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Euro 2008 Odds
sPidER's betting blog....
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spider2097
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Joined: 06 Jul 2007
Posts: 1304
Location: Bromborough, UK

PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 10:42 pm    Post subject:

Well, that was a nervy 45mins of football even for a Womens match Cheeky

Couldn't believe they were 3.40 to hold onto their 1:0 lead, but they managed it.

New Bank £7.40
Current Week 3 Strike Rate 1/1
Week 3 Total Staked £1.00 Week 3 Total Returns £3.40
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KanKeano
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 11:20 pm    Post subject:

Quote:
Couldn't believe they were 3.40 to hold onto their 1:0 lead, but they managed it.



Well done Spider. They were 14.00 at the start of the match.
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spider2097
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Joined: 06 Jul 2007
Posts: 1304
Location: Bromborough, UK

PostPosted: Fri Feb 29, 2008 12:08 am    Post subject:

Thanks KanKeano Smile

To be honest, had completely forgotten about the match until I saw the Live Betting options. After I got onto Everton Ladies @ 3.40 at HT, I was looking to try & come up with an arb once Arsenal Ladies got to around 3.40 themselves but got sidetracked with other things. Remembered about it with 5 minutes to go & got all confused about whether or not to lump on the draw & Arsenal Ladies. Decided to leave it & take a losing bet had Arsenal got a goal at the death.

Can't honestly say it was a planned bet, more a speculative punt as I thought 3.40 was superb for a side that was winning at the time. During half time, this price actually drifted from 2.9 to 3.6 & then back to 3.4. I know that Arsenal Ladies are the top women's side in the country but Everton Ladies have been the second best side for a while now & I was fairly comfortable with taking this on. My thoughts about trying to work an arb were just because I'm a wimp Laughing
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spider2097
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Location: Bromborough, UK

PostPosted: Fri Feb 29, 2008 10:39 pm    Post subject:

Hopefully It's A Lucky 15

1 Arsenal v Aston Villa : Goal (both teams to score) @ 1.83
2 Newcastle v Blackburn : Blackburn @ 2.75
3 Middlesbrough v Reading : Reading To Win Either Half @ 2.25
4 West Ham v Chelsea : Chelsea to win by 1 goal @ 3.60

Total Stake £1.50 Remaining Bank £5.90

Tranmere v Doncaster
1 Shane Sherriff AGS @ 11.00 Stake: 0.20 Single
2 Tranmere -0.5 AH @ 2.41 Stake: 0.40 Single
3 Half With Most Goals : Second Half @ 2.10 Stake: 0.40 Single
Remaining Bank £4.90
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spider2097
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Location: Bromborough, UK

PostPosted: Sat Mar 01, 2008 2:45 pm    Post subject:

EuroVision - Making Your Mind Up : The UK Entry

1 LoveShy @ 9.00 Stake: 0.45 Single
2 Andy Abraham @ 3.75 Stake: 0.45 Single

Remaining Bank £4.00

GSS Stat based choices (Small stakes "random" choices)

According to Gillette Soccer Saturday : Man City have never beaten Wigan in the Premiership. Last 11 matches between Newcastle & Blackburn have seen 37 goals scored.

1 Wigan +0.5 AH @ 1.95 Stake: 0.10 Single
2 Newcastle v Blackburn : Goal Line : Over 3.0 Goals @ 2.91 Stake: 0.10 Single
Remaining Bank £3.80

Ante-Post Betting

1 To Be Relegated : Bolton @ 4.50 Stake: 1.00 Single
Remaining Bank £2.80
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spider2097
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Location: Bromborough, UK

PostPosted: Sat Mar 01, 2008 10:25 pm    Post subject:

Both Arsenal & Villa scored (1:1), Blackburn sneaked a 90th minute winner against Newcastle (1:0), Reading also hit a late winner (1:0) while Chelsea romped home with an emphatic 4:0 victory. Tranmere lost 1:0 to Doncaster after an early goal (2mins) Shocked Wigan managed a goalless draw with Man City.

Hopefully It's A Lucky 15 : Return £3.36
All selections from Tranmere match lost.
Wigan +0.5 AH @ 1.95 Stake £0.10 : Won Return £0.20
Newcastle v Blackburn : Over 3 Goals @ 2.91 : Lost

New Bank £6.36
Current Week 3 Strike Rate 9/21
Week 3 Total Staked £3.70 Week 3 Total Return £6.96
This does not include stakes of open bets - there are currently 3 open bets total stake £1.90.
-----------------------------------------------------------

Mexico Clausura 2008 : Cruz Azul v Guadalajara

1 Guadalajara @ 2.87 Stake: 0.40 Single
2 Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 Stake: 0.50 Single
3 Correct Score : Guadalajara 3-2 @ 34.00 Stake: 0.10 Single

