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Football - Tues 08.07.08
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TLEMCEN
Group 3 Class


Joined: 03 Jun 2007
Posts: 66

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 8:14 am    Post subject: Football - Tues 08.07.08

LEAGUE date GD MATCHES H2H PREDICTION %
1 X 2 TIPS AVERAGE ODDS
1 X 2 FINAL
Score
AU1 flag 18:30 0 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 53 26 22 1 2.90 3.20 2.50
date MATCHES Score
26-4 Sturm Graz v Austria Karnten W 3:1
20-4 LASK Linz v Sturm Graz W 1:2
12-4 Sturm Graz v Wacker Innsbr. W 2:0
5-4 Salzburg v Sturm Graz L 3:0
29-3 Sturm Graz v Austria Wien L 1:2
22-3 Mattersburg v Sturm Graz D 1:1

date MATCHES Score
26-4 Ried v Rapid Wien W 0:1
20-4 Rapid Wien v Altach W 3:0
11-4 Rapid Wien v Austria Karnten W 2:1
6-4 LASK Linz v Rapid Wien W 1:2
29-3 Rapid Wien v Wacker Innsbr. W 4:1
23-3 Salzburg v Rapid Wien W 0:7
# team points g.dif. overall home away

GD Home Draw Away 1 % X % 2 %
-10 1 1 1 33.33 33.33 33.33
-9 8 0 0 100.00 0.00 0.00
-8 1 4 3 12.50 50.00 37.50
-7 2 4 5 18.18 36.36 45.45
-6 6 2 3 54.55 18.18 27.27
-5 9 6 3 50.00 33.33 16.67
-4 9 7 2 50.00 38.89 11.11
-3 10 4 7 47.62 19.05 33.33
-2 15 5 5 60.00 20.00 20.00
-1 13 7 4 54.17 29.17 16.67
0 17 7 7 54.84 22.58 22.58
1 23 8 6 62.16 21.62 16.22
2 8 10 3 38.10 47.62 14.29
3 16 12 9 43.24 32.43 24.32
4 11 6 2 57.89 31.58 10.53
5 9 5 3 52.94 29.41 17.65
6 4 3 3 40.00 30.00 30.00
7 6 3 1 60.00 30.00 10.00
8 7 0 1 87.50 0.00 12.50
9 0 1 1 0.00 0.00 0.00
10 2 0 2 50.00 0.00 50.00


tip 1
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TLEMCEN
Group 3 Class


Joined: 03 Jun 2007
Posts: 66

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 8:33 am    Post subject: my system

about my system:

Well i can not make more details nor enter in deep explanations cause my system is protected and SECRET

but what you should know it is not a GUESS , it is based on StATISTICS, and I have backtested the data (statistics) for a whole season, further more it was no easy task that i checked and backtested a wide data range from 2000 to 2008, with good results
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kilkennycat
Triple Crown Winner


Joined: 04 Sep 2007
Posts: 2271
Location: Kilkenny (All Ireland Champs)

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 8:47 am    Post subject:

Tlemcen if you are tipping Sturm Graz to win why are you backing the draw in the tipster comp.?
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madbobmagee
Classic Winner


Joined: 12 May 2008
Posts: 582
Location: Donegal, Ireland

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 9:32 am    Post subject:

As it's a friendly then I'd avoid it like the plague as you wont know what the managers have in mind as you could have half the team subbed in the 2nd half with reserves or something like that and the players more than likely wont be caring too much either.

On another note, how many people who make tips in here actually put their own money on them? I personally have money on every tip I make in the forum ( not all tips in the comp though ). The reason I ask is I wouldn't be willing to bet on someones tip if they weren't willing to themselves.
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“When it is obvious that the goals cannot be reached, don't adjust the goals, adjust the action steps.”

Confucius
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welshie1
Triple Crown Winner

Read My Blog!

Joined: 31 Aug 2007
Posts: 1349

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 1:15 pm    Post subject:

I will be honest I dont place any money on my tips because I am not a serious betting man, I say that in my public profile. But what I do think I have is a lot of sporting knowledge especially of European football and if people want to place bets on my opinion then I would be glad and I would hope for a winner.

