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Euro 2008 Odds
Titan's Tennis Blog
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thetitan
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Joined: 25 Apr 2007
Posts: 2795

PostPosted: Thu Mar 06, 2008 7:38 pm    Post subject:

yep, didnt stay up for the Hewitt match but it seemed a strange one from what I can see!

OK day so far, small loss but still a few picks to be added from Las Vegas hopefully...although I've had a look and nothing stands out. In the women's, contemplating Venus Williams at about 1.5 to beat Vera Zvon but I'm concerned it might end in tears!

Djokovic should win this outright, but Roddick will be the biggest test I reckon. They're both playing very well, if Roddick serves like he did today then it could be a coin-flip in a couple of tie-breaks. Confused
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thetitan
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2008 11:06 am    Post subject:

25. Feliciano Lopez to beat Davydenko @ 2.84

confidence = 3

highest reached = about 16.0

26. Roddick to beat Djokovic @ 3.3


confidence = 2

highest reached = 4.1



so, a very nice start to this blog...I'm keeping disciplined and avoiding some tough calls in las vegas and in the WTA so I'm pleased with that.

will post up tomorrow's bets later on, already on roddick to beat lopez @ 1.3 in the outright market and it's already down to 1.23!

total spent: 26pts

returns: 33.1pts

strike rate: 19 winners, 7 losers

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thetitan
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2008 2:25 pm    Post subject:

27. Roddick to beat Feliciano Lopez @ 1.3

confidence = 5

highest price reached = 2.6

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thetitan
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 09, 2008 4:47 pm    Post subject:

28. Kevin Anderson to beat Sam Querrey @ 2.6

confidence = 3

not sure about the lowest price reached, but he won the first set so I'm guessing something like 1.5ish.

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thetitan
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 13, 2008 5:48 pm    Post subject:

not been much on the past couple of days but here are my picks for today...

29. Llodra to beat Lee @ 1.49

confidence = 4


30. Seppi to beat Capdeville @ 1.56

confidence = 2


31. Kiefer to beat Sela @ 1.41

confidence = 3


32. Soderling to beat Grosjean @ 1.4

confidence = 4


33. Spadea to beat Ginepri @ 2.62

confidence = 2


34. Tursunov to beat Becker @ 1.4

confidence = 3

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thetitan
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 14, 2008 7:23 pm    Post subject:

35. Safina to beat Craybas @ 1.33

confidence = 4

highest traded = 2.1


36. Hantuchova to beat Haynes @ 1.15

confidence = 5

one way traffic for dani


37. Alona Bondarenko to beat Pironkova @ 2.08

confidence = 1

highest reached = 2.22


38. Arvidsson to beat Cibulkova @ 2.76

confidence = 2

lowest traded = 1.3

39. Peng to beat Knapp @ 2.34

confidence = 2


40. Montanes to beat Hanescu @ 3.05

confidence = 2

lowest reached = 1.5


41. Berrer to beat de Voest @ 1.81

confidence = 2


42. Massu to beat Tipsarevic @ 3.05

confidence = 2

highest reached = 20.0


43. Peer to beat Amanmuradova @ 1.46

confidence = 4

highest reached = 1.6



44. Radwanska to beat Koryttseva @ 1.2

confidence = 4

45. Gulbis to beat Hernandez @ 1.25

confidence = 5

46. Johansson to beat Lu @ 1.55

confidence = 3


47. Mauresmo to beat Gallovits @ 1.28

confidence = 4


48. Kateryna Bondarenko to beat Jie Zheng @ 1.98

confidence = 3


49. Acasuso to beat Mirnyi @ 1.74

confidence = 3

50. Kirilenko to beat Wozniacki @ 2.2

confidence = 3


51. Simon to beat Berlocq @ 1.22

confidence = 5


52. Sharapova to beat Cohen Aloro @ 1.03

confidence = 5

53. Querrey to beat Horna @ 1.41

confidence = 4


54. Korolev to beat Mahut @ 2.26

confidence = 1


55. Mirza to beat Savchuk @ 1.26

confidence = 5


56. Nishikori to beat Cilic @ 2.22

confidence = 3


57. Kuznetsova to beat Makarova @ 1.11

confidence = 5

58. Fish to beat Mayer @ 1.36

confidence = 5

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thetitan
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 15, 2008 9:00 pm    Post subject:

