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Betfairalfie
At Stud
Joined: 01 Mar 2005
Posts: 4666
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 Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 11:56 am Post subject: |
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http://www.expertbettingadvice.co.uk/forum/thread18432.html
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To summarise, with examples based on a starting bank of £3,000 (if you're reckless enough to try them, you can scale up or down proportionally to your own bank) ...
Prices below 3.5: Lay to 1% of bank - backer's stake £30 (my liability under £75)
Prices from 3.6 to 7.4: Lay to 0.6% of bank - backer's stake £18 (my liability £46.80 - £115.20)
Prices from 7.5 to 11: Lay to 0.4% of bank - backer's stake £12 (my liability £78 - £132) |
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sportking
Group 2 Class
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 200
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| Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 1:25 pm Post subject: |
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cheers mate
jeez i was well out but any way that will be my staking plan
good start
cobo bay lost
just worked out the %'s .4% = 1.20 is this allowed on Betfair or is is min 2
once again thanks for your help |
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sportking
Group 2 Class
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 200
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| Posted: Fri Apr 25, 2008 4:25 pm Post subject: |
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well thats a good start
today's losers
sand
1.15 cobo bay @5.6 won 1.80
1.50 illustrious blue @8.4 won 1.20
2.25 chartist @7.2 won 1.80
3.00 charm school @1.98 won 3.00
3.35 sovereign's honour @6.8 won 1.80
4.10 captain webb @2.5 won 3.00
wolv
2.15 skadrack @1.8 won 3.00
so i won 15.60 less 5% comm = 14.82
bank now stands at 314.82 look out maria  |
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sportking
Group 2 Class
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 200
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| Posted: Sat Apr 26, 2008 9:46 am Post subject: |
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| i read somewhere not to do this bet on weekends so i will be back monday |
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sportking
Group 2 Class
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 200
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| Posted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 11:19 am Post subject: |
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staking plan now 3.14-1.86-1.24
yar
2.00 yaddree @ 6.4
2.30 imperial sword @ 3.5
3.00 legal eagle @ 7.8
3.30 ingleby arch @ 2.76
4.00 cyborg @ 4.9
ling
2.20 zamboozle @ 4.5 |
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sportking
Group 2 Class
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 200
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| Posted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 4:05 pm Post subject: |
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with 2 n.r's and the rest all losing not a bad day won 10 pts in all
bank now stands 324.82 |
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sportking
Group 2 Class
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 200
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| Posted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 9:51 am Post subject: |
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staking plan - 3.24 - 1.92 - 1.28
bath
2.10 caressing @ 4.7
2.40 brigadore @ 5
3.10 celtic dragon @ 5.8
3.40 mista rossa @ 5.8
4.10 naughty thoughts @ 2.18
4.40 dubai princess @ 9.4
5.10 capefly @ 4.7
could this be the day where it hits the fan  |
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sportking
Group 2 Class
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 200
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| Posted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 11:11 am Post subject: |
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oops forgot about the 5% comm yesterday will amend after today's racing  |
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Betfairalfie
At Stud
Joined: 01 Mar 2005
Posts: 4666
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| Posted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 3:10 pm Post subject: |
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| A suggestion if I may? Might be worth noting BF SPs and seeing what effect laying at those SPs may have had. Just seen your 2:40 Lay went off at bookie SP5/2 so maybe your Lay of 5.00 could have been a Betfair SP Lay @3.70/3.80 e.g you would have risked less for same profit? |
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sportking
Group 2 Class
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 200
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| Posted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 3:33 pm Post subject: |
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to be honest with you mate i agree with you usually i just look up results but today i've been watching Betfair and they were all coming in shorter ( i think)
and i was thinking i was puting them on to early tomorrow i will look in the morning at the prices and take the sp and see what the difference is
once again thanks for the info 
looked at mista rossa sp it was 4.9 so ye good point |
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sportking
Group 2 Class
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 200
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| Posted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 5:20 pm Post subject: |
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well another good day 1 n.r rest all lost, won 12.20 inc comm
amended bank 324.32 made no difference to staking plan
new bank 336.52
staking plan now 3.36 - 1.98 - 1.32 |
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sportking
Group 2 Class
Joined: 26 May 2006
Posts: 200
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| Posted: Wed Apr 30, 2008 10:25 am Post subject: |
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ascot
2.10 skid solo @3.15
2.45 makaaseb @2.96
3.20 cesare @ 2.64
3.55 peppertree lane @7.6
4.30 fat boy @2.96
5.05 the snatcher 10.5 (this one doesn't count at the mo will wait and see what sp is)
i put up the prices from earlier but i am going with sp's today |
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