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MLB 29/6/09
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Stallion

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 29, 2009 10:11 pm    Post subject: MLB 29/6/09

Red Sox @ Orioles
Red Sox @ 1.61
Red Sox -1.5 @ 1.99


Have to fancy the Red Sox here, too many good stats. Stronger starting pitcher too, and its hard to see past the stronger Red Sox bats.

# Red Sox are 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
# Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
# Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
# Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
# Red Sox are 4-0 in Lesters last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
# Red Sox are 5-1 in Lesters last 6 starts as a road favorite.
# Red Sox are 5-1 in Lesters last 6 starts vs. American League East.
# Red Sox are 8-2 in Lesters last 10 Monday starts.



# Orioles are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
# Orioles are 1-4 in Berkens last 5 starts.
# Orioles are 1-4 in Berkens last 5 starts on grass.
# Orioles are 0-4 in Berkens last 4 starts as an underdog.
# Orioles are 0-4 in Berkens last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
# Orioles are 0-4 in Berkens last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.


here are some more

# Red Sox are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts vs. Orioles.
# Red Sox are 48-15 in the last 63 meetings.

The fact that the Orioles have such a poor pitcher with poor stats, compared to a solid Red Sox pitcher, backed up by good bats, suggests to me its worth taking the Red Sox to win by at least 2.
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gecko6
Stallion

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 29, 2009 10:14 pm    Post subject:

agree mate
plus orioles on downward trend and usually ose this matchup etc etc
all the stats point massively to red sox

good luck
Win
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SmoggyFever
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PostPosted: Mon Jun 29, 2009 11:57 pm    Post subject:

I've slapped down 18 tips tonight Laughing

This will be fun!!!
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shaun6784
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 30, 2009 12:04 am    Post subject: hi all

smokey whats ur tip of the nite
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SmoggyFever
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 30, 2009 12:09 am    Post subject:

Mine is red sox
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Stallion

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PostPosted: Tue Jun 30, 2009 9:59 am    Post subject:

4-0 win for the Red Sox, expected a few more runs in total though, must say.

Smoggy (or Smokey Cheeky ) I saw you went for 18 Shocked bets and was expecting it to either be very good or very bad - it was in between, which is better than the worst case scenario! Win
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SmoggyFever
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 30, 2009 10:24 am    Post subject:

Lol yes, im pretty sure i ended with a +0.3 lsp for the night or something crap like that.

No bets before midnight tonight so onto july and a new month awaits us.

When i think about it i'm shocked that after 18 bets i finished so even! lol
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Stallion

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Joined: 26 Feb 2007
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 30, 2009 10:30 am    Post subject:

Yeah no bets before midnight which is a bummer, I worked out my LSP wrong so stuck with just the Boston bets, so will miss out on top 3 by like 20p Crying or Very sad My 10 bet winning streak was fruitless No

Yeah doing 18 bets and finishing positive is a bit surprising - but then its a good job you didnt do it a week ago! Phew Still a top result though, cant complain..

Roll on July Fingers Crossed
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