Posted: Tue Jun 30, 2009 10:08 pm Post subject: HORSE RACING SELECTIONS-WEDNESDAY
A few I like today and this evening starting with my NAP 8.20 Kempton class 3 2mile SWINKEEL 4-9-0
has finished second in its last two runs,previously it got beat on soft going at this trip by a nose that was a class 4 and carried 9-5,lto was the race that impressed me getting beat by Judgethemoment at Ascot that was a good class 3 race and was made 5/2 fav stayed on very well getting beat a neck nothing in this race to me looks that grade and feel this will win very easy has since had a little break of 53days and is my NAP today. easy way
My n/b is in the 3.50 Perth HES A HOTPOT finished 2nd lto in a good class 3 over this trip and previously over further 3mile,
today has a lot of weight on today but this is a weaker race the danger could be Trafagar Man and I am hoping this goes of fav it has won its last two races over 2miles but now has been put up 13lb for that and not sure this extra 4furlongs will suit so for me its HESAHOTPOT J.Maguire riding very well and will take some beating here.
A couple of others I fancy are 8.10 Chep JACKIE KIELY and 7.50 Kemp JAKE THE SNAKE. Good luck all
Last edited by dontstopmenow on Wed Jul 01, 2009 8:32 pm; edited 2 times in total
good evenning all, i have just been told about a horse that is running in the last at Perth tomorrow. One of our members tipped this one up at Chester earlier in the month and won at a nice price.
The owner was telling a friend of mine over a game of golf that TOSHI is going to run a big race tomorrow. The money I believe is down.
I did place this in the Tuesday chat, I just seen the Wednesday chat come up. So hopefully we get a return.
This easily looks the most competitive race of the evening. The selection looks value in an open contest, and though he is a tricky horse to win with, he does have the basic ability to win a race of this nature. He is trained by Noel Chance, who is more renowned for his exploits over the jumps, but he has handled this colt pretty well so far in his flat career. He had a busy start to his career, racing for four months solid, winning twice in 6f handicaps at Wolverhampton and Lingfield before a mid-season break; returned in the autumn, struggling badly for form until coming good in a 7f handicap at Wolverhampton. That seemed to spark him back into life and he picked up another handicap, this time a mile event at Lingfield, coming with his customary late effort to lead near the line and score by half a length from Rambling Light. However, since then he has proved hard to win with, often finding trouble in running when trying to weave a passage through runners, or finding a slow pace counting against him - that being the case the time before last when third in a decent 7f handicap at Wolverhampton in February. He wasn't seen again until this month when contesting a 1m handicap on turf at Windsor, but he was given a very kind ride that day, never put in the race at the back of the field and asked for minimal effort when the pace increased; that looked to be very much a race in which he could blow the cobwebs away. He now returns to his ideal surface, over his ideal trip; strong pace will suit, as will the long straight and, as long as he gets a decent enough pace, it isn't hard to envisage him coming with a late charge to run into a place at least, a mark of 84 looking a winnable one still, despite the fact his highest winning mark is 80. The market will centre around the Godolphin runner, Emirates Sports, a twice raced son of King's Best, out of a well-bred mare who has already produced the smart middle distance performer Plea Bargin. This colt was started over 6f at Newmarket last autumn, finishing a good fourth behind Catskill Mountain, a race that has worked out very well; built on the promise shown on debut to land a 6f maiden at Great Leighs the following month, breaking a lot better and making just about all to come clear and score by a convincing margin of 1¼ lengths from Wedding List. The form of his two maiden runs look good, but the fact is that Saeed Bin Suroor's three-year olds have been out of sorts all season, particularly on their reappearance, and their representative is likely to go off a relatively short price as well, so is perhaps worth taking on this time. His potential, however, is unquestionable, and the step up to 1m will definitely suit him here. Ile Nastase has shown more than enough in a handful of starts for Dandy Nicholls to suggest he is capable of landing a decent prize this season. The former Robert Gibson trained gelding was a dual winner on this surface in France (over 1m and 10f) caught the eye in particular when enduring a torrid time of in a 7½f at Chester's May meeting, being continually denied a clear run and passing the line with plenty more to give. He looked ill-at-ease on a slow surface next time before running on late into fifth behind Benandonner in a decent 1m handicap back on a sounder surface at Ripon last time; looks primed to strike soon, has previous all weather experience and been eased 1lb since his last run. The Hughie Morrison trained Miss Glitters only started her career this April as a four-year old, but the half sister to the yard's useful sprinter Baltic King made up for lost time. After making a promising debut when finishing fourth in a 7f maiden at this track, she went on to ease to