UK General Election Betting Odds

Updated: 5827 Politics & Current Affairs

Betting on the General Election is a popular pastime in the UK. Review general election betting odds to help make your decision regarding betting on the UK General Election. Researching the political climate can mean better probability for your predictions on this important event in UK politics.

UK General Election Betting Odds
In this article: Who Will Win?
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

Regardless of the date of the next UK General Elections, betting odds are supplied ahead of time by betting sites with political betting markets. Bets can be placed on all possibilities and outcomes based on polling, voting and the eventual results. General election betting and Next Prime Minister predictions will remain popular throughout the interim as local government polls feed the speculation of what could happen in a general election.

🔮🇬🇧 Your Insider Guide to Election Betting 🗳️🎲

Don't wait for the next UK General Election date! Place your bets early on potential outcomes and enjoy the thrill of predicting the next PM. Listen to expert Nigel Skinner and navigate through a sea of political betting markets! 🧭✅

There is no scheduled date for a general election in the UK yet, but the latest the next general election can take place would be five years from the day on which an incumbent government first met, which in the current case is 17th December 2019.

This means the government will be dissolved on Tuesday, 17th December 2024, unless dissolved sooner by HRH The King of England - Polling would take place no later than 25 days after dissolution. 

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
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Our political betting expert, Nigel Skinner will guide your through the markets, where to find betting on the general election and the things to consider when making your bets.

Nigel Skinner

Political betting expert

With a keen eye on all political events, our in-house exchange and spread betting expert, Nigel can often be found scanning the political betting markets looking for the edge combined with his local political knowledge.

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

General Election Betting Odds

When thinking of betting on the UK General Election, the first outcome one might consider is which party will win. As we can see from the betting odds below, this may not take a great deal of thought for the upcoming general election.

The result of the next general election might be considered a foregone conclusion given the current odds.

Government After The Next UK General Election

Here, we can bet on which party will be in power following the public vote, and this is done by betting on who will have the overall majority at the next UK General Election.

Outcome April 24 July 23 October 22 July 22
Labour Majority 1/10 1/2 4/5 4/1
No Overall Majority 9/1 3/1 11/8 4/6
Conservative Majority 33/1 12/1 5/1 15/8
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With some historical odds data on the market, it is clear how much stronger the labour party have become in the betting over time, going from 4/1 outsiders in this three way split, into very short 1/10 odds on favourites - By contrast, just 2 short years ago, the Conservative party has seen odds drift from 15/8 all the way out to a very unlikely 33/1 chance.

How the General Election Works

The General Election is when everyone in the UK can pick their Member of Parliament (MP). This person represents their local area or neighbourhood, called a constituency, in the House of Commons for a maximum of five years.

Several people or candidates typically want to become an MP in each area. Some of these candidates belong to national political parties. The candidate with the most votes from locals becomes the MP of that area.

When will the next general election be?

We don't know the exact date of the next general election yet. However, according to the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, this decision is now back in the hands of the reigning monarch on the request of the Prime Minister.

Who decides when there is a general election?

Currently, in power, the government determines when a general election will occur.

When is the latest time the next general election could happen?

A Parliament should last no more than five years from the day it started. The present Parliament began on Tuesday, December 17, 2019. If it does not finish early, it should officially end on Tuesday, December 17, 2024. Once ended, the voting day, Polling Day, typically happens 25 days after, not including weekends or bank holidays.

🗓️⏰ When's the Next General Election? 🇬🇧

🗳️ Parliament lasts 5 yrs, if we follow current schedule, it should end on Dec 17, 2024! Voting Day typically 25 days after - weekends & bank holidays excluded. 📚

When was the most recent general election?

The previous general election took place on December 12, 2019.

Do general elections always happen on Thursdays?

While laws don't require elections to be held on a Thursday, it has been a tradition since 1935 to hold them on this day. The Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 used to say that elections should usually occur on 'the first Thursday in May,' but the law has been repealed.

🤔❓Do elections always fall on Thursdays?

🗓️ Tradition says yes since 1935! But 📜laws don't strictly mandate it.

What are Constituencies?

Constituencies play a pivotal role in the general election. There are more than 650 contributing to the overall vote, with each having several candidates looking to win a seat in parliament. The party with the most seats become the general election winner.

Some constituencies are close run, some are considered safe - here are some of the key close and safe seats across the UK. For more information on these constituencies, going in-depth on each, we have individual pages which can be reached from the links in the table, or you can look at our local elections betting guide.

