Fulham v Birmingham

[nors]

This thread is for discussion on this match only We are asking you to choose your best bet for this match in four bet-type categories.
When you have chosen your best bet in each category- choose the best one out of those 4 and put it at the bottom of your post in BOLD WRITING

Funds Available £1811.75

EXAMPLE/TEMPLATE
Best 1X2 bet:
Best AH bet :
Best Under/Over bet:
Best Other bet :

BEST BET :

We need stats,discussion,facts. Remember to check out the price available and then post a full reasoned argument as to why we should place a bet.

Category 1 : The normal WLD or 1X2 result
Category 2: Asian Handicap (see here for info on this http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/guides/asian-handicap-betting.php)
Category 3: Under/Over goals
Category 4: Other (e.g. Clean Sheet, HTFT, Correct Score, Anytime Goalscorer, etc)

Stage 2 Wednesday/Thursday: Four Bet Type Threads
We will set up a thread for each of the four bet type categories above which summarises the most popular bet in that category for that game.
We then have a vote to come up with a best bet for that category leaving us with
- Best 1X2 bet
- Best AH bet
- Best Under/Over bet
- Best Other bet

Stage 3 Thursday/Friday
We discuss and vote on which of the 4 bets to go for based on the vote winners from each category thread. So we will have one 1X2 bet, one AH bet, one Under/Over bet and one Other bet to vote between to decide on our final bet.

Stage 4 Friday
We then poll for the stake with lots of options (in units of 100) and take the weighted average of all votes rounded to the nearest £50.

Check Out All The Odds On This Game By Clicking Here : (will insert when availble)

PLEASE MAKE SURE YOU USE THIS THREAD JUST FOR DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS MATCH
Posts about multiple matches will be deleted

[willieboy]

2 teams needing to win......these games are notoriously difficult to call...especially when we REALLY need a result this week.

NO bet here for me

[thetitan]

fulham have all the momentum in the world after gubbing a 699/1 shot and coming back from the dead to beat man city, while brum gave away a 2-0 lead against liverpool, which may well prove to be vital.

brum have an awful away record of 2-3-13 and i can't honestly see them winning after recent performances.

should be a cagey match and unders is a fair shout, although i like the HT draw a bit more.

fulham DNB seems a pretty safe option at reasonable odds.

Best 1X2 bet: fulham
Best AH bet : fulham DNB
Best Under/Over bet: unders
Best Other bet : Bullard AGS, HT Draw

BEST BET : Fulham DNB
_________________
Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

[Ipoh Shark]

good game to go for ONLY if u do not believe in bogey teams.
Fulham have not beaten Bham at home for years; their last home win was 3-1 in 1964! Last 6 h2h at Fulham ended 0-0, 2-3, 0-0, 0-1, 0-1, 0-0.

Having said that, Fulham have surprised in the past few weeks, so there's every incentive to keep that run going even if they are going down in the end. Bham are 2w-3d-13l when they play away the whole season, so it is not realistic to expect them to win here.

This one will most likely be decided by the momentum and mental condition of both teams. Fulham came from 2 goals down to win away at Man City while Bham gave a 2 goal lead at home to draw with Liverpool. No questions which team is in the better frame of mind. Moreover, Fulham are at home for this relegation 6 pointer.

Best bet-
Fulham AH -0/0.5 @ 1.875 (risk of losing half if the curse continues and it ends in a draw, cannot see Bham nicking this one)
_________________
EPL Big 4 AH record
07/08 AH of selected Europeans, click here

[spider2097]

1964?

Bloomin nora, that's some evidence of a bogey side that is.

This match will go a long way to deciding who's going to be relegated with the losers almost certain to go down - frankly I'm not sure why I put "almost" in there, the circumstances needed for the losers of this match to avoid relegation are akin to winning the midweek, EuroMillions & weekend lottery in the same week

Fulham's last win at home against Birmingham actually came in the FA Cup in 2003 - spookily enough that was also a 3:1 scoreline.

Recent form might be a good indicator as to how this match might go. Last 6 games:

Fulham W2 D1 L2 GF8 GA11
Birmingham W1 D2 L3 GF8 GA13

Like other contributors, I'd say that Fulham have the better momentum coming into this match & they are no pushovers at home. I'd have to give the edge to Fulham myself.

Best 1X2 : Fulham @ 2.20
Best AH : Fulham -0.75 @ 2.46
Best Goals : Over 2.5 @ 2.02 (from additional Goal Line market at Bet365)
Best Other : Half With Most Goals - 2nd @ 2.10
_________________
How much wood would a woodchuck chuck if a woodchuck could chuck wood?
http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/forum/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=14998&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=48
"Viva los Bio-Dome!!"
November 2007 Premiership Challenge Winner

[tipstonga]

the relegation line will be a strong motivation for Fulham to win and score since they are 3 diff.goals below reading

I agree spider
Best bet AH : Fulham -0.75 @ 2.46

good luck
_________________
tipstonga
1st Premiership 6-months-profit blogger
NTB February Champion (4 platinum record)

[Whoosh]

HT draw at 2.2 seems a reasonable choice, will definately be tight as loser goes down, this also makes the FT draw at 3.4 a value possibilty. The team that gets the lead wont want to lose it so unders would be the choice.

Best bet HT draw

[Ipoh Shark]

the more i look at this match the more i get suspicious about it.

everything points to Fulham, i.e. home ground, mental condition, "do-or-die" game, but yet Fulham are only giving AH -0/0.5 to Bham?

i would like to change my picks to:

1x2- Bham @ 3.25
AH- Bham AH +0/0.5 @ 2.025
U/O- >2/2.5 @ 1.775

best bet- Bham AH +0/0.5 @ 2.025
_________________
EPL Big 4 AH record
07/08 AH of selected Europeans, click here