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| Week 40 Bet Of The Week |
| Chelsea v Bolton - Chelsea to win 2-0 @ 6.0 |
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50% |
[ 17 ] |
| Portsmouth v Fulham - Fulham -0.5 @ 2.41 |
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23% |
[ 8 ] |
| Middlesbrough v Man City - Draw @ 3.3 |
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8% |
[ 3 ] |
| West Ham v Aston Villa - Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75 |
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17% |
[ 6 ] |
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| Total Votes : 34 |
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Message |
thatsa donkey Classic Winner
Joined: 06 Jul 2005 Posts: 661
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Posted: Thu May 08, 2008 5:39 pm Post subject: |
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Hmmmm,
Of the four BoTW's I think that the 2-0 and the draw are both a bit of a lottery, The AH is a decent bet and the Overs is a good possibility at the end of the season with players trying to consolidate their current first team starting selection for next season or to maximise any possible tranfer opportunities.
I think the most likely outcome here is the Overs bet but @ 1.75 we would need to risk the whole Bank to end the with only losing almost half the money.
I don't think this project has taken an out and out punt this season, and it is those nutters that generally top the profit tables in the Tipster Comp, so I'll take the punt on the lottery bet that is Chelsea 2-0 Correct Score.
I won't vote though untill I have slept on this crazy decision, so I'll vote in the morning.
Donkey.  |
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bottomlesspit Group 1 Class
Joined: 11 May 2007 Posts: 262
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Posted: Thu May 08, 2008 6:15 pm Post subject: |
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| chelsea correct score which is tempting but a bit last-chance saloon |
This IS the last chance saloon. However, it makes no sense to throw the baby out with the bathwater, and a smaller sum at bigger odds has always looked the way to go this week.
Shame that the 2 longshots fell by the wayside, but with Chelsea 2-0, we will at least get a run for our money, and I have a feeling that they would like to keep something in the tank for Moscow once they are ahead by 2 |
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johno Triple Crown Winner
Joined: 25 Jan 2005 Posts: 1026 Location: on OLBG somewhere
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Posted: Thu May 08, 2008 7:29 pm Post subject: |
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In the end Chelsea to win 2-0 @ 6.0 gets my vote. Just cant see Bolton offering anything and Chelsea will certainly get in front and cruise being this the last game. 1-0 certainly isnt safe..so there's a case for a 2-0 in the game with the CL final on the horizon too.
as far as the other choices go..its a lottery, cant count on fulham and to actually finish staking money on boro and man city to delivery..well, lets go with a decent selection that we know... the team needs the win
Chelsea
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Whoosh Group 2 Class
Joined: 23 Oct 2006 Posts: 241
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Posted: Thu May 08, 2008 10:33 pm Post subject: |
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West Ham - Villa is too short for our final bet IMO.
Middlesbrough Man City draw has a bit of history as the 2 played out a 1-1 on the final day of the 2004/5 season - history to repeat itself? On the downside when 2 teams with not much to play for are in opposition, there's the possibilty that one will turn up but the other has already gone on holiday, so the team that turns up wins!
For final games of the season last year there were no fewer than 6 draws (out of 10), but the year before, however there was just 1, and the year before that (2005) there were 4 draws, again quite a high %age.
Fulham are short odds but they could well win. I don't think we should underestimate Portsmouth (and their Cup Final) though. To draw a parallel, 2 years ago West Ham (in a similar league position to Portsmouth) were in the Cup Final and played Spurs on the final day of the season when Spurs had something to play for - and West ham won (dodgy lasagnes aside). So because Portsmouth are in the FA Cup Final doesn't mean they wont perform, so this is a tough game for Fulham and the price is too short on them to win, even though they do have a chance.
This leaves Chelsea 2-0, a favourite Chelsea score, at reasonable odds. against this is the fact that the 2 haven't hadn;t any scores like like in the corresponding fixture. But the circumstances this time are different, Chelsea will win efficiently IMO so this is my vote. |
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hootie Group 1 Class
Joined: 26 Mar 2005 Posts: 265 Location: BIRMINGHAM UK
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Posted: Fri May 09, 2008 12:04 am Post subject: |
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| gone for the west ham / villa over 2.5 but only because that looks the certainty out of all the choices but odds a little to short |
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herby Group 1 Class
Joined: 14 Sep 2007 Posts: 428
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Posted: Fri May 09, 2008 9:55 am Post subject: |
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| Chelsea 2-0 for me - £200 stake suggested |
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