Titan's 'there must be a footie system' Blog

[thetitan]

21. Liverpool to beat Inter Milan DNB @ 3.0

confidence = 3

22. Plymouth to beat Scunthorpe @ 2.74

confidence = 2

23. Ipswich to beat Barnsley @ 2.54

confidence = 3

24. Bristol City/Watford draw @ 3.25

confidence = 3

25. Southampton/Leicester draw @ 3.4

confidence = 3

26. Carlisle to beat Luton @ 1.43

confidence = 5

27. Doncaster to beat Gillingham @ 1.42

confidence = 4

28. Bournemouth to beat Oldham DNB @ 4.4

confidence = 3

29. Tranmere to beat Swansea DNB @ 4.3

confidence = 2

30. Brighton to beat Walsall DNB @ 2.86

confidence = 3

31. Peterborough to beat Brentford @ 1.89

confidence = 4

32. Dagenham to beat Macclesfield @ 2.22

confidence = 4

33. Grimsby to beat Barnet @ 2.36

confidence = 4

34. Hereford to beat Mansfield @ 2.26

confidence = 4

35. Lincoln to beat Notts Co @ 3.05

confidence = 4

36. Darlington to beat Shrewsbury @ 2.62

confidence = 4

37. Wycombe to beat Wrexham @ 1.74

confidence = 2

===============

SPEND: 17pts

RETURN: 23.26pts

================

I feel I have a few very decent selections here, esp in League Two. Also pleased to see most of these are odds-against. Fingers crossed for a good night, good luck if you're playing.

================

Good night for the picks.

Here are the results so far:

18 wins

2 pushes

7 losses

Total spent = 37pts

Total returns = 44.21pts
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

38. Getafe to beat Benfica @ 2.28

confidence = 2

39. Aston Villa to beat Boro @ 1.66

confidence = 4

40. Chelsea to beat Derby @ 1.15

confidence = 5

41. West Brom to beat Crystal Palace @ 1.72

confidence = 4

42. Bradford to beat Chester @ 2.56

confidence = 2

43. Northampton to beat Bristol Rovers @ 3.1

confidence = 4
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

44. Man Utd to beat Derby on the -2 AH @ 1.8

confidence = 5

45. Liverpool -1.5 AH vs Reading @ evens

confidence = 5

46. Chelsea -1 AH vs Sunderland @ 1.95

confidence = 5

47. Blackburn DNB vs West Ham @ 2.1

confidence = 4

48. Preston to beat Blackpool @ 3.2

confidence = 3

49. Bristol City to beat Plymouth @ 2.06

confidence = 2

50. Cardiff to beat Colchester @ 2.56

confidence = 1

51. Barnsley to beat Crystal Palace @ 5.1

confidence = 1

52. Scunthorpe to beat QPR @ 5.2

confidence = 1

53. Sheffield Utd to beat Norwich @ 2.04

confidence = 2

54. Watford/Stoke draw @ 3.6

confidence = 2

55. Doncaster to beat Brighton @ 2.56

confidence = 2

56. Bristol Rovers to beat Cheltenham @ 3.0

confidence = 2

57. Oldham to beat Luton @ 2.98

confidence = 5

58. Leyton Orient to beat Millwall @ 3.5

confidence = 2

59. Leeds to beat Port Vale @ 1.94

confidence = 1

60. Carlisle to beat Swindon @ 2.8

confidence = 4

61. Hartlepool to beat Tranmere @ 3.95

confidence = 1

62. Bradford to beat Mansfield @ 1.97

confidence = 4

63. MK Dons to beat Dagenham @ 1.57

confidence = 1

64. Peterborough to beat Notts Co @ 1.54

confidence = 5

65. Chesterfield to beat Rotherham @ 2.76

confidence = 1

66. Aberdeen to beat Gretna @ 1.35

confidence = 5
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

hopefully a better day today...

67. Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale @ 4.3

confidence = 2

68. Spurs to beat Man City DNB @ 1.9

confidence = 5

69. Fiorentina to beat Genoa @ 1.77

confidence = 3

70. Juventus to beat Napoli @ 1.5

confidence = 3

71. Sampdoria to beat Catania @ 1.81

confidence = 5
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

will start recording results a bit more properly now, 100pts bank, will increase stakes according to the increase in bank.

