Birmingham v Blackburn

monkeytennis · Listed Class Joined: 25 Jun 2007 Posts: 35

This thread is for discussion on this match only We are asking you to choose your best bet for this match in four bet-type categories.
When you have chosen your best bet in each category- choose the best one out of those 4 and put it at the bottom of your post in BOLD WRITING

Funds Available £1261.75

EXAMPLE/TEMPLATE
Best 1X2 bet:
Best AH bet :
Best Under/Over bet:
Best Other bet :

BEST BET :

We need stats,discussion,facts. Remember to check out the price available and then post a full reasoned argument as to why we should place a bet.

Category 1 : The normal WLD or 1X2 result
Category 2: Asian Handicap (see here for info on this http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/guides/asian-handicap-betting.php)
Category 3: Under/Over goals
Category 4: Other (e.g. Clean Sheet, HTFT, Correct Score, Anytime Goalscorer, etc)

Stage 2 Wednesday/Thursday: Four Bet Type Threads
We will set up a thread for each of the four bet type categories above which summarises the most popular bet in that category for that game.
We then have a vote to come up with a best bet for that category leaving us with
- Best 1X2 bet
- Best AH bet
- Best Under/Over bet
- Best Other bet

Stage 3 Thursday/Friday
We discuss and vote on which of the 4 bets to go for based on the vote winners from each category thread. So we will have one 1X2 bet, one AH bet, one Under/Over bet and one Other bet to vote between to decide on our final bet.

Stage 4 Friday
We then poll for the stake with lots of options (in units of 100) and take the weighted average of all votes rounded to the nearest £50.

Check Out All The Odds On This Game By Clicking Here : (will insert when availble)

PLEASE MAKE SURE YOU USE THIS THREAD JUST FOR DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS MATCH
Posts about multiple matches will be deleted

tipstonga · Posted: Mon May 05, 2008 9:00 pm Post subject:

Looking for a bet to give us at least 3000 investing no more than 200 to "put a pike in Flandes" while not resigning the honour of maintaining at least 25% of the investment.

Birmingham and Blackburn (home/away) records are similar. Both would be moved to climb above the 1pt difference to their respective interest zone (no relegation/6th). Then we can have a relative trust that this will end in a draw and (why not) the home team would have the advantage at HT. Note added in proof: Birmingham is best positioned in the half time table than Blackburn.

so best bet for this week in our state and to bet 200
Home/draw HT/FT @ 16

good luck Win

_________________
tipstonga
1st Premiership 6-months-profit blogger
NTB February Champion (4 platinum record)

bigmoose · Posted: Mon May 05, 2008 10:14 pm Post subject:

Now it has to be said i think that is a rather beautiful bet tipstonga.

Brum have been leading in 5 of their last 6 home games at half time. 3 of those games they went on to Draw.

Now admittedly Blackburn usually get to half time level away, but having seen them on telly & live at Fratton Park they do start slowly, many times going 4-5-1 to try keep it tight before ending 4-4-2 and having a go. So Brum totally up may well score first. Then the usual Brum leaky defence unable to keep clean sheets scenario kicks in and B'burn get back in it. And this is one of the few games both teams will be totally up for.

HT/FT Brum-Draw is more likely than the 16s quoted above (hope the odds are right!)[/b]
_________________
Steve

thetitan · At Stud Read My Blog! Joined: 25 Apr 2007 Posts: 2795

blackburn one of the hardest teams to break down, santa cruz is on fire and i think that's the only bet i could place with any confidence.

stats show that the HT/FT bet suggested by tipstonga may well also be worth a shout at the odds, although i'm not sure about the likelihood of it happening.

tough to call the 1x2, similar to a few games this week. brum need to win or they'll be relegated, but they were abject last week and blackburn won't roll over.

best bet: santa cruz AGS
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Corner vulture

Jimmy Bullard for England Captain. Seriously.

tipstonga · Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 3:31 pm Post subject:

willieboy · Classic Winner Joined: 30 Jul 2007 Posts: 617

Birmingham on a `do or die` mission and can score first. As has been pointed out....Birm do often lead at half-time.

Blackburn are fighters and can come back in the 2nd half.

BEST BET...BIRM/DRAW..H/T F/T,,at 16/1

Pretty decent odds for a bet that could happen.

Whoosh · Group 2 Class Joined: 23 Oct 2006 Posts: 241

Agree with above - great suggestion Tipstonga - well thought out with stake too. Blackburn can start slowly (Derby taking the lead!) and Birmingham are likely to come out fighting, but could well get jittery. Blackburn are not really ideal opponents either, having lost only once away to a bottom half side (5:3 at Wigan).

My gut feel for this game would be a draw as well.

12X - draw 3.6
AH - no bet (odds?)
goals - over 2.5 Evs or better
Other - ht/ft home/draw - best bet

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