Close Seats

These were the closest-fought constituency seats in the 2019 general elections.
Fermanagh and South Tyrone
Bury North
Bedford
Coventry North West
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross
Dagenham and Rainham
Bury South
Bolton North East
Coventry South
High Peak
Wimbledon
Sheffield, Hallam
Carshalton and Wallington
Gedling
Warwick and Leamington
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine
Winchester
Cheltenham

Three Way Marginals

The constituencies with the closest result in a three-way tussle for victory
Ynys Mon
East Lothian
Barnsley East
Cities of London and Westminster
Ashfield
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
South Antrim
Kensington
South Down
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
Doncaster North
Barnsley Central
Finchley and Golders Green
Midlothian
Ceredigion

Safe Seats

The runaway winners in the 2019 elections with the biggest majorities
Liverpool, Walton
Knowsley
Bootle
Liverpool, Riverside
Liverpool, West Derby
Manchester, Gorton
Birmingham, Ladywood
Tottenham
Walthamstow
Birmingham, Hodge Hill
South Holland and The Deepings
Liverpool, Wavertree
Hackney South and Shoreditch
Boston and Skegness
Bradford West
East Ham
Castle Point
Maldon
Lewisham, Deptford
Hackney North and Stoke Newington
Clacton
North East Cambridgeshire
Rayleigh and Wickford
Manchester Central
Louth and Horncastle
Brentwood and Ongar

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Other General Election Betting Markets to Consider

There are more than one way to bet on the result and elements of the general election in the UK.

Betting on the UK general election is a great way to add excitement and entertainment to the political drama. Whether you're looking for a straightforward bet on who will win in each constituency or something a bit more complex, like who will be the next prime minister after the election, plenty of options are available for those looking to get involved. From individual constituencies to wider political outcomes, all kinds of bets can be made with bookmakers and specialist betting websites throughout the UK.

General Election Betting Markets

Betting markets on the general election range from individual constituencies to wider political outcomes, offering plenty of options for those looking to make a bet. Let's look at some examples.

Year Of UK General Election

🔮🇬🇧 2024 or 2025? Predicting the Next UK Elections! 🗳️

🏛️🔜 Uncertain times ahead for the conservatives! 🙈 Mark your calendars 📆, 2024 may bring the next vote! Or will they cling till 2025? The future awaits...🕰️

2024 is still the favourite year for the next UK General Election as the conservatives are in a position of stress at the time of writing, and any call for an early vote may put their position of power in jeopardy. December 17th, 2024, is when the government will dissolve naturally after 5 years in power, with voting having to occur at least 25 days after that date. So, 2024 is the most likely time for the next general election. However, 2025 could also be possible if the current government hang on until the very last moment.

UK General Election Majority Betting

If you believe no majority government or either the Conservatives or Labour will gain a majority, the market is available to bet on. Each political party aims for an overall majority at a General Election. This allows them to govern more easily, as their proposals and bills in government are more likely to be passed with this majority. 

Some governments have had their legislation hampered by a very small or non-existent majority. For a majority, any party must get 326 seats or more.

📊🇬🇧 Betting Odds Favour Labour in Next Election! 🗳️

🌹 Sir Keir Starmer and Labour look poised to capture majority seats. A victory that could ease the passage of their Govt. proposals and bills. 🎯🏛️

To Win Most Seats At the Next General Election

  • Sir Keir Starmer and his Labour Party look on course to win the most seats at the next General Election. 
  • He has had to do very little, which has been the Conservative Government's meltdown.

Betting on a UK Majority at the next General Election

The bookmakers already have an array of majority betting markets.

  • Overall Majority Betting 
  • What Will Be The Size Of The Majority?
  • Most Seats
  • Over/Under Seats Markets

General Elections Since 2000

General Election YearWinnerElected Prime Minister Winning SeatsMajorityPercentage Of Votes
2019ConservativesBoris Johnson3658043.6%
2017ConservativesTheresa May317-942.4%
2015ConservativesDavid Cameron3301236.9%
2010ConservativesDavid Cameron306-2036.1%
2005LabourTony Blair3556635.2%
2001LabourTony Blair41316740.7%


Betting On Politics

Not all bookmakers provide markets for betting on the general election or politics. We have, however, done the research and found the best, with markets, odds, and free bet welcome offers.

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