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Week 38 Bet of The Week
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Week 38 Bet of The Week
AH - Everton v Aston Villa- Aston Villa +.25@1.89
12%
 12%  [ 5 ]
1x2 West Ham v Newcastle- Newcastle@2.88
46%
 46%  [ 18 ]
Others - Aston Villa DNB @5/4
17%
 17%  [ 7 ]
Goals - Over 2.5 Man City v Fulham @2.15
23%
 23%  [ 9 ]
Total Votes : 39

Author Message
The Shark
At Stud

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Joined: 01 Feb 2004
Posts: 2977

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 12:32 pm    Post subject: Week 38 Bet of The Week

Please add your thoughts below for each of the bets - strengths and weaknesses of each.

You have until midday Friday to vote.

Staking
A stake thread will be started today so we can all comment on what we think the stakes should be for each of the contenders for bet of the week.
Once the bet has been decided we will add the stake poll. The stake poll will close at 4pm Friday.
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Betfairalfie
At Stud


Joined: 01 Mar 2005
Posts: 4847

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 12:39 pm    Post subject:

Everton v Aston Villa- Aston Villa +.25@1.89

Gets my vote but not my personal money. As explained on the 12X thread any Villa fanciers in this game should back them to finish 5th. Similar bet, less risk, higher odds Win
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tipstonga
Classic Winner

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Joined: 05 Jun 2006
Posts: 950
Location: Rio de la Plata

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 1:08 pm    Post subject:

I can only regret so many good bets were lost in the way: Spurs-1, MC-1, Su and Ch draw, also the plain Li win far more certain than Ne or AV!!!

From these I have no choice than cross fingers Fingers Crossed and vote for Newcastle. If a miracle must occur at least get it paid.

good luck to us all Win
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wize 1
Group 1 Class


Joined: 16 Aug 2007
Posts: 476

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 3:41 pm    Post subject:

Cool some stats to add for this game in 70 matches these two teams have had 30 overs =42/% chance man city have beean scoring of late now they are letting elano play more attacking an less defending man city look more positive can see it being a very open game city wanting 3points for 6th place finish and the obvious reason for fulham is desperation could again be 3-1 for the blues last time it was 3-3 at the cottage Wink my vote is man city overs Fingers Crossed Cool
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theconstantgambler
Group 1 Class


Joined: 22 Oct 2007
Posts: 446

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 4:05 pm    Post subject:

I went for the MANC vs FUL over bet.


I seriously would have preffered the MANC -1 AH better.


Good luck lads! Win
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NeilThe Beaver
Listed Class


Joined: 03 Jun 2007
Posts: 40

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 4:12 pm    Post subject:

the more you look the less pretty the bets are... Really dont like the price on the AH so a big no to that. Villa on the DNB, hmmm think the game may just be too close to call and a draw looking a good outcome doesnt help late in the season. So Toon away at a lacklustre Hammers or Man City 2-1 or 3-0 against Fulham Crying or Very sad

I guess as it has been said before lets try and get paid, toon are the form side and the price is generous lets get on it

Toon gets my magic click
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bottomlesspit
Group 1 Class


Joined: 11 May 2007
Posts: 299

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 4:58 pm    Post subject:

It is my firm belief that Newcastle will keep up their present run of form, and that West Ham will offer the minimum possible resistance

+ Cracking price = BoTW
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John Mac
Classic Winner


Joined: 17 Mar 2007
Posts: 769
Location: Solihull, Birmingham

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 6:15 pm    Post subject:

Can't understand the bit of doubt with the Villa DNB option - I am extremely confident that Villa will win this game but even more confident that we won't lose it.

VILLA DNB for me
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shaunjennings
Group 2 Class


Joined: 15 Jun 2007
Posts: 203

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 6:28 pm    Post subject:

Villa DNB for me, nearly went for villa +.25 but the 5/4 was the deciding factor, a very good price for a team playing with so much confidence and we surely will get a run for our money.
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willieboy
Classic Winner


Joined: 30 Jul 2007
Posts: 619

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 6:43 pm    Post subject: BOTW

Don`t see the value (at this stage of the season) in the draw no bet.

We need a win...not a possible stalemate (draw)...means that the Bank stands still with 1 game less to add to the Bank.

No value (imo) in A Villa +.25 at 1.89...another odds on bet.

So left with M City/Fulham overs and Newcastle win. (can`t believe none of the Arsenal bets made it through...would have been my 1st choice)

Both these are good possibilities.......just going to pick Newcastle by way of better value. We do need to start taking a few chances now games are running out.
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boonthefence
Handicapper


Joined: 01 Oct 2007
Posts: 15

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 7:12 pm    Post subject:

I really think the price aboutNewcastle is too much to ignore. The bookies are really underestimating their revival in recent weeks and with West Ham gone stale an away win has to be the most likely result here
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herby
Group 1 Class


Joined: 14 Sep 2007
Posts: 428

PostPosted: Thu Apr 24, 2008 8:30 pm    Post subject:

It looks like we're on Newcastle to win away.

I would have prefered to play this one on the A/H with the safety net of draw no bet.

However the price is generous and i suggest £300 stake - i won't be here to stake myself.
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