72. Arsenal to beat Liverpool @ 1.95

confidence = 3

73. AV and Bolton to draw @ 3.8

confidence = 2

74. Blackburn to beat Spurs DNB @ 1.78

confidence = 3

75. Fulham to beat Sunderland DNB @ 1.6

confidence = 3

76. Chelsea to beat Man City @ 1.8

confidence = 3

77. Newcastle to beat Reading @ 1.93

confidence = 4

78. Ipswich to beat Colchester @ 2.24

confidence = 3

79. Plymouth to beat Charlton @ 2.5

confidence = 2

80. Preston to beat QPR @ 3.6

confidence = 2

81. Bristol City to beat Soton @ 3.1

confidence = 2

82. Coventry double chance vs Watford @ 2.1

confidence = 2

83. Brighton to beat Port Vale @ 1.58

confidence = 1

84. Bristol Rovers/Hartlepool draw @ 3.6

confidence = 1

85. Carlisle to beat Yeovil @ 1.65

confidence = 1

86. Southend to beat Crewe @ 2.3

confidence = 2

87. Doncaster to beat Huddersfield @ 2.3

confidence = 2

88. Northampton to beat Luton @ 1.84

confidence = 1

89. Nottingham Forest to beat Cheltenham @ 1.6

confidence = 2

90. Oldham to beat Swindon @ 2.86

confidence = 2

91. Tranmere to beat Walsall @ 3

confidence = 1

92. Bury to beat Notts Co @ 2.24

confidence = 2

93. Chesterfield to beat Shrewsbury @ 1.74

confidence = 3

94. Hereford to beat Chester @ 1.65

confidence = 2

95. Grimsby to beat Rochdale @ 5

confidence = 3

96. Brentford to beat Rotherham @ 3.25

confidence = 3

97. Stockport to beat Darlington @ 2.14

confidence = 3

98. Macclesfield to beat Wrexham @ 3.65

confidence = 3

99. Peterborough to beat Wycombe @ 2.52

confidence = 3


Loss of 7.12 pts on the day

New Bank = 92.88pts
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

100. Athletic Bilbao to beat Espanyol @ 2.3

confidence = 3

101. Atletico Madrid to beat Almeria @ 1.71

confidence = 2

102. Valladolid to beat Levante @ 2.5

confidence = 3

103. Valencia to beat Murcia @ 2.48

confidence = 3

104. Betis to beat Zaragoza @ 4.6

confidence = 3

105. Villareal to beat Sevilla @ 3.8

confidence = 4

106. Udinese to beat Siena @ 2.9

confidence = 1

107. Atalanta double chance vs Inter @ 2.12

confidence = 2

108. Napoli to beat Catania @ 4.2

confidence = 3

109. Torino to beat Empoli @ 2.1

confidence = 2

110. Sampdoria to beat Livorno @ 1.61

confidence = 3

111. Borussia Dortmund to beat Bayer Leverkusen @ 2.56

confidence = 1

112. Barca to beat Getafe @ 1.42

confidence = 5

profit of 4.01pts on the day

new bank = 96.89pts
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

112+1: Southend to beat Brighton @ 1.84

confidence = 4

114: Notts Forest to beat Bristol Rovers @ 1.72

confidence = 2

115. Pompey double chance vs West Ham @ 1.69

confidence = 4


profit of 4.12pts on the night

new bank = 101.01pts
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

2 late ones which i forgot to record for the CL..

