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Man Utd v West Ham
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nors
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Joined: 01 Aug 2006
Posts: 1114

PostPosted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 1:01 pm    Post subject: Man Utd v West Ham

This thread is for discussion on this match only We are asking you to choose your best bet for this match in four bet-type categories.
When you have chosen your best bet in each category- choose the best one out of those 4 and put it at the bottom of your post in BOLD WRITING

Funds Available £1811.75

EXAMPLE/TEMPLATE
Best 1X2 bet:
Best AH bet :
Best Under/Over bet:
Best Other bet :

BEST BET :

We need stats,discussion,facts. Remember to check out the price available and then post a full reasoned argument as to why we should place a bet.

Category 1 : The normal WLD or 1X2 result
Category 2: Asian Handicap (see here for info on this http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/guides/asian-handicap-betting.php)
Category 3: Under/Over goals
Category 4: Other (e.g. Clean Sheet, HTFT, Correct Score, Anytime Goalscorer, etc)

Stage 2 Wednesday/Thursday: Four Bet Type Threads
We will set up a thread for each of the four bet type categories above which summarises the most popular bet in that category for that game.
We then have a vote to come up with a best bet for that category leaving us with
- Best 1X2 bet
- Best AH bet
- Best Under/Over bet
- Best Other bet

Stage 3 Thursday/Friday
We discuss and vote on which of the 4 bets to go for based on the vote winners from each category thread. So we will have one 1X2 bet, one AH bet, one Under/Over bet and one Other bet to vote between to decide on our final bet.

Stage 4 Friday
We then poll for the stake with lots of options (in units of 100) and take the weighted average of all votes rounded to the nearest £50.

Check Out All The Odds On This Game By Clicking Here : (will insert when availble)

PLEASE MAKE SURE YOU USE THIS THREAD JUST FOR DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS MATCH
Posts about multiple matches will be deleted
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willieboy
Classic Winner


Joined: 30 Jul 2007
Posts: 618

PostPosted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 8:31 pm    Post subject:

I don`t see a sensible, reasonable value bet in this game.

Assuming M U are going to win...all odds for anything are not worth considering.
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Betfairalfie
At Stud


Joined: 01 Mar 2005
Posts: 4809

PostPosted: Mon Apr 28, 2008 11:06 pm    Post subject:

http://www.valuechecker.co.uk/mstats_120870245.htm

WH have beat MU the last 3 times they have met Shocked

I'm swerving this match very widely but theres bound to be value if you think MU will struggle.
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herby
Group 1 Class


Joined: 14 Sep 2007
Posts: 428

PostPosted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 7:40 am    Post subject:

Hi Guys

First choice game and we can bank on a Man Utd win here. Despite just 5 points from 4 games the reds should win comfortably, the main reasons being West Ham's own very poor form and the desire to keep the pressure on Chelsea.

We have to remember that most of United's dropped points have been away from home and that they have the best goal differential at home of any side in the premiership. West Ham have little to play for really other than a remarkable double which is highly unlikely - Man United on the other hand still have everything to play for.

1. Man Utd win 1/5 too short
2. A/H Man Utd -1.75 3/4 looks okay
3. Over 2.5 but guessing
4. Ronaldo any time score

A bit tricky - i think it will be Man Utd H/T & F/T - but 8/15 is best i can find so i'm going to suggest Ronaldo anytime scorer at best price available - he's bound to go close and will be aching to get 40 goals for the season.
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theconstantgambler
Group 1 Class


Joined: 22 Oct 2007
Posts: 446

PostPosted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 6:19 pm    Post subject:

Man United will win this one. No doubt in my mind. I believe Fergie is in hair dryer mode and this will bring out the fear among the lads therefore they will be at their best. I know WHU have given Man United trouble before but this time it's very important so I doubt they will let this slip.


Man United to win
Man United -1/1.5 AH
Over 2.5
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Ipoh Shark
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2008 9:45 am    Post subject:

MU will win this, definitely no doubt about that, but by more than 3 goals, i do not know.
West Ham are definitely one of those who have absolutely nothing but pride to play for; 5 pts ahead of teams below them and 7 points behind teams above them. So, the Hammers season is effectively over. Maybe it is time to repay the debt they owe MU for helping them stay in the EPL last season, 0-1, blemishing MU's Old Trafford home record.

1x2- MU @ 1.16 (almost certain)
AH- MU AH -2 @ 2.025
U/O- >2.5/3 goals @ 1.725

best bet- MU AH -2 @ 2.025 (2nd/3rd goals must be scored to make sure no last min surprises. Also on a high as everyone is packing bags for the Moscow trip!)
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Betfairalfie
At Stud


Joined: 01 Mar 2005
Posts: 4809

PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2008 12:04 pm    Post subject:

Quote:
debt they owe MU for helping them stay in the EPL last season


MU got Tevez. Fair deal in my view Wink

I really can't believe people saying MU represent value here.
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thetitan
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2008 12:23 pm    Post subject:

agree totally with alfie, amazed that even though man utd clearly are in a trough and coming off the back of a CL game, and considering WH have beaten them three times in a row...value is definitely in backing WH on the +2 AH IMO, and that's the only one i can recommend here.

with them in the CL final now, can see fergie resting players and bringing them late on, or settling for a one goal lead.

can't see WH getting thrashed.

best bet: WH AH + 2
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