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MLB 30/06/09
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SmoggyFever
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 30, 2009 1:26 pm    Post subject: MLB 30/06/09

Just some leans at the moment but i like the

CWS @ CLE Unders

Houston @ San Diego
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thorpey
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 30, 2009 9:42 pm    Post subject:

Anymore ideas for tonight? Would have had a pretty decent fourfold had the tigers won.
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 30, 2009 11:45 pm    Post subject:

Phillies @ Braves
Phillies @ 2.14
Phillies +1.5 @ 1.56


Have to fancy Philly with the start here. Lowe starts for the Braves which is great news for Philly fans as hes in dire form. In 2 of his last 3 games, he gave up 11 hits and 6 runs in 3 innings in one, and 7 runs in less than 3 innings in another. I fancy Philly to win, but this is a good backup bet. Philly won all 9 games here last year, and can make it 10 straight tonight.

Philly have won 6 of their last 7 against teams with a losing record. The stats below all show the Braves having an uphill struggle tonight.

# Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
# Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
# Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
# Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
# Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
# Braves are 1-5 in Lowes last 6 starts.
# Braves are 1-5 in Lowes last 6 starts on grass.
# Braves are 0-4 in Lowes last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.


Nationals @ Marlins
Marlins @ 1.69
Marlins -1.5 @2.40


Where do I start?

Stammen starts for Washington and hes been really struggling of late. Compare that to his opposite number, West, who is in good form, and we have our first factor.

In the last 26 matches between the 2 sides, Florida have won 23 of them. I repeat, Florida has won TWENTY THREE of the last twenty six matches between the sides.

Florida have won the last 9 matches in a row, including a 4-2 win last night.

Florida have not lost a home series to Washington since April 2006.

The stats below from wagerline support the Marlins too -

# Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
# Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
# Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
# Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
# Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
# Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.


# Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

The odds on Florida have continued to short as well. Florida look a great bet.


2009 H2H
Florida 7-0 Washington

6 of these wins have been by at least 2 runs, so Ill stick with the trend and take the Marlins to cover again.
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Stallion

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 01, 2009 3:23 pm    Post subject:

Phillies had their chances but a 1 run loss meant I went 3/4.

Absolutely stunned at the Red Sox though, losing from 10-1 up Shocked
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