116. Barcelona to beat Schalke @ 1.51

confidence = 4

117. Man Utd to beat Roma @ 1.73

confidence = 4

profit of 5.01pts on the night

new bank = 106.02pts
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

118. Everton to beat Birmingham DNB @ 1.72

confidence = 4

119. West Ham double chance vs Bolton @ 1.9

confidence = 4

120. AV to beat Derby @ 1.68

confidence = 2

121. Portsmouth to beat Newcastle DNB @ 1.53

confidence = 3

122. Sunderland to beat Man City DNB @ 1.53

confidence = 4

123. Spurs/Boro draw @ 3.95

confidence = 2

124. Wolves to beat Bristol City @ 3.0

confidence = 3

125. Sheffield Utd to beat Burnley @ 3.25

confidence = 3

126. Cardiff to beat Blackpool @ 2.04

confidence = 3

127. Charlton/Soton draw @ 3.75

confidence = 2

128. Stoke/Coventry draw @ 3.5

confidence = 2

129. Crystal Palace to beat Scunthorpe @ 1.63

confidence = 2

130. Hull/QPR draw @ 4.2

confidence = 1

131. Colchester double chance vs Leicester @ 2.42

confidence = 1

132. Bournemouth to beat Bristol Rovers @ 2.2

confidence = 2

133. Hartlepool to beat Millwall @ 2.14

confidence = 1

134. Oldham to beat Leyton Orient @ evens

confidence = 2

135. Port Vale to beat Huddersfield @ 2.42

confidence = 1

136. Southend to beat Northampton @ 1.69

confidence = 2

137. Nottingham Forest to beat Tranmere @ 2.98

confidence = 2

138. Bury to beat Barnet @ 3.15

confidence = 2

139. Rochdale to beat Dagenham @ 2.2

confidence = 4

140. Hereford to beat Darlingotn @ 3.1

confidence = 2

141. Stockport to beat Peterboro @ 4.1

confidence = 1

excellent day...profit of 17.81pts

new bank = 123.83pts

strike rate:

33 wins

4 pushes

33 losses

pretty pleased with that SR as it stands, hopefully after a while i can optimise my staking .
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

had chelsea to beat wigan -1.5 AH for 4pts but cancelled it after seeing no Lampard or Drogba in the teamsheet.

Still, thought that Plymouth looked a bit over-priced against Sheffield Wednesday...it's strange how sometimes these value picks either come through or trade lower. In the last week or so, Crystal Palace, Arsenal and Stockport have all either won or scored the first goal after some eyebrow-raising prices of 4/1.

142. Plymouth to beat Sheffield Wednesday @ 4.1

confidence = 1
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

bank = 122.83pts


confidence 5 = 6.14
confidence 4 = 4.91
confidence 3 = 3.68
confidence 2 = 2.46
confidence 1 = 1.23

143. Liverpool double chance vs Birmingham @ 1.54

confidence = 3

144. Chelsea double chance vs Man Utd @ 1.43

confidence = 3

145. Man City/Fulham over 3.5 goals @ 4.2

confidence = 3

146. Sunderland/Boro draw @ 3.15

confidence = 2

147. Spurs/Bolton over 2.5 goals @ 1.85

confidence = 3

148. Newcastle DNB vs West Ham @ 2.05

confidence = 4

149. Wigan DNB vs Reading @ 1.53

confidence = 3

150. Burnley to beat Cardiff @ 2.2

confidence = 2

151. Colchester to beat Stoke @ 5.6

confidence = 2

152. Southend to beat Tranmere @ 2.4

confidence = 2

153. Darlington to beat Dagenham and Redbridge @ 2.16

confidence = 2

154. Deportivo La Coruna double chance vs Barcelona @ 1.46

confidence = 4

155. Murcia double chance vs Sevilla @ 1.56 (in-play)

confidence = 3

156. 9 and under corners in Murcia/Sevilla @ 2.3

confidence = 4

profit of 10.02pts on the day
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[thetitan]

bank = 130.85pts


confidence 5 = 6.54
confidence 4 = 5.23
confidence 3 = 3.93
confidence 2 = 2.62
confidence 1 = 1.31

some highly speculative shouts today......

157. Carl Zeiss Jena to beat Hoffenheim @ 8.0

confidence = 1

158. St Pauli to beat Augsburg @ 4.7

confidence = 1

159. Mainz to beat Osnabruck @ 2.12

confidence = 1

160. Sampdoria to beat Fiorentina @ 4.3

confidence = 1

161. Livorno to beat AC Milan @ 8.8

confidence = 1

162. Parma to beat Reggina @ 5.5

confidence = 1

163. Napoli to beat Siena @ 2.16

confidence = 1

164. Atalanta to beat Palermo @ 4.6

confidence = 1

165. Inter/Cagliari draw @ 5.5

confidence = 1

166. Blackburn double chance vs Pompey @ 1.6

confidence = 2
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.