EPL Big 4 AH betting system and record

[Ipoh Shark]

I will be tracking the AH results of the Big 4 of the EPL again throughout the coming 08/09 season.
I had a profitable run on my no-brainer system last season, so will be keeping faith it and backing the Big 4 with real money.
[The results of the Big 4 on even money will be retained as a record.]

The rules are the same.
1) 100 per game on each of the Big 4 whatever Asian Handicap given.
2) Any bet which loses, I will start with another 100 again, until I get a win.
3) For a bet which wins, the stake plus profit will all be put on the next game. For example, bet 1 @ 1.95 wins, 195 will be placed on the 2nd bet. If the 2nd bet loses, it will be back to square 1 again, i.e. start with 100 again.
4) The max rollover will be 3 bets. Whatever happens to Bet 3, I will start with 100 again on Bet 4.
5) Just to see how far my money can go, I will be backing blindly on them using the system even though my instincts tell me otherwise.

[Ipoh Shark]

10.8.08
MU AH -1 @ 2.05 v Portsmouth (Bet 1= 100)

13.8.08
Twente v Arsenal AH -0.5/1 @ 1.8 (Bet 1= 100)
Std Liege v Lpool AH -1.25 @ 2.05 (Bet 1= 100)

Results of betting system (staked, returns, net)
Arsenal (100, 180, +80)
Chelsea (0, 0, 0)
Liverpool (100, 0, -100)
MU (100, 0, -100)
Overall (net) = -120

AH results to date (AH results, staked, returns, net) AH form
Arsenal (1w-0d-0l, 100, 180, +80) W
Chelsea (0w-0d-0l, 0, 0, 0)
Liverpool (0w-0d-1l, 100, 0, -100) L
MU (0w-0d-1l, 100, 0, -100) L
Overall (net) = -120

[Ipoh Shark]

16/17.8.07
Sunderland v Lpool AH -0.5/1 @ 1.95 (Bet 1= 100) half
Arsenal AH -1.5/2 @ 2.025 v West Brom (Bet 2= 180)
Chelsea AH -1.5 @ 2.1 v Portsmouth (Bet 1= 100)
MU AH -1.5 @ 1.85 v Newcastle (Bet 1= 100)

Results of betting system (staked, returns, net)
Arsenal (280, 180, -100)
Chelsea (100, 210, +110)
Liverpool (200, 148, -52)
MU (200, 0, -200)
Overall (net) = -242

AH results to date (AH results, staked, returns, net) AH form
Arsenal (1w-0d-1l, 200, 180, -20) LW
Chelsea (1w-0d-0l, 100, 210, +110) W
Liverpool (1w-0d-1l, 200, 148, -52) WL
MU (0w-0d-2l, 200, 0, -200) LL
Overall (net) = -162

[Ipoh Shark]

23.8.07
Lpool AH -1.5 @ 2.15 v Boro (Bet 2= 148)
Fulham v Arsenal AH -0.5/1 @ 1.825 (Bet 1= 100)
Wigan v Chelsea AH -1/1.5 @ 2.1 (Bet 2= 210) half
Portsmouth v MU AH -0.5 @ 1.85 (Bet 1= 100)

Results of betting system (staked, returns, net)
Arsenal (380, 180, -200)
Chelsea (310, 315, +5)
Liverpool (348, 148, -200)
MU (300, 185, -115)
Overall (net) = -510

AH results to date (AH results, staked, returns, net) AH form
Arsenal (1w-0d-2l, 300, 180, -120) LLW
Chelsea (1w-0d-1l, 200, 260, +60) LW
Liverpool (1w-0d-2l, 300, 148, -152) LWL
MU (1w-0d-2l, 300, 185, -115) WLL
Overall (net) = -327

[Ipoh Shark]

27.8.07
Lpool AH -1.5/2 @ 1.9 v Std Liege (Bet 1= 100)
Arsenal AH -1.5/2 @ 1.95 v Twente (Bet 1= 100)

Results of betting system (staked, returns, net)
Arsenal (480, 375, -105)
Chelsea (310, 315, +5)
Liverpool (448, 148, -300)
MU (300, 185, -115)
Overall (net) = -515

