next seasons super bowl prices....don't get it

redbarron99 · Group 2 Class Joined: 01 May 2007 Posts: 157

just been taking a very early look at next years super bowl prices and i just don't get it. the bookies have new england at a piffling 5/2, while they make the san diego chargers a generous 10/1.

don't get me wrong, i'm a patriots fan and fully appreciate their strengths. but at the end of the day they lost the super bowl (luckily hedged my super bowl bet, couldn't resist the 4/1 being given on the giants) and have a glaring weakness in the secondary which they must address going forward. ellis hobbs at cornerback is a liability and needs changing, while asante samuel looks as though he could be moving on to make his fortune. on top of that, there is talk that rodney harrison at safety is set to retire.

although as aforementioned i'm a patriots fan, i thought the chargers were extremely unlucky to lose to the patriots in the play-offs, with the backbone of their team (philip rivers, la dainian thomlinson and antonio gates all banged up) if LT had been fit i think the patriots would have lost, the star running back converting at least a couple of the many opportunities the chargers had.

so, don't get the disparity in prices and will be taking the 10/1 on the chargers, while looking for opportunities to wager the patriots later on. like last season i fancy these two teams to go very close.

gingerzola · Posted: Thu Mar 27, 2008 11:19 pm Post subject:

The Patriots are very short compared to other fancied teams, with the Cowboys at 10s as well as the Chargers. The Patriots have lost a couple of players in the off season, but have kept Moss so will still be up there, but the odds are too short.

I've gone with the Cowboys in the hope that they can upgrade Reeves at CB, either thru Pacman Jones signing from the Titans or with one of the 2 1st round picks. Add a RB to compliment Barber and a WR to play opposite Owens (hopefully Chad Johnson) and 10/1 looks good value.

Antony OLBG · Stallion Joined: 26 Mar 2003 Posts: 5698

I think its very dangerous to reply on RBs to hold their form from season to season. LT was not as good last season as the one before, Alexander too had a few good seasons and then lost his edge.

Its such a demanding and physical position its hard for any player to produce at a high level for more than 2-3 seasons.

Some do keep going for many seasons though (Tiki Barber was one), but the signs with LT is that hes going the way of Alexander and going from a match winner to a reasonable but not spectacular RB

johno · Posted: Sat Mar 29, 2008 3:29 pm Post subject:

So true.. another 1 being Shaun Alexander for the Seahawks.. Awesome years in 2004 and 2005.. and now after two really poor years (1 madden curse, yet injuries lol) it looks like he's going to be dropped totally.

Bring on the summer..we need the games back! Win

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manafana · Posted: Sat Mar 29, 2008 5:08 pm Post subject:

Cowboys still havnt won a play-off game in 10years, and the real value lies in not backing a team that was therebouts last season, but a team that didnt make the play-offs.
Rams are such a team - They actually look like they have strong enough first string and if bulger and jackson finished season fit after set backs and he looks a top player.
Also look to the eagles who are building and gave patriots a cracking game last season
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gingerzola · Posted: Sun Mar 30, 2008 8:33 pm Post subject:

The fact the Cowboys haven't won a playoff game for so long really does hurt and i'm sure they'll be pulling out all the stops to right that wrong. If Dallas can sign Pacman Jones cheap and keep him out of trouble...BIG if!), it allows them to go after a RB with the first pick, possibly trading both first rounders to move up for Darren McFadden, though there are a LOT of classy RBs in this years draft.

A longer price team that could go well this year is the Cleveland Browns. Everyone expected them to stink last season, but behind the arm of Derek Anderson, they really showed that they can be a match for most. Add players like Kellen Winslow, Joe Thomas, Josh Cribbs, Braylon Edwards and Jamal Lewis to the mix and they've got a decent team, which was boosted further by free agent signings Donte Stallworth (from Patriots) Shaun Rogers (Lions) and Corey Williams (Packers).

The Browns are currently 36s on Betfair

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