Beating bookies over round football challenge!!!

[gitto]

Read 6 books on value and rating systems and ready to start a blog and finish it through till May.
Here goes
starting with bank of 500 points

spurs 1.66 PP 50 points
spurs over 2.5 goals 30 points 1.8 SJames
chelsea 50 points 1.33 party
chelsea - 1.5 AH 2.06 bet 1128 17 points

I realise betting 10% of bank is risky but hey ho

[gitto]

chelsea game nett even
Spurs net -26 points

bank 476 points

verdit: you just can't account for strange team news, spurs team 3 up front, terrible choice, 1-4 newcastle. shocking. Ramos must have been up last night trying to work out how he can fit all 3 strikers in at the same time. answer: you don't. don;t think he will be doing that for a while.

chelsea: no lampard, no real threat. in fact Chelsea were lucky to survive at times. Next pick will await final team selections.

[gitto]

476

47 Newcastle 1.80
43 Chelsea under 2.5 goals 1.60
39 Wigan under 2.5 Goals 1.60
37 Sunderland 3.00

+37.60 newcastle
+25.80 chel
+23.4 wigan
+ 74 sunderland that's better, new bank 636.80

verdit
waited for team news first then put on bets. couldn't understand why newcastle and sunderland were a good price. chel/wigan games bit closer than thought otherwise good.

[gitto]

Champions league usually a no-go for me but low stakes bets.

5%

32 Lpool under 2.5 goals 1.55
30 Chelsea over 2.5 goals 1.75
29 Roma +0.5 2.1

[gitto]

another loss on champ leagues games -- no more from me.

new bank 545

SLand 2.1 54
Villa Draw 49
Ports draw 45
MU 1.9 40

[gitto]

nett gain 43

new bank 588

[gitto]

588

Arsenal -1.5 AH £59 2.02
WH -1.5 AH £53 2.22
BB v MU under 2.5 goals £47 1.96

£20 BB MU draw HF MU FT 5.1

verdit: pleased with the Arsenal and Unders bets but relying on West Ham to do anything is asking for trouble.

[gitto]

nett gain 32

new bank 620

[bospheros]

hello, could you give a brief 'idiots guide' to what your system is about.

i can't make head nor tail of it.

[gitto]

with pleasure Bos.
Only using bookies prices (not exchanges) I'm trying to make a profit between now till May using 10% of the bank each bet.
So, each bet they'll be a price (in decimal) a stake (now in £) and the selection. Then, at the end of the week a net gain/loss.

Err, that's about it really. Spend hours on stats looking @ prem games and usually make a profit but poor on champs league games

[gitto]

bank 620

Lay manu £20 for risk of £54
under 2.5 goals 1.6 £62 manu chelsea
chelsea £50 2.5

[gitto]

bank 650

Spurs 1.7 65
ManC 1.9 58
Wigan 1.95 53
Spurs over 2.5 goals 1.7 48