Australia vs India - 4th Test @ Adelaide

[thetitan]

well done dioufy, tendulkar 153...a bit of a shame really, looked set for a lot more, then smashed an inside edge onto the inside of his knee and was out a couple of balls later.
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Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[fairfranco]

107 runs for the 8th wicket very costly for Australia. As for the 58 runs for the final wicket.

A great effort from the tail there, When Tendulkar went it could have easily ended with about 450 runs but some good work took them to a hug etotal.

I see a draw now, and wish i'd backed it after mentioning it early on. Australia won't mind the loss of 2 days for India's batting and will look to bat for a couple more themselves now giving a good chance of the draw and the series win.

The price of the draw is now 1.47 though and i've lost my chance. Both teams at around 6.

Really India should be favourites now as they have the score on the board and the opportunity to bowl Australia out for a much lower total than them if they can bowl well. saying that with no RP Singh they may struggle to get the wickets.

The pitch should deteriate over the final days but 15 wickets still need to fall so the draw odds are rightly low!

[thetitan]

Hmmm wanted a punt on 525+ as they were 7 down, but didnt think there was any value in 15/1!

Draw at 1.47 at the end of day 2...agree that it should be favourite but dont think that it justifies being 1.47. Of considerable interest is the history of third innings collapses at Adelaide in the recent past - Australia, West Indies and England have all collapsed in the third innings after posting huge first innings totals, and gone on to lose the game. So, while I still think that Australia won't win this, I've greened out most of my Aus Lay.

All the same, I think the draw will continue to plummet, even if Aus manage under 400 all out on day 3. It's important not to under-estimate the potential of Kumble and Harbhajan on a day 5 pitch at Adelaide, and I think that this will be a great opportunity to back India at the silly odds I've been on about for a while.

For the moment, I can't really see anything else worth doing, except waiting and watching.
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

Interesting now, looks a nailed on draw at the moment, havent been too involved for days 2 and 3, main bet has just been the aus Lay which looks reasonably safe.

Although 1.2 for the draw may even look fair value, with the recent history of 500+ first innings scores losing at this ground (Australia losing against India, England losing against Australia), I think I will be laying the draw as India go into bat.

This pitch will be a minefield on day 5, and was breaking up quite badly on the morning session of day 3. Neither team would last more than 60 overs on this pitch on day 5, IMO. Certainly not against Harbhajan and Kumble...but it remains to be seen exactly what Australia will be bowled out for.
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

well, what a pointless day 5! as i feared, kumble was just OTT in terms of negativity, i'm quite shocked that they didnt declare to at least give Gilchrist and Hayden a chance to open together. All quite strange really, thought that we were seeing a repeat of the Adelaide test last year when Tendulkar got run out, and I was hoping for an Indian collapse to at least make viewing interesting.

Even more confusing is that they went at a reasonable 4 per over in the morning session...don't understand why they didnt push on and declare around tea.
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.