the prophet
Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.
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the prophet's Tips History
18 May 2024
15:15 3:15 Newmarket
Aalto
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.50
Void
0
Lightly raced 4yo, ex Irish trained/ back from a 5 month break with a big run two weeks ago- over this 8f C/D/ a close 2nd of 16 in a useful looking contest earning a high RPR rating/ easily having the measure of the rest/ he didn’t have a great track position/ strong jockey booking for this race and hopefully a step forward.
Subtotal0
17 May 2024
16:45 4:45 York
Red Mirage
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
A 7 month break and wind surgery saw the 6yo get back to winning ways three weeks ago- winning a shade cosy/ hopefully he can build on that run/ he’s been rated much higher in the past/ strong jockey booking.
16:15 4:15 York
Under Siege
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Four nice looking types in this 6 runner novice stakes. The selection was a close 2nd of 17 on his debut- had a poor draw- the winner is being supported for a Group 2 race on Thursday.
15:45 3:45 York
Giavellotto
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 8.50 on 15/05 at 21:060.10 deduction for Hamish@7.00 withdrawn at 18:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.50 x (1-0.10) = 7.75
@7.75
Win
337
The 5yo has not been beaten far in his two runs this year/ high quality middle-east races/ he was beaten by ‘Tower Of London’ in both those races, who is the short priced fav for this race/ however, the selection is much better off at the weights in this race/ he won this race last year/ Oisin Murphy in the saddle.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 York
Bolsena
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
The 3yo filly got off the mark four weeks ago in a Newmarket maiden race/ she travelled strong and had her 11 rivals pushing a good way from home/ she didn't need much urging as she sprinted through the line to win by 3L/ excellent breeding suggests she will improve/ Ryan Moore in the saddle/ can be a player in this Listed race.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 York
Loyal Touch
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
The 4yo has started the year in good form/ a win and a very close defeat in two AW runs/ a narrow defeat on tuft last time out- well clear of the 3rd/ given a nice rating for that effort and can run off the same mark in this handicap.
14:30 2:30 Newbury
Gallant Lion
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Progressive 4yo/ 4 wins from 8 on grass/ he ran a big return run four weeks ago- over this 10f C/D/ poor draw and sat last of the 18 runners/ he had to make his move on the far side on the outside of runners- while all the action was up the centre/ a close 3rd with the field strung out was a great result. Should be better for the run, only a lb higher mark/ and looks a nice bet.
1 member found this comment useful
14:23 2:23 Newmarket
One More Dream
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@12.00
Lose
-50
Solid AW form from the 5yo this year- 3 wins and runner-up twice/ his turf handicap mark is a huge 15lb lower than his AW mark/ he is a previous winner on grass/ capable jockey booked who can claim a handy 5lb in this apprentice riders’ ‘hands and heels’ handicap.
14:15 2:15 York
Amestris
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.00
Void
0
The 2yo filly was a close 2nd of 13 four weeks ago on her debut/ in a useful looking Newmarket maiden race/ decent RPR rating/ the form has since been given a good boost the 4th and 6th/ top jockey Ryan Moore takes the ride again/ should be a player at this Listed level.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal37
16 May 2024
15:50 3:50 Perth
Slugger
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
Lightly raced 5yo who ran a nice race four weeks ago/ beaten 3L in a 13 runner handicap- which looked a much stronger contest than this one today/ same mark today/ still learning and can improve.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 York
Ancient Wisdom
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
The 3yo colt has 4 wins from 5/ a Group 3 and Group 1 winner last year/ he has easily posted the two highest RPR ratings from these runners/ big player at this Group 2 level.
15:30 3:30 Salisbury
Miss Stormy Night
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Four runs for the 4yo filly/ she was a close 3rd of 10 on her handicap debut four weeks ago/ awkward start- at the rear- but stayed on strongly in the final furlong/ both the 1st and 2nd from the race have run well since/ same mark today/ strong jockey booking.
