Bolton v Sunderland

[nors]

This thread is for discussion on this match only We are asking you to choose your best bet for this match in four bet-type categories.
When you have chosen your best bet in each category- choose the best one out of those 4 and put it at the bottom of your post in BOLD WRITING

Funds Available £1811.75

EXAMPLE/TEMPLATE
Best 1X2 bet:
Best AH bet :
Best Under/Over bet:
Best Other bet :

BEST BET :

We need stats,discussion,facts. Remember to check out the price available and then post a full reasoned argument as to why we should place a bet.

Category 1 : The normal WLD or 1X2 result
Category 2: Asian Handicap (see here for info on this http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/guides/asian-handicap-betting.php)
Category 3: Under/Over goals
Category 4: Other (e.g. Clean Sheet, HTFT, Correct Score, Anytime Goalscorer, etc)

Stage 2 Wednesday/Thursday: Four Bet Type Threads
We will set up a thread for each of the four bet type categories above which summarises the most popular bet in that category for that game.
We then have a vote to come up with a best bet for that category leaving us with
- Best 1X2 bet
- Best AH bet
- Best Under/Over bet
- Best Other bet

Stage 3 Thursday/Friday
We discuss and vote on which of the 4 bets to go for based on the vote winners from each category thread. So we will have one 1X2 bet, one AH bet, one Under/Over bet and one Other bet to vote between to decide on our final bet.

Stage 4 Friday
We then poll for the stake with lots of options (in units of 100) and take the weighted average of all votes rounded to the nearest £50.

Check Out All The Odds On This Game By Clicking Here : (will insert when availble)

PLEASE MAKE SURE YOU USE THIS THREAD JUST FOR DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS MATCH
Posts about multiple matches will be deleted

[willieboy]

Sunderland now safe...and Bolton on a bit of a roll...still need points to keep them in the PL...looks like this could very well be a home win...but the odds are v poor....13/20.

This is another poor game to choose our bet from this week.

[bigmoose]

In their last 18 Prem League games Bolton have only twice scored more than 1 goal (Ars at home & Reading away). In 8 of those games they've not scored at all.

So not convincing enough for the home win bet at 1.70. Even if Sund are a bit rubbish on the road & have only managed 13 away goals all season.

Bolton definitely the more likely victors, but will 1 goal win it?

1X2 - Nope, Bolton too short for me
AH - Nope.
Goals - Under 1.5 at 3.10
Other - Correct score Bolton 1-0 at 7.00. Boltons recent 2 wins were both 1-0.
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Steve

[Whoosh]

A must win for Bolton, realistically it's their last chance to pick up points, and Sunderland are safe, but 1.7 is ridiculously short even though I do think Bolton will manage 3 points. It will probably be tight so Bolton to win by 1 at 3.5 might be a reasonable call.

12X - home win
AH - see below
Unders but no value
Other - Bolton to win by 1

Best bet Bolton by 1

Have just seen tie with Bolton -1 is available at 3.75 which is the same as Bolton to win by 1 so obviously that is a better choice if these odds could be obtained

[Ipoh Shark]

This looks like a no-brainer on the AH.
1) Previous H2H here, 2-0, 1-1, 0-2, 0-3, 1-0. Only 1 win by more than 1 goal from the last 5.
2) The pressure is all on the home side as Sunderland are safe for the next season. The betting pressure is thus also on the home side as it is perceived as a "must win" game.
3) Bolton have only managed to score 2 goals at home once in 2008, in their 2-3 loss against Arsenal. All other matches played were 1 goal or none at all.

Surely the best bet for this one has to be Sunderland AH +0.5/1 @ 2.15.
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EPL Big 4 AH record
07/08 AH of selected Europeans, click here