Everton v Newcastle

monkeytennis · Listed Class Joined: 25 Jun 2007 Posts: 35

This thread is for discussion on this match only We are asking you to choose your best bet for this match in four bet-type categories.
When you have chosen your best bet in each category- choose the best one out of those 4 and put it at the bottom of your post in BOLD WRITING

Funds Available £1261.75

EXAMPLE/TEMPLATE
Best 1X2 bet:
Best AH bet :
Best Under/Over bet:
Best Other bet :

BEST BET :

We need stats,discussion,facts. Remember to check out the price available and then post a full reasoned argument as to why we should place a bet.

Category 1 : The normal WLD or 1X2 result
Category 2: Asian Handicap (see here for info on this http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/guides/asian-handicap-betting.php)
Category 3: Under/Over goals
Category 4: Other (e.g. Clean Sheet, HTFT, Correct Score, Anytime Goalscorer, etc)

Stage 2 Wednesday/Thursday: Four Bet Type Threads
We will set up a thread for each of the four bet type categories above which summarises the most popular bet in that category for that game.
We then have a vote to come up with a best bet for that category leaving us with
- Best 1X2 bet
- Best AH bet
- Best Under/Over bet
- Best Other bet

Stage 3 Thursday/Friday
We discuss and vote on which of the 4 bets to go for based on the vote winners from each category thread. So we will have one 1X2 bet, one AH bet, one Under/Over bet and one Other bet to vote between to decide on our final bet.

Stage 4 Friday
We then poll for the stake with lots of options (in units of 100) and take the weighted average of all votes rounded to the nearest £50.

Check Out All The Odds On This Game By Clicking Here : (will insert when availble)

PLEASE MAKE SURE YOU USE THIS THREAD JUST FOR DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS MATCH
Posts about multiple matches will be deleted

Lampah · Group 2 Class Joined: 10 Dec 2007 Posts: 203

Everton has hit a poor run of form. Struggling to create chances. However they would like to win to keep 4th place. Newcastle on the other hand have nothing ot play for except for pride.

Best 1X2 bet:Everton
Best AH bet :Everton
Best Under/Over bet:None
Best Other bet :None

mike mercury · Classic Winner Joined: 19 Sep 2007 Posts: 894

Moyes would settle for a point if you was to offer it him right now and this game all depends on wether Newcastle score a goal as Everton could have problems with team selection would not bet on the outcome at all but if i had to choose Newcastle could be the more likely team to score and if they do Moyes boys could be in trouble
0-0 draw
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STUBBLE · Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 7:24 pm Post subject:

Don't really see the point of trying to break even by fiddling about with something in the 1X2 or AH market. It seems like shutting up shop in a cup final when you're one down.

I feel Everton will go out to win this match in front of their own fans, rather than play for the draw that will see them qualify for Europe. It was interesting to hear Moyes' reaction when interviewed after the game against Villa by suggesting he wasn't surprised that his goalscorers were Neville and Yobo because the forwards had scored so few recently.

The above suggests to me that there is value to be had in the AGS market amongst the Everton players. With AJ struggling to find the net and the Yak scoring less often post February than a Trappist monk, the alternative seems to be Joleon Lescott.

He is joint second top league goalscorer for the Toffees with 7 goals in 37 games and has spread his goals out relatively evenly over the season, unlike say Laursen at Villa. What makes this more appealing to me is that he does find himself in advanced positions regularly playing at left back and doesn't lack composure when in those positions. Also, as the game against Chelsea showed (and also the second half at Villa Park in particular), Newcastle really do struggle at defending set pieces. It isn't difficult to see him ghosting in and nodding one in or sneaking round the back for a tap in.

Tips:-

Others - Lescott AGS @ 11/2*** (this is Bet365 odds - there may be bigger elsewhere).
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Confidence in tips ranges from the most confident which is 5 stars to least which is 1.

If you fire enough arrows, one or two are bound to hit the target

willieboy · Classic Winner Joined: 30 Jul 2007 Posts: 617

This game could be 0-0 or 2-2...def one to leave well alone in the final week imo.
You never know which Newcastle will turn up

king pete · Posted: Tue May 06, 2008 11:04 pm Post subject:

I think this will be a draw here and 1-1 looks best bet.Everton havnt been scoring many goals recently and Newcastle have been in good form,not conceding many.I think both are more than capable of scoring here though and 1-1 is what i think.

Best 1X2 bet: DRAW
Best AH bet : -
Best Under/Over bet: -
Best Other bet : 1-1 Correct Score

gecko6 · At Stud Read My Blog! Joined: 20 Oct 2006 Posts: 2603

agreed on the draw...everton i think will want to not lose rather than go for the win... newc can play for fun

not one to bet on again

Betfairalfie · At Stud Joined: 01 Mar 2005 Posts: 4666

Agree on the draw (@3.50 with Paddy Power). Newcastle playing well and Everton only need a draw to finish 5th.

Looks a good call in a tough week.

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