15:20 3:20 Perth
Windance
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
Three decent chase runs this year for the 9yo/ unlucky faller at the last on his return when clear/ 4th and 3rd in his last starts which have been good quality races/ every chance today in this company.
15:15 3:15 York
Bluestocking
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@3.50
Win
125
Six runs for the 4yo filly last year form 232422/ three huge RPR ratings of 112+/ two very narrow defeats in Group 1 races/ I feel she’s the standout in this Group 2 contest.
14:50 2:50 Perth
French Highlands
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Two starts over hurdles for the 5yo mare/ 3rd in both novice races- beaten 7L and 2L/ however, she has been beaten by some nice types/ she has a decent opening handicap mark.
14:45 2:45 York
Symbol Of Light
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
Lightly raced 5yo/ win or placed in 6 of 8 AW races at a high leve and posting some high RPR ratings this winter/ unexposed on tuft- two runs- only beaten around a length on his debut which was his only previous run on quickish ground/ on a handy tuft mark going off his AW stats.
14:30 2:30 Salisbury
Circuit Breaker
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Unexposed 4yo/ 2 wins from 6/ a good 3rd of 13 last month on his return from a 6 month break- in a useful AW class 2 handicap/ it should set him up nicely for his return to tuft/ the form of his final run last year- over this 14f trip- looks very solid.
14:15 2:15 York
Marine Wave
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Some near misses for the 4yo filly last year- in a couple of Listed races and a useful £52K handicap at this track/ still room to progress/ she’ll be better for her return run 25 days ago/ no problem with the 5f trip on quick ground/ still on a handy mark.
Subtotal-275
15 May 2024
16:15 4:15 York
Fire Demon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Trainer Andrew Balding went to AW route with the 3yo colt this winter/ paying off as he won 3 from 4 this year including a £77K prize on AW Champions Day- a shade cosy in the end/ back on turf for this handicap after a 7 week break/ he was 2nd of 13 last autumn on turf in a £15K maiden race and that form is looking very strong now/ the selection is still on a handy mark.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 York
Classical Song
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Three runs for the 3yo filly, form 214/ she’s returning from a 7 month break and hopefully she has wintered well/ 4th in the Group 1 Spring Mile on her final start last year/ the winner of that race went very close in the 1000 Guineas recently/ she looks better value for this Group 3 than the short priced fav who won a Listed contest last time out and is not fully proven yet.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 York
Mill Stream
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.00
Win
400
Seven of these runners met four weeks ago in a quality Group 3/ the selection was a close 2nd of 14 that day/ he was coming off a 6 month break/ only a 4yo and plenty room for improvement/ William Buick now takes over in the saddle for this Group 2 contest.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Ffos Las
Energy One
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
The 6yo mare has 1 win from 7 over hurdles/ things not really going to plan last year- saddle slipping- refusing to race- / however, she was a nice 8L handicap winner just over a year ago - just a lb higher mark today - and that form is decent/ She's had a year off the track and hopefully more settled now/ strong jockey booking.
14:45 2:45 York
Great Ambassador
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
The 7yo was off the track for 20 months - for whatever reason- before a return run four weeks ago/ he was never going to be given a hard time n the competitive 18 runner handicap/ settled at the rear/ going as well as any 2f out/ hands and heels in the late stages/ he should be given a more positive ride now/ he looks well treated at the weights if he can capture his 5yo form - he is a previous 6f C/D winner -
14:30 2:30 Ffos Las
Manuelito
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Win
180
Decent on the flat/ three starts over hurdles for the 4yo gelding/ form 321/ he was a close 2nd of 13 during March in a novice hurdle and clear of the rest - that form boosted since by the winner/ he was a maiden hurdle winner last month- jumped well and won a shade cosy/ I think the form stands up and he has every chance on his handicap debut.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 York
Klondike
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
The 4yo colt has 1 win from 4 and is returning from a 7 month break/ trainer William Haggis has been patient with him and will be hoping for good things this year/ his best run was a 2L defeat in a Group 3 beaten by three runners rated 109, 110 and 116/ the selection is running in a handicap today off a 103 rating/ his class should tell.