a 5 length success in a similar contest of the fibresand at Southwell. She only just failed to get up in a modest 7f handicap at Salisbury on her handicap debut before returning to winning ways in a 7f handicap back at Southwell next time; didn't enjoy much luck in running last time when finishing 8th of eleven in a 1m handicap at Sandown last time, being squeezed for room, though was on the retreat when the interference occured. She does look better suited to an artifical surface, but is 7lbs higher than her latest win, and all her best form has come on the slower surface at Southwell. The Gary Moore trained Nice To Know looked a promising sort a couple of seasons ago when landing a couple of 7f handicaps at Folkestone and Goodwood but has never really progressed as expected since. She failed to win last year, running a couple of creditable races in defeat over course and distance, running a strange sort of race on her final start last year, running on late into seventh behind Multakka after putting herself on the back foot by starting slowly. That has been a regular feature of late, and it's something she needs to cut out if she's to become a competitive force in her races; by no means out of this on the best of her form, but a couple of lifeless performances this season suggest she is one to steer clear of present, in spite of the presence of Ryan Moore. The Marco Botti trained Solo Attempt looked a useful sort last season, winning a 6f maiden here before following up next time out in a 7f nursery at Catterick; highly tried when fifth behind Honest Quality in a modest 7f Listed contest at Sandown and rounded off season with a modest effort when last of five behind Poster in a novices' contest at Great Leighs. Makes her belated reappearance here in a hotly contested handicap with something to prove both fitness-wise and also after her latest effort; yard also been quiet of late and chances are she'll need this outing. Jake The Snake has been in fine form this year, rarely finishing out of the frame and winning here on three occasions, albeit in claimers; however, a consistent sort who has probably just about earned the right for a tilt at a race of this nature, staying on into third in a 7f handicap at Lingfield latest after a slow start, but needs slightly more to regain the winning thread here. _________________ CLICK LINK FOR DARK HORSES TO FOLLOW 2010
Ran a hard race early last month going down by a head to Ishtar Gate at Leicester. will have come on loads from that race and as its closest rivals in the betting are the new comers it looks like Contract Caterer can win this how it likes. If you can get evens or better id take it!
3:00 Catterick Mrs Jones And Me @ 10/1
Mrs Jones And Me could be the pick in a very weak race. is dropping in class yet again in search of that elusive first win.
3:30 Catterick
EW Nuit Sombre @ 14/1
A really tough race to find the winner. So as there are 9 runners im siding with Nuit Sombre to at least place. Nuit Sombre is a strong front runner and could run the finish out of many of these. The stable is having some success with horses first time out so if fit enough and leading at the furlong pole it will be hard to pass. .
4:00 Catterick Maison Dieu @ 4/1
The form of Maison Dieus last race is working out quite well with a winner and a second of the two that have raced. Running with 8-8 today which will give it every chance if good enough. Rio Sands makes some e/w appeal as it did well to get within 4L of Only a Game from a poor draw.
4:30 Catterick
EW Luckette @ 25/1
worse race of the day and a you really cant back anything with confidence. Ill tip up Luckette as it is dropping in Class and after being tried over longer distances should have a bit more at the business end of the race.
Adorn looks to be the pick of a very inconsistant bunch. Lightly raced this will be only its 7th race. I think we can ignore its last race as it tried making all on a surface that it didnt suit. time before stayed on stubbournly going down by a neck to Joinedupwriting. the same jockey is on board today in what looks like on paper a lot easier race. _________________ Never pay for tips, Why would you?.
just be cool, think about what your betting and be smart.
After my two selections finished second yesterday when they probably should have won, i'm hoping for better luck today and can GRIND out a few winners for you. Pun definitely intended.
2:50 Perth - FLASH CUMMINS Each Way
Backstage is not very appealing at 1/4, so i'm gunna trust Flash Cummin's new yard has him fit and ready to atleast get himself in the frame come 2:55 today.
He's been off the track for 585 days which is a considerable time and he's also switched from the Pipe yard to Peter Monteith's yard during that time. This is his first run for the Scottish trainer and if he runs near to the form he showed before his absence, he is in with a great chance.
Timmy Murphy who's ridden him in practically every race gets the leg up again today and that can be seen as a positive. Last time out, he ran over a similar distance as today and he acquitted himself quite well. He was coming to challenge the leader when he hit the last travelling like a dream and that put pay to any chances he had. Off the same mark again today and Timmy Murphy taking the reins, he's a confident selection.
I'll be back with my NAP selection later so don't forget to check back.
