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thetitan
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 Posted: Thu Apr 03, 2008 8:09 pm Post subject: West Indies vs SL, 2nd Test @ Port of Spain |
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Interested to know what people think about this test - looked like it could be one way traffic but SL have lost 5 for 50 odd, 130/5 now.
Yet the odds don't reflect a collapse - SL have only moved out from 2.1 to 2.5! 
Still, have found myself just laying Windies @ 2.5 
Mainly on the basis that they just don't win test matches that often, and have thrown away better positions than this before. Would be surprised if they didn't trade higher again at some point.
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thetitan
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| Posted: Fri Apr 04, 2008 10:40 am Post subject: |
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going well so far with a classic counter-attack from dilshan.
however, at about 210/5, you cant exactly say that SL have dominated the day, in fact I'd say West Indies have a slight edge at the moment. I don't think they'll win but I think it's wise to cover liability at generous prices of about 5.6.
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fairfranco
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| Posted: Fri Apr 04, 2008 11:43 am Post subject: |
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according to cricinfo it seems there's a fair chance of rain in todays play.
not sure what it's like now but 2.6 could be a good price for the draw. |
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thetitan
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| Posted: Sat Apr 05, 2008 2:55 pm Post subject: |
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market finally realises that the draw is probably out of the question, drifted a fair bit overnight.
50/50 game at the moment IMO, tough to pick a winner, hopefully we'll see another good trading day. 
would be backing SL to defend anything over 230 in the 4th innings, pitch has some demons in it i reckon.
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thetitan
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| Posted: Sun Apr 06, 2008 10:53 am Post subject: |
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wow, what a topsy-turvy day, WI need 253 to win and either side should wrap it up tonight.
I'd make SL about 1.85ish but the market doesn't agree. This pitch has a lot of demons in it, 4th innings should be the lowest scoring of the match, facing Murali on this pitch will be very tough indeed.
For me, a lot depends on the scoring rate - both sides scored pretty quickly during their first innings, SL can't afford to be wasteful here.
Today will be a classic day of test cricket, nobody can pick a winner with any confidence right now.
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