59. Djokovic to beat Seppi @ 1.1

confidence = 5

60. Ferrer to beat Rochus @ 1.35

confidence = 2

61. Wawrinka to beat Berdych @ 3.05

confidence = 2


63. Soderling to beat Gasquet @ 1.82

confidence = 2

64. Tsonga to beat Sela @ 1.25

confidence = 3


65. Ginepri to beat Moya @ 1.65

confidence = 4

66. Feliciano Lopez to beat Donald Young @ 1.64

confidence = 5

67. Blake to beat Gicquel @ 1.3

confidence = 5

68. Baghdatis to beat Odesnik @ 1.23

confidence = 5


69. Tursunov to beat Chela @ 1.57

confidence = 3

lowest traded = 1.01 Shocked


70. Ivanovic to beat Olaru @ 1.06

confidence = 5

71. Canas to beat Bjorkman @ 1.26

confidence = 4

72. Kohlschreiber to beat Malisse @ 1.73

confidence = 4

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thetitan
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PostPosted: Mon Mar 17, 2008 11:24 pm    Post subject:

73. Tsonga to beat PHM @ 1.8

confidence = 5

74. Davenport to beat Chan @ 1.11

confidence = 5


75. Ferrer to beat Lee @ 1.2

confidence = 5

76. Baghdatis to beat Wawrinka @ 1.75

confidence = 4


some highly confident bets here, i think tsonga and baggy are huge value. Can't fathom the drift on Wonga, Wawa's record this year is pretty shocking, baggy been pretty solid. 1.75 in--play is awesome value IMO.
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thetitan
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PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 7:23 pm    Post subject:

77. Randwanska to beat Harkleroad @ 1.4

confidence = 4

highest reached = 5.8, set and a break down

78. Kuznetsova to beat Wozniacki @ 1.4


confidence = 3

79. Ljubicic to beat Robredo @ 1.75


confidence = 3

80. Mario Ancic to beat JC Ferrero @ 1.66


confidence = 2

81. Sharapova to beat Alona Bondarenko @ 1.11


confidence = 4

82. Davydenko to beat Mardy Fish @ 1.4


confidence = 4


total spent = 82pts

total returns = 87.5pts

54 winners, 28 losers


confidence results:

spent = 271pts

returns = 292.41

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thetitan
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Posts: 2795

PostPosted: Wed Mar 19, 2008 12:03 pm    Post subject:

ok so i've shown about a 7% overall profit so far, so from now on, will update the balance at the end of each day and stake accordingly.

bank = 107pts

confidence = 5 = 5.34pts

confidence = 4 = 4.27pts

confidence = 3 = 3.2pts

confidence = 2 = 2.13pts

confidence = 1 = 1.07pts
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thetitan
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 02, 2008 7:42 pm    Post subject:

after a coupla weeks' holiday...

83. Nadal to beat Blake @ 1.65

confidence = 4

highest reached = 3.7


84. Davyenko to beat Tipsy @ 1.65

confidence = 2

OWT


85. Federer to beat Roddick @ 1.25

confidence = 4


86. Andreev to beat Berdych @ 3.9

confidence = 2


profit = 4.16pts

new bank = 111.16pts

confidence = 5 = 5.56pts

confidence = 4 = 4.45pts

confidence = 3 = 3.33pts

confidence = 2 = 2.22pts

confidence = 1 = 1.11pts

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thetitan
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 04, 2008 8:40 am    Post subject:

87. Roddick to beat Davydenko @ 1.5

confidence = 5

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