AH results to date (AH results, staked, returns, net) AH form
Arsenal (2w-0d-2l, 400, 375, -25) WLLW
Chelsea (1w-0d-1l, 200, 260, +60) LW
Liverpool (1w-0d-3l, 400, 148, -252) LLWL
MU (1w-0d-2l, 300, 185, -115) WLL
Overall (net) = -332

[Ipoh Shark]

30.8.08
Arsenal AH -1 @ 1.875 v Newcastle (Bet 2= 195)
Villa v Lpool AH -0.25 @ 2.05 (Bet 1= 100)
Chelsea AH -1/1.5 @ 2 v Spurs (Bet 1= 100)
MU AH -0.5/1 @ 1.825 v Zenit (Bet 2= 185)

Results of betting system (staked, returns, net)
Arsenal (480, 375, -105)
Chelsea (310, 315, +5)
Liverpool (448, 148, -300)
MU (300, 185, -115)
Overall (net) = -515

AH results to date (AH results, staked, returns, net) AH form
Arsenal (2w-0d-2l, 400, 375, -25) WLLW
Chelsea (1w-0d-1l, 200, 260, +60) LW
Liverpool (1w-0d-3l, 400, 148, -252) LLWL
MU (1w-0d-2l, 300, 185, -115) WLL
Overall (net) = -332

[oses32]

You should make money in long term when you play AGAINST big 4

[Ipoh Shark]

30.8.08
Arsenal AH -1 @ 1.875 v Newcastle (Bet 2= 195)
Villa v Lpool AH -0.25 @ 2.05 (Bet 1= 100) half
Chelsea AH -1/1.5 @ 2 v Spurs (Bet 1= 100)
MU AH -0.5/1 @ 1.825 v Zenit (Bet 2= 185)

Results of betting system (staked, returns, net)
Arsenal (675, 740.6, +65.6)
Chelsea (410, 315, -95)
Liverpool (548, 198, -350)
MU (485, 185, -300)
Overall (net) = -679.4

AH results to date (AH results, staked, returns, net) AH form
Arsenal (3w-0d-2l, 500, 562.5, +62.5) WWLLW
Chelsea (1w-0d-2l, 300, 260, -40) LLW
Liverpool (1w-0d-4l, 500, 198, -302) LLLWL
MU (1w-0d-3l, 400, 185, -215) LWLL
Overall (net) = -494.5

[Ipoh Shark]

thanks for ur comment, oses32.
i believe ur statement is true only in different stages of the season, these big teams will have their long win/loss runs...
let's see how this pans out at the end of this season...

[Ipoh Shark]

13.9.08
Blackburn v Arsenal AH -0.5 @ 1.83 (Bet 3= 366)
Lpool AH 0 @ 2 v MU AH 0 @ 1.9 (No Bet)
Man City v Chelsea AH -0.5 @ 1.925 (Bet 1= 100)

Results of betting system (staked, returns, net)
Arsenal (675, 740.6, +65.6)
Chelsea (410, 315, -95)
Liverpool (548, 198, -350)
MU (485, 185, -300)
Overall (net) = -679.4

AH results to date (AH results, staked, returns, net) AH form
Arsenal (3w-0d-2l, 500, 562.5, +62.5) WWLLW
Chelsea (1w-0d-2l, 300, 260, -40) LLW
Liverpool (1w-0d-4l, 500, 198, -302) LLLWL
MU (1w-0d-3l, 400, 185, -215) LWLL
Overall (net) = -494.5

[oses32]

I mean that odds on big 4 are lowered because lot of recreational players betting on big 4 wins.

[Ipoh Shark]

yeah, i agree that there will be lots of recreational players on the Big 4. However, i believe this effect will be minimal as:
1) the amount bet by such players will not be high and will normally not be enough to "move" the market,
2) there are many punters who just Lay (i.e. bet on the opposing side) the Big 4 every match the whole season; much like this blog of mine only taking the opposite team.

The Big 4 will be there or thereabouts at the end of every season and i don't think they can afford to lose too many matches the whole season if the want to qualify for Europe. So, even though the odds might be low, getting on them at the correct time (easier said than done) will still bring u a profit.