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NFL Week 13
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daviee501
Group 3 Class


Joined: 12 Oct 2007
Posts: 56
Location: Dundee

PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2007 4:37 pm    Post subject: NFL Week 13

A shoot out of the 10-1 teams on Thursday, it will be close but i think the vote just goes to Dallas by virtue of having home field advantage:-

Dallas to win by 3

also

Redskins -5pts
Broncos -3pts
Panthers -3pts

All 3 to cover the spread.
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RockLobster
Group 2 Class


Joined: 27 Sep 2006
Posts: 204

PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2007 9:38 pm    Post subject:

Dallas- Green Bay:

Dallas have started all their games off slowly so far this seson and with the handicap of +7 to Green Bay the half- time handicap of +4 for Green Bay (Paddy Power 5-6) is looking a great bet in what looks to be very tight contest.
I think if Dallas get the running game going thats where they can exploit Greeen Bay and win therefore I believe it will be tight. There will be quite a few turnovers with Brett Favre liking to throw big ones down field under pressure. Not a lot of fluency and topsy-turvy.

Selection: Half-time Handicap- Green Bay +4 (5-6 Paddy Power)
Total points: Under 51.5 points 10-11 general
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manafana
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Joined: 09 Apr 2005
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Location: Galway, Ireland

PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2007 11:06 pm    Post subject:

01:15 GB Packers @ DAL Cowboys
GB Packers+0.0 (Money Line) @ 3.6
Favres 38 and playing his best football reeling back the years. Main reason behind this is his choice of passing in which he has two excellent wide receivers to choose from and also has the rush option with Grant. Cowboys are good but can be broken down and are vunerable to the longer passes. Packers are just too good value here despite been 0-8 in dallas under favre.
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spider2097
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Joined: 06 Jul 2007
Posts: 1308
Location: Bromborough, UK

PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2007 11:30 pm    Post subject:

This is just a query really. Does this bet :

Hcap Tie - GB Packers +7.0 @ 12.00

Mean that if the Packers lose by exactly 7pts the bet wins?
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Inatimate1
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Joined: 22 Oct 2005
Posts: 2167
Location: Prenton Park TRFC

PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2007 11:35 pm    Post subject:

manafana, would you suggest a bet on Grant rushing under 70.5yrds against the Cowboys tonight? The Packers have the worst rushing record in the NFC, and Dallas have the 2nd best in terms of defense against Rushing. Surely it seems logical that Grant will struggle to make the yardage, conditions are good, not much wind, so surely teams will prefer to throw for yards rather than rushing as there won't be much effect from the weather on the receivers in terms of running, and the throw in terms of wind. Dallas have been solid at defending and I think that they could do the job here in holding back the rushes, but in terms of holding back passes, it could be very difficult.
Over 45.5 passes in total looks a great price @ 4/5, especially if Favre can find the form he had last week again Win
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RockLobster
Group 2 Class


Joined: 27 Sep 2006
Posts: 204

PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2007 12:23 am    Post subject:

to answer your question spider if the game finishes with dallas winning by 7 points and you took the bet of green bay +7 then your stake is refunded. The same happens if you take dallas -7 and they win by 7 points. Hope that helps Win
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RussBradley2004
Group 1 Class


Joined: 27 Mar 2005
Posts: 288

PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2007 12:25 am    Post subject:

i like the passing bet more than the grant bet. What cannot be forgotten is that early on in the season, Green Bay did not have a consistent running back, they were switching it almost every time they game on the field. They have found a runner in Grant who does well in their system. He ran for a big game against the Vikings (yes the only team better against the run than dallas). To counter Williams' awful pass defense, Dallas will drop more men back into coverage as Favre does throw picks quite regularly. Thus, there will be room for grant to run, he may not get alot of carries, but expect him to have a high yards per attempt. I can see him carying the ball for more than 70 yards tonigh

Green Bay win this football game to me, Dallas Secondary is not good enough....even the Redskins passed their way down the field, made Campbell look like Brady.

Selection: GREEN BAY to win
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manafana
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2007 9:53 am    Post subject:

Pity favre was out so early, young lad came in did a decent job, but the loss of favre among with other key players hurt the packers.
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daviee501
Group 3 Class


Joined: 12 Oct 2007
Posts: 56
Location: Dundee

PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2007 4:44 pm    Post subject:

Yes well said Manafana, the game could've and should've been closer but dems da breaks, i hope big Brett recovers for next week!!
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jbowman
Handicapper


Joined: 18 May 2007
Posts: 20

PostPosted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 1:50 pm    Post subject: wat do u guys think of this double

02/12/2007 JAX Jaguars @ IND Colts
(Point Spread) IND Colts -6.5 10/11 None To Run
2 02/12/2007 TB Buccaneers @ NO Saints
(Point Spread) NO Saints -3.5 10/11 None To Run
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Kingsdyke35
Group 2 Class


Joined: 03 Jan 2006
Posts: 119

PostPosted: Sun Dec 02, 2007 6:20 pm    Post subject:

St Louis -3 vs Atlanta

The rams have turned the corner now key players are healthy

Kansas City +6 vs San Diego

Chargers coach turner is 0-6 vs the chiefs. Did he learn from week 4?

Cleveland + 1 vs Arizona

The cards have a poor pass defense - should be a high scoring game

Thats my Betfred treble - good luck to all
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LLAAYYSS
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Joined: 19 Jul 2007
Posts: 482

PostPosted: Sun Dec 02, 2007 7:02 pm    Post subject:

Quite a few bets tonight catch my eye, here are my selections from the early matches.

Quite a few bets I know but some decent value around.

O Week 13 - 02 December / Houston @ Tennessee / Match Odds Tennessee Titans Back @ 1.53

O Week 13 - 02 December / Seattle @ Philadelphia / Seattle +3.5pts Seattle +3.5pts Back @ 1.88

O Week 13 - 02 December / Buffalo @ Washington / Buffalo +5.5pts Washington -5.5pts Back @ 1.82

O Week 13 - 02 December / Detroit @ Minnesota / Match Odds Detroit Lions Back @ 3.3

O Week 13 - 02 December / Jacksonville @ Indianapolis / Total Match Points Under 45.5pts Back @ 1.96

O Week 13 - 02 December / Seattle @ Philadelphia / Match Odds Seattle Seahawks Back @ 2.54

O Week 13 - 02 December / Jacksonville @ Indianapolis / Match Odds Indianapolis Colts Back @ 1.35




Apologies for no reason but quickly copied from Betfair before games start.

The Lions for me despite their form are the massive overpriced selection of the evening.

Safest bet goes with the Colts

Will be back later with the later games, hopefully early games go well.
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