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wasimbutt2007
Group 3 Class
Joined: 26 Feb 2008
Posts: 62
Location: Reading
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 Posted: Tue Apr 01, 2008 6:11 pm Post subject: Correct score system |
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I have been trying out a new correct score system on premiership games only with low stakes to start of with.
Pick 10 matches and place £2 on each match for correct score which is £20 altogether. If you hit at least 2 out of 10, then you should make a bit of profit. Here was my bets this week.
Man Utd 2-1 Villa
Chelsea 1-0 Boro HIT AT 6/1
Bolton 1-2 Arsenal
Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Pompey 2-0 Wigan HIT AT 8/1
Spurs 1-3 Newcastle (ALMOST)
Reading 2-1 Blackburn
Derby 1-1 Fulham
Birmingham 1-0 Man City
Sunderland 2-1 West Ham HIT AT 9/1
TOTAL STAKE: £20 TOTAL RETURNS: £52
£32 PROFIT
I think it is quite good.
What do you lot think?
Any feedback would be well appreciated.
Thanks |
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Stuart Wilson
Group 2 Class
Joined: 17 Sep 2004
Posts: 219
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| Posted: Tue Apr 01, 2008 6:12 pm Post subject: |
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Looks like you got the HIT on the Liverpool game as well.
Good going though. |
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mattirawks
Listed Class
Joined: 28 Jun 2007
Posts: 34
Location: Devon
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| Posted: Tue Apr 15, 2008 6:39 pm Post subject: |
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pretty good going,
I personally think it's a throw of the dice trying to predict correct scores tho.
Good idea if you like it tho  |
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qhstatistics
Group 2 Class
Joined: 13 Jul 2007
Posts: 108
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| Posted: Tue Apr 15, 2008 8:21 pm Post subject: |
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i agree its too hit and miss, i mean what research do you do to predict these scores?
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wasimbutt2007
Group 3 Class
Joined: 26 Feb 2008
Posts: 62
Location: Reading
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| Posted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 4:26 pm Post subject: |
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i take a number of things into account when predicting the scores. here are some of the main reasons:
past meetings
current goals FOR
current goals AGAINST
Quality of a teams attack and defence
Recent form
Player's team preferences.
I know every system has a flaw, so if anyone can see some in mine, I would welcome some feedback.
Thanks |
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wasimbutt2007
Group 3 Class
Joined: 26 Feb 2008
Posts: 62
Location: Reading
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| Posted: Wed Apr 16, 2008 7:52 pm Post subject: |
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i am again doing the same after researching the factors above. Here are my selections for this week:
ARSENAL 2-1 READING
BLACKBURN 1-2 MAN UTD
MIDDLESBROUGH 1-0 BOLTON
WIGAN 2-1 SPURS
FULHAM 1-1 LIVERPOOL
MAN CITY 1-1 POMPEY
VILLA 3-0 BIRMINGHAM
WEST HAM 2-0 DERBY
NEWCASTLE 4-0 SUNDERLAND
what do you think? |
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Online Trader
Classic Winner
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Joined: 28 Oct 2007
Posts: 569
Location: Holte End Lower
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wasimbutt2007
Group 3 Class
Joined: 26 Feb 2008
Posts: 62
Location: Reading
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| Posted: Sat Apr 19, 2008 3:11 pm Post subject: |
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| i was meant to have arsenal down as 3-1 winners, however, didn't happen anyway, so bad start. |
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wasimbutt2007
Group 3 Class
Joined: 26 Feb 2008
Posts: 62
Location: Reading
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| Posted: Sun Apr 20, 2008 6:32 pm Post subject: |
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ok bad week, but i was hurt by a couple of 'strange' results.
Blackburn vs United
Boro vs Bolton (really surprised me!)
I personally think this system will work best during the middle of the season, during games 10-30 as every team probably will have something to play for and i will have enough statistics to collate.
I will try again next week, but won't be surprised if i get same results. |
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bospheros
Group 3 Class
Joined: 16 Mar 2008
Posts: 65
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| Posted: Sun Apr 20, 2008 11:31 pm Post subject: |
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Every week at work we do a Premier League Predictions comp, the winner usually only scores around 10 points (3pts for correct score, 1pt for picking the winner or a draw). Thats from around 15 people playing.
One guy got 19 points one week which was 6 correct scores, you'd get back about 60grand if you did a quid per line on sixfolds from 10.
But that was once in a season.
Your idea to do it as singles is probably better. But still, you'll never make money from it.
The lot on the Betfair Soccer forum do it too, check out how frequently they hit and see if any of them would be in profit if they bet their predictions.
I'd doubt it. |
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bospheros
Group 3 Class
Joined: 16 Mar 2008
Posts: 65
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| Posted: Sun Apr 20, 2008 11:34 pm Post subject: |
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my predictions this week were:
arse 2-1 reading
bburn 1-3 mancs
fulham 1-1 pool
boro 2-1 bolton
wham 2-1 derby  
wigan 1-1 spuddies
villa 2-0 brum
mancity 0-0 pompey
toon 2-1 mackems
2/9 rubbish! |
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bospheros
Group 3 Class
Joined: 16 Mar 2008
Posts: 65
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| Posted: Sun Apr 20, 2008 11:40 pm Post subject: |
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the winner got 3/10 (12 points) and he beat lawro (bbc website) who got 10 points and 2 correct scores.
i think i heard a story bout a bloke who won £180 grand by sticking a quid on a 10 fold accy on the last PL fixtures from last season, got every score right.
... bet he wishes he'd stuck a tenner on it! |
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