TURN ME ON (NAP)
Has a very good record at this track having won three times here.Is carrying top weight but that's because he's the best horse in the race.Is only 3lb higher than when winning here last time so looking for this one to give a showing today. _________________ Informed Information
The Kingmambo gelding has not been seen on a course for 14 months and first time in a seller this afternoon Was last seen winning at Leicester back in 2007 over two and a half miles when off this mark in Handicap company, but that was a chase, diverts back to hurdling today. Once trained by Kevin Ryan on the level and had a fair rating of 84, was a three time winner from ten starts over hurdles in his early career off a rough guide rating of at least 6lb higher than today. Dicky Johnson rides this afternoon who has ridden 92 winners here at Worcester in his career with a break down of 17.97% and Johnson is taking his only second mount for the trainer today with a 100% record intact
I'm on the big priced winner hunt, and believe I have found one with a chance in the first at
Worcester @ 2.10
Quelclasse E/W @ 20/1
Finished a good clear 2nd on penultimate start over a furlong further. LTO probably best forgiven as stamina test of 3m proved too much and duly eased very early by Mccoy when he realised this one was with in with no chance. Was well supported into 3/1 that day and 3lb Lower here and in with a shout amongst some horses with questions to answer. Chief threat may be Arniecoco who has Rhys Flint up who claims 3lb and running relatively well until confronted by soft going LTO and may be able to bounce back.
Worcester @ 2.40
Converti WIN @ 8/1
Looks a very consistent type who keeps improving and finally managed to get in front LTO. His regular rider claims 10lb and obviously gets on well with him. Stamina is proven, acts on Gd-Fm and rated 4lb lower than that win today so could well go in again. Definitely one who will put in a run at a nice price.
Last edited by curwinkle on Wed Jul 01, 2009 1:54 pm; edited 1 time in total
Much better racing today i feel and its nice too see whilst reading through these threads some of you are picking up on what i have been saying about the tosh we are being given to punt on and making comments on it i certainly feel too much racing of that kind of standard is on offer these days and the big meets are what get my racing and punting juices flowing not some 2k egg n spoon race in the 4.15 at yarmouth thats for sure.A big well done to the layers last night as they smashed into a few shorties the nicholls horse especially had me in stitches what a dog of a horse that is and that along with voilent velocity made me a few tasty £££ last night on that Lay button and can i just say a well done and thanks to the tipsters that choose and put up some decent and working mens price winners on this site,its so easy i suppose to state the obvious about a race and choose the fav or 2nd fav but it takes great skill and a insight and guts to put up a decent priced horse on a public forum like this so to you dedicated bloggers who certainly know your stuff! Onto today then my 1st punt is going to BORDER OWL 3.30 cattrerick a nicely bred gelding whohas only 1 career win to his name but he will love the ground and with him gaining a place in 1/3rd of his races i think a punt on the place @3/1 on Betfair is the way to go,dale gibson gets the leg up and even a small win punt at 14s is worth a try in this company.My 2nd punt is RED CAPE 4.00 catterick Ruth Carr is doing very well with her small stable and this c/d winner can give her another winner it is a worry this is the 5th race in a month but i backed this at thirsk and it blasted out the traps to win and is only 4lbs higher today and i like a stable in form also so '5/1 win n place on Betfair i shall make this a medium punt. After just watching the MACHINE blast the big serving karlovic in the 1st set at wimbledon it seems my 1st punt of the day could be a so heres hoping the punts get me back in front.Be Lucky! Poor run by border owl but RED CAPE punted off the boards and STEAMED IN! AS predicted it would
Last edited by johnwinston on Wed Jul 01, 2009 4:13 pm; edited 1 time in total
2:10 - Worcester - Trevian EW
Like the look of Trevian in this one.He has yet to win a handicap hurldes race but has been placed in 3 of his 6 efforts.Hes an experienced and Consistant runner who needed the run out at Hexham last month so should come on for that.Ground should be to his liking and trip should be fine.Coleman, claming 8 rode him well enough last year when 3rd in a decent race and he will be in the saddle again here.
2:20 - Perth - Boragh PrincessNAP
Got this one between Riverscape and Boragh Princess and im just going to side with the latter.She was a very good 3rd at Cork in may, 3 1/4 lengths behind Wickham street.She then followed that up with another good run at Wexford lto when 4th, 6 lengths behind Hot Oscar.They were two very good efforts over hurldes and if repeating either of them here in a slightly lesser race should be tough to beat.P Maloney takes over in the saddle which is a plus and this yard is in great form at the moment.The big danger looks to be Riverscape who ran really well on debut.Didnt meet the last hurdle well and lost alot of momentum.Did stay on well though to snatch 3rd so with that little experience under her belt she should be better here.Im just going to side with Boragh Princess to get the win here though.
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(c) 2002-2010 Online Betting Guide (OLBG), part of Invendium Ltd 09/02/10 17:36:52
easy way 
what a dog of a horse that is and that along with voilent velocity made me a few tasty £££ last night on that 
to you dedicated bloggers who certainly know your stuff! Onto today then my 1st punt is going to BORDER OWL 
3.30 cattrerick a nicely bred gelding whohas only 1 career win to his name but he will love the ground and with him gaining a place in 1/3rd of his races i think a punt on the place @3/1 on 
Ruth Carr is doing very well with her small stable and this c/d winner can give her another winner it is a worry this is the 5th race in a month but i backed this at thirsk and it blasted out the traps to win and is only 4lbs higher today and i like a stable in form also so '5/1 win n place on 
