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Online Trader
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PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:46 pm    Post subject:

Malaysia 23-03-08

Lewis Hamilton is currently available at 6/4 on BlueSq, this is good value IMHO. Will go well odds on if he takes pole in qualifying on Saturday Cool
This should be a re run of Australia, the Ferrari's have a huge amount of work to do to get the cars right and the Mclaren's look very reliable Win

I will be staring an F1 blog tomorrow, selecting outright winner, podium finish and points finish for each race Win
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betking
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PostPosted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 9:40 pm    Post subject:

Online Trader, you copying me by making a blog? Cheeky Laughing Seriously though, good luck with it. I had a pretty good Aussie GP, only Kovaleinen not making the podium let me down, but it seems F1 isnt too popular with the blog readers, maybe you'll have more luck Win Fingers Crossed
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Tax Free
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Joined: 03 Jun 2006
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 19, 2008 4:06 am    Post subject:

There isnt much doubt that the best bet for the Malaysian GP is Vettel to score points at 100/30

Toro Rosso have been impressing all winter during testing and although Vettel crashed out on lap one Seb Bourdais proved they have the race pace. The debutant and multiple champ car World Champion started 17th on the grid but due to a clever stragegy and a decent race package the car was 4th before the engine blew 3 laps before the end of the race.

Vettel is a superstar in the making and managed to qualify 6th fastest in Q2 but a technical problem prevented him from taking place in Q3. With a fresh engine and a clear run he should at least get into the points and may even flirt with a podium finish. Considering how well he performed in qualifying the 200/1 available for Vettel to pole is too big to resist. Remember we are back to qualifying with race fuel so there is the chance Toro Rosso will lightly fuel in an attempt to gain some glory.

Also worth a dabble is Rosberg to podium at 7/1

Slight disappointment that he was able to podium at Melbourne as this was always going to be the race in which Williams and in particular Rosberg were stronger.

2006 Rosberg poled 14th in Australia but 3rd in Malaysia
2007 Rosberg poled 12th in Australia but 6th in Malaysia

Williams have been the most improved team during winter testing and they appeared at Melbourne to prove this on the track after a slow start. With Ferrari experiencing reliability problems in the heat things arent going to get any easier in Malaysia. There are cracks in Kovalainen at the moment and the Williams was only slightly slower than the BMW so at double the price they are backed to turn around the 3sec deficit from Melbourne.

5pt Vettel to score points @ 100/30
0.5pt e/w Vettel to pole @ 200/1
1pt Vettel to podium @ 28/1
2pt Rosberg to finish on the podium @ 7/1
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Last edited by Tax Free on Thu Mar 20, 2008 12:19 am; edited 1 time in total
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Online Trader
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 19, 2008 10:16 am    Post subject:

Betking - Wink Have to agree there does not appear to be a lot of interest here for F1 Confused
Will see how the Blog goes.

Tax Free
Great write up Win
Agree with you that Seb Bordais was unlucky, however this does raise questions marks about the reliabilty of the car Confused
As for Kovalainen showing cracks, he was very unlucky and if had not been for the safety car coming out he would have finished 2nd, I thought he did very well overall Wink
Agree with you that BMW are looking good and definately think Ferrari will not perform any better in Malaysia as they have not had long enought to sort the problems out, also following Malaysia is another hot climate race in Bahrain which could present them with further problems.
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 19, 2008 10:30 am    Post subject:

it has been raining every evening in Msia the last few days.

it is anyone's guess whether it will be rain or shine, or half the track rain half the track shine (happened here a few years ago wreaking havoc on the team strategies)... Laughing

Pole position will be not be crucial as there are many high speed straights and ample overtaking opportunities. It will boil down on whether the team gambles on a 2 stop strategy or taking the safer 3 stop, and tyres selection if the sky goes dark.
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 19, 2008 10:49 am    Post subject:

Quote:
it has been raining every evening in Msia the last few days.

Ipoh, it rains every day in Malaysia all year round and it can certainly make for an exciting race Laughing Laughing
I lived there for 2 years and had the privilege of going to the Grand Prix twice, you are right Pole is not as important as other tracks but it will certainly help Wink
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 21, 2008 9:25 am    Post subject:

LH looking good in practice Win
DC huge crash Lose
Jenson Button looks very quick and would be worth a bet to finish on the podium Confused
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 22, 2008 9:48 am    Post subject:

This will be interesting now, the Ferrari's are looking good.
LH with it all to do from 4th but anything can happen and the bookies are not sure, LH has gone out to 4/1 but they have Kimi as fav at 19/10 so no real confidence there so I am still confident Win
DC will have to be at the top of his game to get anywhere near the podium so this could be a bad bet Lose
Seb Bordais also has a lot to do to get in the points but is possible if all goes well Fingers Crossed
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whit
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 22, 2008 5:51 pm    Post subject:

McLaren duo Lewis Hamilton and Heikki Kovalainen have been penalised five grid places for impeding rivals during qualifying at the Malaysian Grand Prix.

So now he starts 9th Lose
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 22, 2008 6:20 pm    Post subject:

I thought my bets were in trouble before the grid punishment, now I think they're in a LOT of trouble! Laughing Crying or Very sad
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PostPosted: Sat Mar 22, 2008 7:09 pm    Post subject:

You and me both Betking Crying or Very sad Lets hope that there is a lot of rain as that will even things up a bit and make for a very exciting race
Just about sums my day up, just got back from Villa Park Crying or Very sad Crying or Very sad
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 23, 2008 9:44 am    Post subject:

Great shout Betking on Heikki Kovalainen Podium 3rd
Ferrari were just too good today although Massa is a bit of a liability, I don't think it was the car I thonk it was driver error that took him off Wink
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