bledge

Worked in Property Investment then Financial Analysis whilst running a system in the background to find winners before leaving work to pursue the horses full time. Manage my bankroll similar to a dividend portfolio wherein profits are reinvested monthly (loss deducted) and stakes realigned to be 5% of the total. Avg 27% monthly gain on stakes (bet £1 return £1.27) over the last 12 months, 20% all time and 56% across festivals. 10/12 last months in profit producing 411% growth over the year. 28% 1st strike rate, 57% of all bets hit the top 3. Like to find favs that should win and rarely back out of the top 3 in the betting.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

bledge's Tips

3rd May 2024

16:10 4:10 Newmarket

Castle Way

Daily Racing

50 WIN

4.33

Process Result

Back it

7/11 last winners where aged 4. 3/11 where fav and 8/11 where top 3 in the betting. 7/11 had a previous run at Newmarket and 8/11 had a run this season. Castle Way had some nice form last season beating Circle of Fire on reappearance (2 time Aussie winner since) before going on to win a G3 beating Tower of London (Ledger 4th and Dubai Gold Cup winner). Ended the season behind Continuous who went on to win the Ledger and finish 5th in the Arc. Didn't pick up from 2f out on seasonal reappearance however endoscopic exam post race revealed EIPH so likely did well to finish 4th under the circumstance. Appleby has a 31% SR here with 4yos and won this last year with Hurricane Lane on his 2nd run of the season so likely to want to repeat that with one of his 2 runners here, Castle Way having Buick onboard and being the stronger of the pair looks the pick. The Biggest danger Time Lock looked impressive with CD win last season however the form has subsequently been let down by pretty much every horse in behind that has ran since.

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