Tuesday 14.10.2008

[jamiehowz]

International: World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL

Bolivia v Uruguay

Bolivia last ten competitive games W2 D3 L5 but of the last two games they have beaten Peru (I now not the best of sides but a win helps morale) 2-0 and drawn with Brazil in Rio De Janeiro 0-0
Uruguay last ten games W3 D3 L4 last five games have been a draw against Venezuela beat Peru 6-0 then beat Columbia 1-0 Drew with Ecuador and then unfortunately lost 2-1 to Argentina

H2H

Since 1926 they have played 31 times in competitive matches Uruguay have won 20 of them Bolivia have won 6 and 5 have been drawn out of the 31 games have been played Uruguay have scored 79 and conceded 18 averaging 3.1 goals per game
The last time Uruguay lost to Bolivia was in 1997

Uruguay win @3.3





Poland: League Cup Grp. D

Legia V Polonia Warszaw

Legia are THE side to beat in the polish 1st league and have started the season well but so have polonia w, both W5 D2 L1
Legia home record is W3 D1 scoring 9 conceding 3
Polinia w away record is W2 D2 scoring 8 conceding 3

H2H
Played each other 17 times most recent was in august which was a 2-2 draw
Legia have won 11 of the h2h and only lost the one they have drawn the other five Legia have averaged 2.06 goals throught the games and Polinia w just 0.59

At the start of looking at this fixture I thought tuff game to call well I still think it is but I belive Legia will win with confidence

Legia win @2.18

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[jimny2]

Uruguay will be missing 4 or 5 players after the bad tempered brawl against Argentina AFAIK, also playing at the high altitude in La Paz can be tough for teams...
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[Betfairalfie]

Bolivia v Uraguay
As mentioned above, this game is played at altitude and Uraquay punters should be wary.

The Estadio Hernando Siles stadium at Le Paz is 3600m above sea level. Fifa tried to ban all matches there but eventually allowed it as the only exclusion to their 3km maximum altitude for World Cup qualifiers. Bolivia’s record there this century is 14 wins, 6 draws and 5 loses.

It is true that Uraquay have never lost to Bolivia this century but the only two games played at le Paz in that period were drawn 0-0. Going back as far as 1926, Bolivia’s record against tonight’s opponents Uraguay at Le Paz is 5 won, 3 drawn and no loses.

“Lies, damn lies and statistics” I hear you shout. But the wise call would seem to be;

Bolivia double chance (1X) 5%@ 1.40 - widely available but be quick

Or back Bolivia 3% @2.48 on Betfair and Correct Score 0-0 1% @11.00 on Betfair

Sadly the OLBG contest won’t allow us to tip on this match.

[studiorex]

First post here so of course I'm going to be way off base!

But... I have to disagree with jamiehowz. The Legia v. Polonia game is a cup game and not league, so different factors are involved (mainly the desire to win). Legia have excellent performance in the league and may not be as interested in this cup as Polonia will be. Desire counts for a lot.

In this competition Polonia beat Legia 3-0 (all goals coming in second half) and are currently 2nd in their group (even with a game in hand).

In the 3 cup games they've played Polonia have only let in 1 goal whilst scoring 5, compared to Legia's performance of 4f-4a. (Legia themselves got a 3-0 against Lodz, not exactly difficult).

If you're going to have a flutter on this then I'd place low stakes on Polonia (Polonia win @ 3.6), and slightly more on the over 2.5 (over 2.5 @ 2.15)

[Orcam72]

Am I right in thinking that the St. Pats/Galway United game from the Eircom Premier League has been postponed again tonight?

[jamiehowz]

Yes it has
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[jamiehowz]

studiorex

how can you say that they wont be interessted in this cup and Polina will be interessted with no evidence of team selection to back this up
Yes i now this game will be tight as i stated in post but 'I' belive Legia will win with home advantage.
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[bornintobondage]

Any thoughts on the France v Tunsia Friendly tonight?

Though they only drew in the end, I thought France palyed well to up their game in the second half of the Romania game, being 2-0 down coming back to draw 2-2, and what I've seen of the highlights had a fair few chances against a decent Romanian team. Particualry Gourcuff and Ribery looked dangerous in the second half and I'm just thinking if both start tonight might be worth slappin quite a bit on the France Win here or even HT/FT Win for better odds,

Any thoughts??

[Orcam72]

[Online Trader]

France v Tunisia : HT/FT France - France Win @ 2.10

I can see goals in this one, France have started to get their act together and did well to come back from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 in Romania on Saturday.
They are at home tonight and should be too strong for Tunisia, cannot see them keeping a clean sheet though so a good chance of a few goals being scored.

I am also on overs @ 1.96


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[Betfairalfie]

France HT/FT is 2.26 on BF and I've had a small Lay at that price as France seem off form recently and I remember a similar home friendly against morocco last year ending in a draw. Theres a few Africans in Paris so Tunisia will get a few supporters there to liven up the atmosphere and they did well in the African Nations Cup this year.

The Bolivia v Uraguay game is on Betfair TV if anyone's interested. I think you have to have a 2GBP bet matched to watch it but the picture quality is normally excellent, putting the other unofficial/illegal streamer services to shame.

[madbobmagee]

The Boliva game is going to be streamed into Bet365 aswel Alfie and you don't have to have a bet on to watch it, just an account.
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