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Aston Villa v Wigan
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nors
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Joined: 01 Aug 2006
Posts: 1099

PostPosted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 12:57 pm    Post subject: Aston Villa v Wigan

This thread is for discussion on this match only We are asking you to choose your best bet for this match in four bet-type categories.
When you have chosen your best bet in each category- choose the best one out of those 4 and put it at the bottom of your post in BOLD WRITING

Funds Available £1811.75

EXAMPLE/TEMPLATE
Best 1X2 bet:
Best AH bet :
Best Under/Over bet:
Best Other bet :

BEST BET :

We need stats,discussion,facts. Remember to check out the price available and then post a full reasoned argument as to why we should place a bet.

Category 1 : The normal WLD or 1X2 result
Category 2: Asian Handicap (see here for info on this http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/guides/asian-handicap-betting.php)
Category 3: Under/Over goals
Category 4: Other (e.g. Clean Sheet, HTFT, Correct Score, Anytime Goalscorer, etc)

Stage 2 Wednesday/Thursday: Four Bet Type Threads
We will set up a thread for each of the four bet type categories above which summarises the most popular bet in that category for that game.
We then have a vote to come up with a best bet for that category leaving us with
- Best 1X2 bet
- Best AH bet
- Best Under/Over bet
- Best Other bet

Stage 3 Thursday/Friday
We discuss and vote on which of the 4 bets to go for based on the vote winners from each category thread. So we will have one 1X2 bet, one AH bet, one Under/Over bet and one Other bet to vote between to decide on our final bet.

Stage 4 Friday
We then poll for the stake with lots of options (in units of 100) and take the weighted average of all votes rounded to the nearest £50.

Check Out All The Odds On This Game By Clicking Here : (will insert when availble)

PLEASE MAKE SURE YOU USE THIS THREAD JUST FOR DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS MATCH
Posts about multiple matches will be deleted
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Antony OLBG
Stallion


Joined: 26 Mar 2003
Posts: 5697

PostPosted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 7:24 pm    Post subject:

Just a reminder to everyone that this is the OLBG Gettogether match

I suggest we go "all in" on a villa win Smile
(only joking)
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willieboy
Classic Winner


Joined: 30 Jul 2007
Posts: 618

PostPosted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 7:40 pm    Post subject:

This is the first game that I can see a reasonable bet for BOTW.

Astn Villa have been on top form at home and scored 34 goals...Wigan away have let in 34 goals! (Wigan now just about safe and Villa still going for 5th place)

I feel A Villa can win here by a couple of goals...so I quite like A Villa -1 at 7/5.

So far..looking like a tough week and this is a possibility imo.
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bottomlesspit
Group 1 Class


Joined: 11 May 2007
Posts: 293

PostPosted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 10:19 pm    Post subject:

By rights the BoTW should really come from this match. Have fun if you are going!

Wigan showed at Chelsea that they are no pushovers, and painful FF experience tells me that Villa do concede. Both sides want the points, even if they will probably make little difference for either side realistically

A draw looks on the cards to me, but with Villa's brief goal dearth well and truly over,

5.50 score draw would be my suggestion
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John Mac
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Joined: 17 Mar 2007
Posts: 685
Location: Solihull, Birmingham

PostPosted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 10:31 pm    Post subject:

Quote:
Both sides want the points, even if they will probably make little difference for either side realistically


I think taking 5th place makes a lot of difference. I will be absolutely amazed if Wigan get anything from this game - Villa are still scoring goals (17 in the last 4) and I think the margin of the win is where we could look on this game.

VILLA TO WIN BY 2 OR MORE GOALS @ 7/4
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Betfairalfie
At Stud


Joined: 01 Mar 2005
Posts: 4809

PostPosted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 11:13 pm    Post subject:

Very happy to see BOTW being mentioned already on this thread. Will give those OLBGers in the Villa box something to cheer about Win

I'd say Villa AH-1 @2.00+ (dont know where welshie saw 7/5?)

Wigan have poor away form and have disappointed in last 2 home games Mad Villa on fire and did well to get a point at Everton. Villa need the win and should get it. Money back if its only by one goal.

Stake voting will be interesting this week Smile
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bigmoose
Group 1 Class


Joined: 20 Dec 2007
Posts: 474
Location: Portsmouth

PostPosted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 11:50 pm    Post subject:

Wigan away record 1-5-12. 2 away goals in their last 6 away games. (& Heskey managed 2 goals in one week not so long ago so won't score again till Winter!)

Villa are scoring for fun and from recent performances i see no reason why this won't continue. Villa far too much firepower for Wigan to get anythign from this. I'm with the "all-in" idea Very Happy

1X2 - The lot on Villa
AH - Villa -1 at 2.03 (Bet365) a lovely bet & my real recommendation

Goals - Overs the call but too short seeing Wigan will probably get Zero.
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herby
Group 1 Class


Joined: 14 Sep 2007
Posts: 428

PostPosted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 7:54 am    Post subject:

Villa are still in great form at the moment producing great attacking football and Wigan, who have taken just 8 away points this season, will struggle to put the brakes on.

Villa are simply the better side, have home advantage and are in form. Wigan will scrap for points but Villa will surely dominate this one.

1. Villa win 7/12 little short
2. A/H Villa -0.75 3/4 possible
3. Over 2.5 but guessing
4. Villa by 2 or more 7/4

I think we need to take a bit of a chance here to recoup our losses after last week's disaster, so i'll go with John Mac's suggestion of Villa by 2 or more at 7/4 - well worth £400 punt imo.
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NeilThe Beaver
Listed Class


Joined: 03 Jun 2007
Posts: 29

PostPosted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 12:51 pm    Post subject:

All arrows are pointing at the Villa game. As all ready said, it will give the lads at the day something to holler for (apart from more beer Win ) And AH is looking like a decent price in a weekend of abysmal odds!

Villa AH -1 @ 2.025
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bigmoose
Group 1 Class


Joined: 20 Dec 2007
Posts: 474
Location: Portsmouth

PostPosted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 1:04 pm    Post subject:

Herby & John Mac. If the general consensus here is Villa will def win the game (if only betting was that simple!) i'm much more comfortable with £900+ on AH-1 at Evens than say £400 on "by 2 or more goals" at 7/4. The AH -1 is nil loss in my mind - ok, Wigan theoretically could scupper that theory of mine.

Although in defence of your bet (& bringing more hard facts into a thread that's already got lots already!) only 3 of Villas 10 home wins have been by a one goal margin.
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Betfairalfie
At Stud


Joined: 01 Mar 2005
Posts: 4809

PostPosted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 3:19 pm    Post subject:

Quote:
i'm much more comfortable with £900+ on AH-1 at Evens than say £400 on "by 2 or more goals" at 7/4.


If we went to the final BOTW with both of those we could see the "any bet except Villa" options split the vote and end up with a no-bet on the Villa game. Now that would be heart-breaking wouldn't it.

I wonder if the rules could be bent slightly and we do both bets but voted for as one bet. E.g. 60% of the voted for stake on AH-1 and the other 40% on "by 2 goals or more".

Can anyone see what I am getting at?

Villa - Do it for Team OLBG Win
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theconstantgambler
Group 1 Class


Joined: 22 Oct 2007
Posts: 446

PostPosted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 6:21 pm    Post subject:

I very much fancy AVL's chances here. They were a bit unlucky last week but I reckon against a team like WIG they can win comfortably.

AVL to win
AVL -1 AH
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