| View previous topic :: View next topic |
| Whats the Best Superbowl Bet |
| Giants +11.5 @ 10/11 |
|
19% |
[ 6 ] |
| Pats -11.5 @ 10/11 |
|
19% |
[ 6 ] |
| Giants +14 @ 5/8 |
|
9% |
[ 3 ] |
| Giants ML @4/1 |
|
0% |
[ 0 ] |
| Pats ML @ 1/5 |
|
0% |
[ 0 ] |
| Under 54 @ 10/11 |
|
25% |
[ 8 ] |
| Over 54 @ 10/11 |
|
3% |
[ 1 ] |
| Giants to Score 1st @ 17/10 |
|
3% |
[ 1 ] |
| Pats Win by 1-6 @ 5/1 |
|
6% |
[ 2 ] |
| Team Scoring 1st Loses @ 19/10 |
|
6% |
[ 2 ] |
| Pats to Score longest TD @ 10/17 |
|
0% |
[ 0 ] |
| Maroney MVP @ 12/1 |
|
3% |
[ 1 ] |
| Ahmed Bradshaw Anytine TD @ 11/5 |
|
3% |
[ 1 ] |
|
| Total Votes : 31 |
|
| Author |
Message |
manafana At Stud
 Read My Blog!
Joined: 09 Apr 2005 Posts: 3533 Location: Galway, Ireland
|
Posted: Sun Feb 03, 2008 1:26 pm Post subject: |
|
|
I likw the unders to be honest giants will look to slow down game like they did v green bay and should cause brady to have to take his time in the pocket also. _________________ Check out my new horse alerts blog,, http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/forum/topic31_15074.html |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Antony OLBG Stallion
 Read My Blog!
Joined: 26 Mar 2003 Posts: 5515
|
Posted: Sun Feb 03, 2008 2:41 pm Post subject: |
|
|
OK I guess its time to put the bets on
Weve cancelled ourselves out on the pointspread so I dont think we have a bet their
Unders looks a clear pick on votes although there was some good argument for overs in the thread. Still I guess we should go with the majority so
BET 1: £100 Under 54.5 @ 10/11
Next best looks to be Pats by 1-6 but Zipster makes a good case for 7-12. I think the 5/1 about 1-6 makes it more attractive though but Im reluctant to do the whole hundred. Hence Im going to use the final £100 as follows
BET 2
£50 Pats win by 1-6 @ 5/1
£25 Maroney MVP @ 13
£25 Bradshaw ATD @ 11/5
That way we have several interests in the game & even after it!
Fingers crossed! |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
johno Triple Crown Winner
Joined: 25 Jan 2005 Posts: 1026 Location: on OLBG somewhere
|
Posted: Sun Feb 03, 2008 3:04 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Nice going, noted and will be an additional bonus in watching tonight
gl team  _________________ OLBG Member: 189 |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
RussBradley2004 Group 1 Class
Joined: 27 Mar 2005 Posts: 288
|
Posted: Sun Feb 03, 2008 3:41 pm Post subject: |
|
|
nice going Ant...i think you have done a great job in summising the consensus, and you also included my dark horse tip of MVP in Maroney
i keep trying to find value in this game and its proving difficult for me, can the Giants get enough pressure compensate for their bad secondary? i just dont know....Brady + no wind + warm-ish temperature = high number of points normally
so im going for overs 54 in this one even though i hear the arguments for unders, expect Pats to win this one by a TD
lets hope for a cracking game |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Antony OLBG Stallion
 Read My Blog!
Joined: 26 Mar 2003 Posts: 5515
|
Posted: Sun Feb 03, 2008 3:56 pm Post subject: |
|
|
These are my bets tonight - lots of little fun ones
Giants FG 1st Score 5.8
Giants Score 1st 2.8
1st Scorer Wins = No 3.1
Smith ATD 4.5
Faulk ATD 3.5
Bradshaw ATD 3.2
Gaffney ATD 2.75
Hobbs 1st INT 8.5
Pats Win 1-6 6.6
Giants+12.5 Pointspread 1.91
Faulk MVP 60
Maroney MVP 16.5 |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Taylormade Listed Class
Joined: 03 Oct 2007 Posts: 28
|
Posted: Sun Feb 03, 2008 4:06 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Good Luck with the selections , Antony!  |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
richardmcfc Group 1 Class
Joined: 09 May 2007 Posts: 391
|
Posted: Sun Feb 03, 2008 6:00 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| What does everyone reckon to NY Giants + 7.5 @ 2.50. Looks pretty good to me. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Antony OLBG Stallion
 Read My Blog!
Joined: 26 Mar 2003 Posts: 5515
|
Posted: Sun Feb 03, 2008 6:12 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Dont like it at that price
Basically this is two bets
Giants to win
Pats to win by 1-7
I dont think Giants will win so Im basically getting 6/4 on Pats win 1-7
As discussed above I can get 5/1+ on Pats to win 1-6 so thats the bet I prefer |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Antony OLBG Stallion
 Read My Blog!
Joined: 26 Mar 2003 Posts: 5515
|
Posted: Sun Feb 03, 2008 7:37 pm Post subject: |
|
|
If anyone is into the spreads then I think I might have spotted something
NE/NYG Shirts Superiority
Pats are priced to win by 130ish which 1-2 TDs based on average shirt numbers.
HOWEVER - if you look at the shirts of the key playmakers (tops 5 in the list) then there are some interesting number mismatches in favour of the Patriots
New York New England
Burress 17 81 Moss
Toomer 81 83 Welker
Jacobs 27 39 Maroney
Bradshaw 44 33 Faulk
Smith 12 84 Watson
Boss 89 10 Gaffney
Moss (s) 83 18 Stallworth
EG If NE win by 5 TDs to 4 with a fairly even split of scorers
81 Moss Burress 17
83 Welker Toomer 81
39 Maroney Jacobs 27
39 Maroney Smith 12
84 Watson
326 137
Thats a 190 makeup
Also personally I think Giants may try more running red zone attempts than the pats which would give more 40ish TDs. Also with Burress being their real weapon of late and being 17 thats another low shirts indicator for the Giants |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
BoozyBeggar Group 2 Class
Joined: 17 Nov 2007 Posts: 184
|
Posted: Mon Feb 04, 2008 1:58 am Post subject: |
|
|
Just 10 points at the half, so the unders looks good.
| Quote: |
| Giants FG 1st Score 5.8 |
And thanks for this Antony. Not a market I would dream of looking at myself, but I took some when you pointed it out (6.0 at Ladbrokes). January losses wiped out already. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
dmachine83 Group 2 Class
Joined: 20 Feb 2007 Posts: 223
|
Posted: Mon Feb 04, 2008 4:16 am Post subject: |
|
|
wow, congrats to the giants,
delighted to have an nfc winner considering what was being said about the teams i the conference earlier in the season.
thought the giants deserved it, were the better team and once again the defence stepped up they continued to get better week by week.
great to finish in a profit for the charity bets, makes all the discussion and arguments worthwhile |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
lee cufc Triple Crown Winner
Joined: 05 Jul 2005 Posts: 1358 Location: cambridge
|
Posted: Mon Feb 04, 2008 7:06 am Post subject: |
|
|
well done giants did not that one coming  _________________ LUCK CAN ONLY BE WHAT YOU MAKE IT, SO MAKE PLENTY |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
|