I fancy a draw in the Austrian game, first match of the season, two pretty evenly matched sides on paper tonight. Rapid are the reigning champions and do have the better known players but Sturm Graz are the home side and did play in the Intertoto on Saturday.
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Read my Boxing blogs, previews of fights happening all over the World. Previews and tips on the wonderful sport of Boxing!

Just go to Welshie1's blog, look at the categories and select Boxing, simple!
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poolspunter
Listed Class


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 35
Location: Finland

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 1:49 pm    Post subject:

When I post my tip here, then I have invested my money on it Wink I suggest that people make own decisions when betting. It´s good to have here other peoples opinions, but when it´s about your money, you should make own decisions how to invest them. Sometimes you could find here very good information that can affect your decision, so that is why I use to visit here often Smile
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mahersfa
2yo


Joined: 23 Apr 2008
Posts: 7

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 3:07 pm    Post subject:

If i post a tip i have my money down on it for the simple reason that if i didn't then i would be raging if it won! lol

I agree tho if some1 is just firing out random tips and not stickin some money down then I wouldn't feel too confident in backing them myself although I generally use this forum to see if anyone has picked the same tip as myself and what their reasons are behind picking it. Helps me make a more informed decision i suppose.

as for this sturm graz match i fancy rapid vienna to win 2-0, sturm graz won 2-0 at the weekend there in the intertoto and looked well for it but they were playing a side with nowhere near the quality that rapid vienna have. these 2 teams played 4 times last season with 2 wins to each

Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz 2:1 08.03.2008
Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien 0:2 02.03.2008
Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz 1:5 16.09.2007
Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien 1:0 03.09.2007

rapid vienna taking the last when they really got into their stride in the season. The champions will be looking to make a good start to the season here and maintain their grasp on the title and I feel that they'll have just a little too much class for sturm graz so i'll be going £20 on rapid vienna and £5 on 0-2 scoreline out of my PaddyPower kitty Fingers Crossed
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Epic
Group 1 Class


Joined: 26 Apr 2006
Posts: 476

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 3:46 pm    Post subject:

I actually find betting on pre-season friendlies quite profitable. Especially with a "big" team playing an amateur side. It's a sure winner. Odds are short, but it's still money, and as long as I don't lose, I'm happy to keep doing this. Recent winners include Hertha Berlin easy 5:0 win over SV Thal, B.Leverkusen win over SV Darmstadt 98. Tonight going with Schalke to beat SpVgg Erkenschwick.

Last summer made a big profit with Man Utd's pre-season tour in Asia and Liverpool's friendlies vs lower league sides like Crewe.
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mahersfa
2yo


Joined: 23 Apr 2008
Posts: 7

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 3:55 pm    Post subject:

around about how much were you betting per match epic?
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madbobmagee
Classic Winner


Joined: 12 May 2008
Posts: 582
Location: Donegal, Ireland

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 4:49 pm    Post subject:

Thanks for the honesty folks, I am not intending to start a monetary debate as that should be left out of here and is somewhat irrelevant as people have varying degrees of wealth. I am just satisfying my own curiosty really.
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“When it is obvious that the goals cannot be reached, don't adjust the goals, adjust the action steps.”

Confucius
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MrBored
Group 3 Class


Joined: 22 Jun 2008
Posts: 53

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 5:51 pm    Post subject:

I've only been on a short while, but have backed my tips with my cash (with varying degrees of success! Laughing ).

Certainly agree that you shouldn't bet just on someone else's tip... use it as a suggestion and make your own opinion.
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Epic
Group 1 Class


Joined: 26 Apr 2006
Posts: 476

PostPosted: Tue Jul 08, 2008 7:29 pm    Post subject:

Quote:
around about how much were you betting per match epic?


The odds are low, so a big bet is required to get a decent enough return. Making combo bets is also useful. It's probably not very sensible though as if you lose, you lose big time. As I did earlier in the year with Man Utd losing to some Saudi team they had a friendly with, but to be honest that was a ridicolous game with the ref playing the win to the home side. If would've knowed that before the game I wouldn't had a bet on it.
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