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MLB 2/7/09
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SmoggyFever
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 02, 2009 5:59 pm    Post subject: MLB 2/7/09

Just a feeling atm but was thinking chicago cubs later Confused

I may just leave the action tonight but that is what i have my eye on
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SmoggyFever
Triple Crown Winner

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Joined: 04 Jun 2008
Posts: 1157
Location: Aberdeen and Boro

PostPosted: Thu Jul 02, 2009 8:28 pm    Post subject:

Orioles @ LA Angels

Straight away i think this is a fair price. Guthrie and Lackey look similar in stats but with the AL bats firing for the Angels, i see them gaining a win tonight. At home, the angels are solid yet on the road, the orioles are horrid, just 11 wins from 23. LA are shockingly 0-5 in Lackey\'s last 5 starts and i think that he will reverse the trend against a team hitting poorly until Boston showed up. Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. Orioles are 4-10 in Guthries last 14 starts

Angels @ 13/20 Win
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Stallion

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Joined: 26 Feb 2007
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 02, 2009 10:50 pm    Post subject:

Mariners @ Yankees
Yankees -1.5 @ 1.74


Cant bring myself to back the Yankees on the terrible money line price of 1.33, but at 1.74 on the run line I think they're worthy of a small bet.

Sabathia starts for the Yankees and he was awesome against the Mets, allowing just 1 run over 7 innings. Vargas starts for the Mariners and is 1-3 on the road this year and is struggling...

The stats below are from cover.com and look to support a heavy win for the Yankees..

# Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
# Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
# Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
# Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
# Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
# Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.

# Mariners are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.
# Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
# Mariners are 5-21 in their last 26 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.
# Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
# Mariners are 1-4 in Vargas' last 5 road starts.
# Mariners are 1-4 in Vargas' last 5 starts as a road underdog.



Yankees have won 7 straight and Mariners lost 2 on the bounce, opposite form and opposite confidence should result in a victory for the home side.
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SmoggyFever
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Joined: 04 Jun 2008
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Location: Aberdeen and Boro

PostPosted: Thu Jul 02, 2009 11:09 pm    Post subject:

I really don't want to jinx it but it looks a nailed on win, exactly the reason why i am so uncomfortable betting it lol.
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Since Celtic can't get into the Premier League, Strachan is giving the players a chance to get Boro there
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Stallion

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Joined: 26 Feb 2007
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Location: I'm not quite sure!

PostPosted: Thu Jul 02, 2009 11:19 pm    Post subject:

I had exactly the same thought lol. Its "too obvious" but then if I didnt take and they stormed home 10-0 I'd be pretty annoyed so its worth the shot. Certainly wouldnt take the straight up odds though, they're terrible!!
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betking vs man o bong
Blackburn vs Portsmouth
OLBG Charity bet 2009/10

Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012
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Stallion

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Joined: 26 Feb 2007
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 1:09 am    Post subject:

Not exactly been the best of starts, 3-0 down in the 2nd, 3 runs off 4 hits so far for the Mariners Rant
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betking vs man o bong
Blackburn vs Portsmouth
OLBG Charity bet 2009/10

Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012
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SmoggyFever
Triple Crown Winner

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Joined: 04 Jun 2008
Posts: 1157
Location: Aberdeen and Boro

PostPosted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 6:31 am    Post subject:

Just woke up to look at the scores, wow Shocked

How the hell did seattle win Confused
_________________
Since Celtic can't get into the Premier League, Strachan is giving the players a chance to get Boro there
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Stallion

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Joined: 26 Feb 2007
Posts: 6894
Location: I'm not quite sure!

PostPosted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 11:16 am    Post subject:

I've no idea, I figured the only way the bet would go down is a 1 run win for the Yankees, couldnt see a Seattle win from anywhere Shocked

Well done on the Angels though Win
_________________
betking vs man o bong
Blackburn vs Portsmouth
OLBG Charity bet 2009/10

Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012
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SmoggyFever
Triple Crown Winner

Read My Blog!

Joined: 04 Jun 2008
Posts: 1157
Location: Aberdeen and Boro

PostPosted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 12:37 pm    Post subject:

Cheers BK, i was nipping before the game had started, as soon as i bet it i thought..... uh oh, trap. Luckily it was easy in the end
_________________
Since Celtic can't get into the Premier League, Strachan is giving the players a chance to get Boro there
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Stallion

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Joined: 26 Feb 2007
Posts: 6894
Location: I'm not quite sure!

PostPosted: Fri Jul 03, 2009 1:01 pm    Post subject:

Looked at them myself but had no faith in the pitcher, so took the "safe" Yankees instead Laughing
_________________
betking vs man o bong
Blackburn vs Portsmouth
OLBG Charity bet 2009/10

Michelle Larcher de Brito - World Number One 2012
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Betting Blog Show Tipping Performance View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
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