Online Betting Guide - OLBG       

Sports Poker Casino
   Welcome FAQ Search Groups Register Profile PMs New Posts Rules Log in
Picking winners at short odds
Post new topic   Reply to topic    OLBG Betting Forum Index -> Betting Systems
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
pizzaface
2yo


Joined: 29 Jan 2008
Posts: 1

PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2008 8:18 am    Post subject: Picking winners at short odds

I would really appreciate any advice.... I'm not very experienced so this might appear to be a stupid question. For about a year, I've ran a cover to win system, where I'll have a profit margin per race, say £10. If the horse loses, I then up the next stake to get my stake monies back, plus 2 x £10 profit. This continues until I get a win. In other words, if five horses lose, I'll make £60 profit on the sixth bet....but I'll have staked about £500 to earn it! My question is this....I never bet odds on because this will run down my betting back too quickly. Does anyone have any advice on what criteria I should apply when I,m looking for short priced winners without any interest in "value".
I know most people will say this system is mad, because wnen you hit a losing run of about 14, it will wipe out your bank. I've found that if you pick a horse with the highest rpr & most tips, you get a win on average every six bets. Someone out there must have experience(probably bad!) of this.
Back to top
Show Tipping Performance View user's profile Send private message
man o bong
Stallion

Read My Blog!

Joined: 13 Aug 2005
Posts: 5090
Location: Valley of the race-horse

PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2008 8:52 am    Post subject:

I have some adivice.

Donot continue with your current staking plan, you willsoon find yourself sleeping in cardboard boxes at the nearest underpass.You are playing a variation of the the Martingayle system whichis the short route to the poor house

Secondly. "Advice on finding short price winners?"

That staking plan coupled with your question on finding short priced winners means that you will find yourself destitute in double quick time.

The idea is to fins winners that offer value, not short piced runners that offer a "way back"..

Please have a good look through everything on this forum, as i feel you can learn much. There is a huge amount of advice that i am asure will help you avoid disaster, which is what you are heading for reading your post.

No offence is meant in this reply, simply genuine concern from someone who has been there. Good Luck and welcome to the forum and your safe haven
_________________
12 Months Horse Racing Blogs
+£11,191 (LSP +84.5pts)

12 Months Football Blogs
+£1,341 (LSP +30.4pts)

Click here to CHECK IT OUT
Back to top
Betting Blog Show Tipping Performance View user's profile Send private message MSN Messenger
qhstatistics
Group 2 Class


Joined: 13 Jul 2007
Posts: 180

PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2008 2:24 pm    Post subject:

I run a tipster service where mainly my selections are between odds on and 11/4 with maybe 2 or three bets per day and 1 Lay, i use a strategic staking system because due to my selection criteria long losing runs very rarely occur. I also charge £1 a week and this is for my time selecting these horse as probably unlike the many tipsters out there i actually bet on my selections.
_________________
Betting systems reviewed- check my site!
Back to top
Show Tipping Performance View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic    OLBG Betting Forum Index -> Betting Systems
Page 1 of 1




 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum

(c) 2002-2008 Online Betting Guide (OLBG), part of Invendium Ltd    11/10/08 23:04:34

Bookmark This Page: Add to Google Add to Delicious Add to Yahoo Add to Digg Add to Furl Add to Reddit Add to Technorati Add to StumbleUpon 



Powered by phpBB © 2001, 2005 phpBB Group