of winning this is to look for an innings victory, or a chase of less than 100 in the 4th innings.

Thankfully I'm all green in this match, and for now, I'm putting most of it on the draw @ 1.8, although I'll Lay some off gradually. This game seems to be drifting, WI would be delighted with a draw, not sure what SA want because their body language is pretty poor, they havent had a player take the game by the scruff of the neck - I guess this shows what SA are like when Steyn isnt firing.
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

fairfranco · At Stud Joined: 17 Nov 2005 Posts: 4065

well i'd say at the moment the draw is priced a bit too low. Windies out for 408 and the South African openers have fallen early on.

with SA 50/2 with an hours play left for day 2 there's still plenty of time for the game to progress.

I think West Indies are a little over priced at 7.4 they showed in the first one dayer that they were capable of bowling the South African's out, albeit in a majorly reduced overs match. Maybe this West Indies side are on the up after some bad times in recent years including poor performances in both world cups and tests this year.

EDIT: 3rd wicket down, 53/3, Smith, Gibbs and Kallis now out.

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