Online Trader OLBG v The Bookies 08/09 thread

[Online Trader]

Wk 1 Balance - £100

-----------------------------------------
Not a lot to go on as it is the first game of the season but I am going to be brave and go for:

Aston Villa v Man City - Aston Villa Win @ 21/20 Gamebookers - £50.00

Villa have made some quality signings and whilst I am always nervous backing them I think they will be too good for Man City, who are to say the least in a bit of a mess.
Odds against for Villa in this one are IMHO very good value

Closing Balance - £50.00
_________________
Good Luck With All Of Your Bets
Up the Villa
Online Trader v The Bookies

[Online Trader]

Have had a bad weekend but this one did come up trumps


balance > £152

bets > 1
winning bets > 1
strike rate > 1/1 100%

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

wk 2 > added £100 to the bank

balance £252
_________________
Good Luck With All Of Your Bets
Up the Villa
Online Trader v The Bookies

[Online Trader]

A trappy little weekend me thinks.

Considering the following games at the moment and will add more detail as we go through the week:

Blackburn v Hull

Now discounted as all bets are too risky IMHO

West Brom v Everton

West Brom are currently 2/1 to win this and that could be a value bet.
They were by no means out classed at Arsenal at the weekend and Everton do look vunerable and loosing their first game at home must have knocked their confidence levels

Updating>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Man City v West Ham

13/10 for the home win looks tempting to me.
I know they had a bad result at Villa but back at home and with Hughes wanting to make some sort of an impact then they should do better against West Ham.
Although the hammers did well at the weekend IMHO they are going to struggle this season and this is the sort of game that they could loose in style. Also over 2.5 goals is currently 6/5 which may be value as both teams managed to find the back of the net at the weekend

Updating>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
_________________
Good Luck With All Of Your Bets
Up the Villa
Online Trader v The Bookies

[Online Trader]

Opening Balance - £252

OK, decision made I am going for:

Man City v West Ham - Man City @ 13/10 Bet365 £50.00
13/10 for the home win looks tempting to me.
I know they had a bad result at Villa but back at home and with Hughes wanting to make some sort of an impact then they should do better against West Ham.
Although the hammers did well at the weekend IMHO they are going to struggle this season and this is the sort of game that they could loose in style.
The more I look at it the more I am convinced that City will win this one.

Closing Balance - £202
_________________
Good Luck With All Of Your Bets
Up the Villa
Online Trader v The Bookies

[John Mac]

OT - as you're location reads Holte End Lower I am guessing you were there to see Man City on the opening Sunday - and you are still backing them to win?

I thought they looked very lightweight and although they scored twice one was a penalty (harsh to say the least) and the other when the game was won. I don't see where the goals are coming from personaly.

Only my opinion of course and I hope you are right.

Good Luck
_________________
AVFC - PROUD HISTORY, BRIGHT FUTURE

Luck doesn't exist - it's opportunities meeting preparation.

[Online Trader]

Thanks John, this one is just a gut feeling........... not the basis for lumping on I know
So early in the season and shocks are bound to happen so it is a real punt
_________________
Good Luck With All Of Your Bets
Up the Villa
Online Trader v The Bookies

[Online Trader]

Well happy with that one, easy in the end

Win returns £65

bets > 2
winning bets > 2
strike rate > 2/2 100%

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

wk 3 > added £100 to the bank


balance £417
_________________
Good Luck With All Of Your Bets
Up the Villa
Online Trader v The Bookies

[John Mac]

Good Shout OT - City looked a completey different side to the one I saw last week.
_________________
AVFC - PROUD HISTORY, BRIGHT FUTURE

Luck doesn't exist - it's opportunities meeting preparation.

[betking]

Your balance should be higher, as the minimum bet is £100 isnt it?

Regardless, good tipping, keep it up
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3 of 4 tournaments ended in profit so far

[Online Trader]

Thanks guys.

Just looked at Gecko's opening post regarding min bets:

[betking]

I didnt see that post, so thanks for pointing it out (bet you wish it was £100 minimum stake now though, right? )

Good tipping though, again well done
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3 of 4 tournaments ended in profit so far

[Online Trader]

Week 3:

There are 3 games that I am looking at all with (IMHO) good value home win chances:

Everton v Portsmouth 11/10

Well what to do here, Everton have had a shakey start at home loosing to Blackburn but then went away to the Baggies to win well.
Pompey have had a start from hell and sit at the foot of the table but are they a wounded animal about to bite back

Updating >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Hull v Wigan 6/4

Hull have had a dream start to lifr in the top flight but as we all know this can be short lived.
Wigan have been unlucky so far in both of their games and did everything on Sunday aprt from score against Chelsea, the more I look at this one the more it does not appeal as a bet.

Updating >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Sunderland v Man City 13/10

This one is drawing me in at the moment, great away day for the Black Cats at Tottenham and I do not think City will be too strong away from home
Updating >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
_________________
Good Luck With All Of Your Bets
Up the Villa
Online Trader v The Bookies