Subtotal330
14 May 2024
21:00 Girona v Villarreal
Girona
50 WIN
@1.70
Lose
-50
Girona will be keen to finish 2nd in the league, they are in 3rd place at the moment, just 1 point behind Barcelona, and after just one home defeat in the league all season, I don’t see them slipping up against Villarreal.
20:30 Real Madrid v CD Alaves
CD Alaves
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Alaves are now safe after 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 games, against sides who sit 3rd, 4th and 8th in the table, they will be feeling good and will be up for this match against the champions. With the title won and a Champions League final coming up, there could be plenty of fringe players on the park for Madrid tonight.
20:10 8:10 Chepstow
Ibiza Rocks
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Lose
-50
The 6yo shaped a little better 17 days ago on the AW/ staying on and seeing the race out nicely after coming from off the pace/ on his return just over a year ago he went close in a couple of races while racing off a 28lb higher mark/ good jockey booking for tonight.
20:00 Tottenham v Man City
Draw
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
A must win for Spurs if they are to get a Champions league place next year, however, they’ve had a good season and will have great home support tonight- they’ll be very dangerous on the counter and won’t be lacking energy. Also, a must win for City as they go for the title, however, strange things happen in football, I feel City might be a little too over cautious in keeping possession and not creating chances. Spurs will get chances… draw
19:40 7:40 Chepstow
King Of Scotia
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.50
Void
0
Nothing special in his five AW winter runs - however/ a recent four month break/ a return to slow turf ground/ a very attractive mark now/ gives the 4yo a chance.
19:10 7:10 Chepstow
Wont Stand Down
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Just three runs for the 4yo filly/ a respectable 5th in a novice stakes two weeks ago after coming off a 5 month break/ she travelled strong- every chance a furlong out- not a lot room- eased in the last 100 yards/ she was giving weight away to 3yo runners in that contest/ she can build on that run/ she might be underestimated with a low opening handicap mark of 54.
18:40 6:40 Chepstow
Dandy G Boy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
A few newcomers in this 2yo maiden race/ plenty of early money for the selection when the markets first opened/ nicely bred and cost €45K/ good trainer-jockey/ could be set for a good debut run.
18:30 Osasuna v Mallorca
Mallorca
50 WIN
@2.90
Lose
-50
Midtable Osasuna have nothing to play for, just 4 points from their last 8 league games and they might be just going through the motions. Mallorca got a win at the weekend and another would make them safe from the drop, and they should be giving 100%.
18:10 6:10 Chepstow
Ceilidh
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
The 4yo was consistent last year/ finishing the year with back-to-back wins/ that last win was a cosy 2L+ win in a 14 runner handicap/ the runner-up in that race won 3 of his next 4 starts/ the selection should be set for a big run after a respectable return effort 24 days ago.
17:40 5:40 Chepstow
Mayz
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Two runs this year for the 4yo filly/ beaten just 1/2L two weeks ago- decent RPR rating/ same mark today and she can take another step forward/ she is a previous winner on slow ground.
17:15 5:15 Beverley
Walter Hartright
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.00
Lose
-50
Five starts for the 3yo gelding/ his best run was three weeks ago when a 3L 3rd of 7 in a turf handicap/ a first run on quicker ground/ staying on nicely/ the runner-up has run well since and the winner is rated 15lb higher after winning again/ he can take another step forward/ he has a lower mark today/
Subtotal-500
13 May 2024
20:00 Aston Villa v Liverpool
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Liverpool have only won 9 of 18 away games this season, not great at keeping clean sheets and not at their best in recent weeks. Villa are a top side, 4th in the league for a reason and will be up for this game. Big price for a home win.