Remaining Bank £5.36
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spider2097
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Joined: 06 Jul 2007
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Location: Bromborough, UK

PostPosted: Sat Mar 01, 2008 11:32 pm    Post subject:

EuroVision - Making Your Mind Up : The UK Entry : Andy Abraham got the viewers vote to represent the UK at the Eurovision Song Contest 2008. LoveShy got voted off in the first round before the viewers vote.
Return £1.69

New Bank £7.05
Current Week 3 Strike Rate 10/23
Week 3 Total Staked £4.60 Week 3 Total Return £8.65
This does not include stakes of open bets - there are currently 4 open bets total stake £2.00
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spider2097
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Joined: 06 Jul 2007
Posts: 1304
Location: Bromborough, UK

PostPosted: Sun Mar 02, 2008 1:54 pm    Post subject:

Cruz Azul 0:0 Guadalajara

Two losing selections - Guadalajara @ 2.87 & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.00
Bet365 void Correct Score bets if the match ends 0:0 - unless your selection was 0:0 - resulting in a void selection.

New Bank £7.15
Current Week 3 Strike Rate 10/26(1)
Week 3 Total Staked £5.60 Week 3 Total Return £8.75
Number in brackets indicate void/push bets.
This does not include stakes of open bets - there is currently 1 open bet total stake £1.00
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http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/forum/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=14998&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=48
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spider2097
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Joined: 06 Jul 2007
Posts: 1304
Location: Bromborough, UK

PostPosted: Sun Mar 02, 2008 2:31 pm    Post subject:

Bolton v Liverpool

1 Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.39 Stake: 0.50 Single
2 Liverpool -0.5,-1.0 AH @ 2.15 Stake: 0.50 Single
Remaining Bank £6.15

This is going against the stats - Rafa has never won at the Reebok...
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spider2097
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Posts: 1304
Location: Bromborough, UK

PostPosted: Sun Mar 02, 2008 5:04 pm    Post subject:

Everton v Portsmouth

By dutching the Correct score prices for Everton 2:0, 2:1, 3:0, 3:1 & 3:2; I've come up with "Everton To Score 2 Or 3 Goals & Win" for approx 2.41. I'm raising my stake for this slightly though..

1 Everton 3-1 @ 15.00 Stake: 0.32 Single
2 Everton 3-2 @ 26.00 Stake: 0.19 Single
3 Everton 3-0 @ 17.00 Stake: 0.28 Single
4 Everton 2-0 @ 7.50 Stake: 0.64 Single
5 Everton 2-1 @ 8.50 Stake: 0.57 Single

For strike rate purposes I'm counting this as 1 bet.

A) Everton To Score 2 Or 3 Goals & Win @ 2.41 Stake £2.00
B) Over 2.5 @ 2.36 Stake: 0.44 Single
C) Draw @ 3.30 Stake: 0.31 Single
D) Portsmouth @ 4.50 Stake: 0.25 Single

Aaargh... lost my mind. What have I done there? Embarassed Shocked Embarassed Unlucky

Someone shoot me. I'm stupid. Embarassed

Remaining Bank £3.15
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gecko6
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 02, 2008 7:58 pm    Post subject:

good effort today fella

Win
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spider2097
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 02, 2008 9:01 pm    Post subject:

Cheers gecko6 Win

I thought I was covering myself with the bets on the draw & Pompey win, but it was only after I'd actually placed them I realised I'd miscalculated Shocked Would've been an ok damage limitation though Confused

OK, some housekeeping from my betting exploits so far this weekend. Am considering a few small bets a bit later.

Bolton 1:3 Liverpool
1 Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.39 Stake: 0.50 Single Won Return £1.20
2 Liverpool -0.5,-1.0 AH @ 2.15 Stake: 0.50 Single Won Return £1.08

Everton 3:1 Portsmouth
1 Everton To Score 2 Or 3 Goals & Win @ 2.41 Stake £2.00 Won Return £4.80
2 Over 2.5 @ 2.36 Stake: 0.44 Single Won Return £1.04
3 Draw @ 3.30 Stake: 0.31 Single Lost
4 Portsmouth @ 4.50 Stake: 0.25 Single Lost

New Bank £11.27
Current Week 3 Strike Rate 14/32(1)
Week 3 Total Staked £9.60 Week 3 Total Return £16.87
Number in brackets indicate void/push bets.
This does not include stakes of open bets - there is currently 1 open bet total stake £1.00

I've mentioned it before, but looking at the current bank compared to total stake & total return is a bit startling. It all works out so I'm not hugely concerned at the difference between the bank & total returns - this shows how much "recycling" goes on from profit to stakes and back again. Sounds like nonsense & I probably haven't worded it correctly Embarassed
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