FA Cup Final - Porstmouth v Cardiff

[keno]

I am looking on placing a (removed - no monentry discussions please) bet on Portsmouth to win within the 90mins,i know there price is 8/11

Really though i want to sign upto a new site where they will then give me a free bet for £100 if possible or even £50.

With the odds being below evs will it be possible to gain a fre bet?
And also which site should i join upto?

Any help greatly appreciated

[lewishaynes]

I wouldn't really reccommend the bet in the first place to be honest. I would call a draw by 90 minutes or even cardiff. I think Cardiff on the day will step up to it (i hope so) Though i wont be putting any money on it i think.

Buttt

To answer your question, I would try Betfair. Or reccomend maybe a telephone account as they do offers on them because there a dying breed. I know William Hill has deposit £25 on telephone account and they will give you a free £50 bet

[keno]

Thanks for your reply.

I already have a Betfair account and w.hill am afraid.

The above are the only two accounts i do have online(suppose i should of mentioned that in my original post really)

So now need a different site...

[dorrian3]

stay away from this imo
i will think cardiff will win this but going to stay away

[betking]

Pompey are in an awful run of form, and their FA Cup luck is due to end. Also no Defoe, so they'll be relying on Baros/Nugent/Kanu up front.

Im tempted to Lay Pompey, they're just so poor lately.

[lewishaynes]

Petfred are doing something at the moment. They match your first bet up to £50 and then match every tenner up to 100 that you also put on. Something along those lines anyway mate. check it out on the website, link the link at the top which says promotions, in a red box cant miss it hope thsi helps

[keno]

Thanks mate,will have a look now.

First bet must be evs or greater which pompey are not.

[nors]

Trading Talk - a sports trading preview from Sporting Index for you Spread bettors

The Premier League is over for another year, but before the historic all-English Champions League Final and Euro 2008 Championships; we have the traditional curtain closer to the English season on Saturday. Punters would have made hundreds, if not thousands, if they had correctly predicted that Portsmouth and Cardiff would have been lining up at Wembley for the FA Cup Final on Saturday 17th May. Sporting Index have Pompey as the 0.7-0.9 favourites and buyers at 0.9 will be hoping for a repeat of the last time the sides met when the South Coast outfit won 2-0 at Ninian Park in the fourth round of the League Cup back in 2004/2005. However, the last five times the sides have played have all been cup ties and Pompey and the Bluebirds have both won two apiece.

Buyers of Pompey supremacy will be hoping for an improvement in form, as Harry Redknapp’s side have now lost four in a row. Cardiff on the other hand ended the season in confident mood beating their semi-final opponents Barnsley 3-0 on the last day of the season. Pompey buyers will be pleased to hear that since the Premier League began, there have been 63 neutral matches in the two major domestic competitions. The teams lower in the league, or in a lower league, won four of the first five such games, but only 11 of 58 since, with the superior team winning 34 and only losing 9 in that time. This is even more prevalent in the FA Cup specifically, as the team in the superior league position has won 38 of 47 neutral ties.

Portsmouth have found it very difficult to hit the net in recent weeks and have only managed to score twice in the past six games, which will give sellers of total goals at 2.4 encouragement. In fact, their goal ratio in the FA Cup has also been low and the six goals they’ve scored on route to the final is the lowest since the Premier League started (Arsenal scored seven in 1998). In the Premier League era just over 40% (28/69) of neutral cup ties have produced three or more goals and over a third (25/69) have had one or none in 90 minutes. It is even more applicable in the FA Cup with just 37% (19/52) of neutral matches seeing more than two goals and 40% (21/52) ending with no more than one. Buyers of total goals at 2.6 will be boosted by Cardiff’s final five league games though, as they averaged just over 4 goals per game.

Buyers of goals won’t be happy that finals are even lower scoring than regular FA Cup ties. Only four of the last 16 FA Cup finals (including one replay) have seen three goals or more – and only five of 22 over the last 20 years. The presence of a lower league team does not appear to make much difference either. Since 1992/1993, the majority (10/17) of matches at neutral venues involving teams from outside the top flight have resulted in two goals or fewer – nearly half the matches (8/17) ending with one goal or none at all.

Sports spread betting involves a high level of risk and you can lose more than your original stake. It is not suitable for everyone so please ensure you understand the risks involved and only bet with money you can afford to lose. Sporting Index is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

[qwerty52]

I always have a bet in the first goalscorer in the cup final, something of a pub tradition if you will. I wouldn't really go near this game if it wasn't such an important day but since it is,

Who would you pick to score first?

I was thinking along the lines of the set piece takers. An open play goal looks unlikely based on both the weakness of Portsmouth's strikers, (no Defoe as mentioned) plus the strength of their defence (dependent on fitness of course) will probably nullify Cardiff's attack. This also makes no goalscorers in 90 mins sound slightly tempting.

What do you guys think?

[Betfairalfie]

qwerty -

[ids81o]

Rednapp will want to win this with a bit of flair. He's west ham and negative football on a big day like this won't enter his mind. Cardiff will go for it as well. I don't know who will win but over 2 goals is a cert.

[madbobmagee]

The only bets I'm considering are

1-0 Pompey @ 6/1
HT/FT Pompey/Draw @ 16/1
HT/FT Draw/Pompey @ 7/2

I'll qoute Redknapp himself on why;

"It would be nice to put on a performance in the final but it's more important to win, in 10 years' time they'll only remember who won it, not how they played."

Cardiff with a +1 corner handicap @ 5/4 looks good for a wee punt and here is why;

Nine out of their last 13 games Pompey have come second best on the corner count.

The other four games saw them level with West Brom and win the other three by just the one corner.

So based on the handicap which sees them start at -1 corner on Saturday, they'd not have won this market a single time.

Contrast that with Cardiff who, with a one-corner advantage, have come out on top in eight of their last 10.