19:05 7:05 Windsor
Siempre Arturo
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Two wins and a narrow defeat from 5 starts/ all on the AW/ the form looks decent and the 4yo should be fine on tuft today/ excuses in a £23K contest last time out and now drops into a class 5 tuft handicap/ good jockey booking.
18:35 6:35 Windsor
Rhythm N Hooves
Daily Racing
The 4yo was a little disappointing in the second half of last year/ he ran a decent race two weeks ago in a good quality AW handicap- not the best track position that day- but a more positive showing/ he won a 26 runner handicap at Royal Ascot last year and is only a lb above that winning mark now.
18:05 6:05 Windsor
Mono River
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Two starts for the 3yo gelding/ a runner-up 9 days ago to a useful looking Gosden runner/ seeing the race out nicely but got a little too far back to trouble the front running winner/ decent form and can take a step forward in this novice stakes.
17:35 5:35 Windsor
Master Builder
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@3.75
Void
0
The 3yo gelding ran a nice race on his debut two weeks ago/ runner-up over this 10f C/D/ beaten by a Gosden runner who has a Group 2 entry at Royal Ascot/ the selection should go well in this novice stakes.
17:00 5:00 Windsor
Pouting
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
The 2yo filly has yet to see a racecourse but she has been sold twice, connections last paid £150K/ this maiden race looks very average and she can make a winning debut if fit and ready.
16:30 4:30 Windsor
Hes Got Game
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
87
Four starts for the 3yo gelding/ back from a 7 month break four weeks ago and was a close runner-up/ the 1st and 3rd from that race both won next time out/ similar mark for the selection/ unexposed/ strong jockey booking.
16:17 4:17 Catterick
Night Life
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@12.00
Void
0
The 4yo filly was beaten 4L on her return four weeks ago/ room for improvement/ she posted four RPR ratings of 61-68 last summer- two of those on quick ground/ her racing mark for those races was 63-72/ she’s now running off a handing looking 53 rating.
15:47 3:47 Catterick
Ernest Rutherford
Daily Racing
Two AW return runs last month for the 5yo/ up with the pace and running well for a good way in both races/ they were 0-70 rated handicap races/ he showed decent form on quick tuft ground last year and is on a very attractive mark now/ he’s now running in a low grade 0-56 contest.
15:17 3:17 Catterick
Willolarupi
Daily Racing
Two solid return runs for the 3yo gelding/ runner-up last week over this 5f trip/ showing plenty of speed at the front/ unlucky to be caught in the last 100 yards- but still clear of the rest/ same mark for this handicap today and his 9 rivals make little appeal.
14:47 2:47 Catterick
Greek Giant
Daily Racing
Lightly raced 4yo/ progressive/ back from a 6 month break with two AW runs last month- 1st and a narrow defeat/ posting two high RPR ratings/ solid form on quick ground last year and those two AW runs set him up nicely for his return to grass/ still on a handy looking mark.
14:17 2:17 Catterick
Phoenix Of Dreams
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
The 3yo gelding was 4th of 12 on his debut three weeks ago in a useful looking maiden race/ never getting to the winner who gave the form a huge boost last week/ the 2nd and 3rd were useful yardsticks/ and the selection did finish 9L clear of the rest that day/ he should be a player in this novice stakes.
13:47 1:47 Catterick
Patontheback
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
The 6yo is quite consistent/ excuses on soft ground last time out will appreciate this quicker ground/ nicely treated at the weights going off some of his form from last year/ good jockey booking in this apprentice riders’ handicap and he can still claim 3lb.
Subtotal-413
12 May 2024
19:00 7:00 Newcastle
Kings Lynn
Daily Racing
A 7yo now but in good shape- losing by a nk 9 days ago on his second run back- earning a high RPR rating/ has performed in Group 1 company in the past/ was rated 14lb higher this time last year/ AW debut today but could be a big player in this handicap if he takes to the surface.
