MLB 28/06/09

[SmoggyFever]

Since this is the only American sport for the next 2 months, i will throw my picks on here for the summer.

I have gone silly and bet at least 10 wagers today but there are some i really............really like (fade me )

MIN Twins @ STL Cardinals : Under 8.5 Win @ 2.00

First things first, this ump loves the under going 11-3 for it this year.
The h2h has a strong historic trend of the under and both pitchers are very consistent.
Add in the Cards poor hitting lately and this looks a very good bet.


CHI Cubs @ CHI White Sox : Under 8.5 Win @ 2.05

John Danks and Carlos Zambrano face up today in a potentially tight game that should see them controlling the game.

Both teams have been hitting the ball well but these two pitchers have whip below 1 and era's under 3 in their last 3 games each. Those are extraordinary figures and i feel they will both prevail to keep this low
scoring


DET Tigers @ HOU Astros : Under 8.5 Win @ 1.98


This honestly looks like a nailed on unders here.
From the quality of the pitching to the umpire trends, nothing suggests a slugfest.
The Umpire is 11-5-1 under this season.
Houston are under 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 home games.
Detroit is Under 21-9 in Tigers last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Plus the pitchers are very good, with both having sub 3 era's

Good luck and those are my strongest plays that i feel are worth real money
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Since Celtic can't get into the Premier League, Strachan is giving the players a chance to get Boro there

[thorpey]

Smoggy, what are your match play ideas? Atm im sticking close to total runs just because things are so unpredicatable atm but would like to hear a second point of view.

[SmoggyFever]

The way i see it is that their are 4 basic outcomes, o/u and w/l

I pick the best out of the 4 options based on the matchup
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Since Celtic can't get into the Premier League, Strachan is giving the players a chance to get Boro there

[SmoggyFever]

And that is a clean sweep for the "Smogs Top Plays" 3-0

Hope you guys cashed it
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Since Celtic can't get into the Premier League, Strachan is giving the players a chance to get Boro there

[betking]

COngrats smoggy, good to see you turning it around

Still trying to find an edge in the last games. Mets looked attractive but they seem to be drifting and I cant see why
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betking vs man o bong
Blackburn vs Portsmouth
OLBG Charity bet 2009/10

Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012

[thorpey]

Cheers mate, had a cheeky Patent with those three, nice to see them come through. Well done. Glad someone is taking a bit of interest in the baseball.

[betking]

I think most of use had given up on the baseball the last few weeks because of some mad results, including numerous "nightmares in the ninth", it was a surreal period of time where everything was getting gubbed late on, really frustrating!

Hopefully now we're back to normality lol
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betking vs man o bong
Blackburn vs Portsmouth
OLBG Charity bet 2009/10

Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012

[SmoggyFever]

Cheers guys, i have gone for the mets but their problems are all over the place. Injuries are destroying their offense but i have them anyway
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Since Celtic can't get into the Premier League, Strachan is giving the players a chance to get Boro there

[betking]

I hate high lines but Im sorely tempted to go over 10 in the Yankees/Mets game. Neither pitcher gives me any faith and if the Mets can finally manage some decent hits they should score a few, Yankees should too. Get the feeling this will either be less than 5, or more than 12 lol. Relies on the Mets scoring though, as except for scoring 11 against St Louis, theyve only scored 4 total in their last 4

Same thing applies to the Mets win/+1.5, if they can score, they can bring both bets home, but can they actually find some inspiration against a poor pitcher?
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betking vs man o bong
Blackburn vs Portsmouth
OLBG Charity bet 2009/10

Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012

[SmoggyFever]

Shame the mets ended my night on a downer, i'd have been +2.4 lsp in the bloggers league if i hadn't picked them and the over
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Since Celtic can't get into the Premier League, Strachan is giving the players a chance to get Boro there