18:30 6:30 Newcastle
Longlai
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
The 6yo has had his problems- just two runs last year and off the track for 11 months before a return run late March/ 2nd of 14 that day- losing by a nk in a useful contest/ the form has been boosted/ unexposed on the AW after just three runs/ could be a big player if he takes a step forward from that return effort.
18:00 6:00 Newcastle
Legendary Day
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
The 6yo ran a nice race two weeks ago after coming off a 5 month break/ a useful 0-100 tuft handicap/ beaten 2L in the end- staying on from the rear- not the clearest of runs/ he should be better for the run/ lower mark and a lower grade handicap today/ he is a previous 12f C/D winner.
17:27 5:27 Newcastle
Monsieur Melee
Daily Racing
Five starts for the 3yo gelding/ a nice run two weeks ago on his return/ only 5th of 12 but was drawn wide- slow start and at the rear/ stayed on well all the way up the straight- not the clearest of passage/ every chance a furlong out/ it was a strong looking contest- he has a 2lb lower mark today and can take a step forward.
17:13 5:13 Ludlow
Call Me Arthur
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@5.50
Void
0
Two narrow defeats in three races for the 5yo gelding since Nov- losing by a nk and a hd/ the blip in between was on heavy ground/ one narrow defeat might be a fluke but two shows promise/ decent mark/ quicker ground a plus/ trainer happy to try him over a longer trip.
16:52 4:52 Newcastle
Natzor
Daily Racing
The 4yo joined a new yard this year/ two runs after a 5 month break/ two very narrow defeats- including at this track- beaten runners that day have run well since/ staying on well in his races and looks set for this step up in trip/ still on a handy looking mark.
16:38 4:38 Ludlow
Bethpage
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@7.50
Win
195
Four starts over hurdles for the 6yo mare/ a nice 4L winner on her handicap debut three weeks ago - good ground/ she did it a shade cosy despite watching the crowd for the final 2f/ she could be more better with a focused effort/ up in trip but i’ll trust the trainer on that score.
16:17 4:17 Newcastle
Abbey Gardens
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Just three starts for the 4yo filly/ decent ratings and a previous win at the track/ decent opening handicap mark/ new yard and a first run for 6 months/ unexposed and a strong jockey booking.
16:03 4:03 Ludlow
Musique De Fee
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Four starts over hurdles for the 5yo mare/ showed a good willing attitude when winning on her handicap debut three weeks ago- winning over this 21.5f C/D/ the three runners behind her had come into the race in good form/ suited by the quicker ground/ strong jockey booking/ she can follow up in this weak race handicap.
15:42 3:42 Newcastle
Jungle Land
Daily Racing
The 3yo was well supported on his debut 10 days ago/ 2nd of 5 in a decent looking maiden/ the field was strung out/ he earned a good RPR rating/ he can take a step forward in this maiden race today.
15:28 3:28 Ludlow
Collingham
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
300
The 6yo has not been helped by the very slow ground in his last two races/ stats suggest he’s a much better horse on the quicker ground/ he was rated 15lb last winter/ he has normally run in higher grade races than this class 4 level.
15:07 3:07 Newcastle
Oakland Princess
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Four runs for the 3yo filly/ still unexposed/ AW-handicap debut 9 days ago over this C/D/ momentum lost when making a move inside the final 2f after the gap closed- staying on again at the finish in the 14 runner contest/ low mark/ little weight on her back/ she could make her presence felt.
14:15 West Brom v Southampton
Southampton
50 WIN
@2.55
Lose
-50
Southampton just missed out on automatic promotion but they did finish 12 points above WBA, and they did have the 3rd best away record this season. The pressure will be on West Brom to get something from this 1st leg home fixture, and they might over commit, which will set it up nicely for Southampton.
12:00 Norwich v Leeds
Norwich
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Leeds had the much better stats during the season but you have to go back to early Nov for when Norwich last lost a home league game. Four defeats and a draw from Leeds in their last 6 league games, costing them automatic promotion. Norwich can edge this 1st leg semi-final.
Subtotal220
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
