bonanzaboy

Stats based favourite backer. Trying to selectively back the fancied runners with a few larger priced runners for good measure. Flat/AW only.

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bonanzaboy's Tips History

All tips
All sports
02 May 2024
14:42 2:42 Redcar

Yeulan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@101.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Taking a shot at this one who was assigned an opening mark of 51 after 3 turf runs over 5-6f and was then outclassed when pitched into a class 2 race on her final turf start of last year. Hasn't really progressed over the winter on the all weather but has seen her handicap mark slip 8lbs which might enable an uptick in performance now dropped from 1m2f last time out to 5f today.
14:12 2:12 Redcar

Paborus

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Win

175

System Qualifier: The favourite ran with promise on debut but not one I'm willing to back at prohibitive odds of 5/6 so preference is for Paborous on seasonal reappearance having ran a decent race on debut last year and could've trained on over the winter. The yard also have a decent record with their runners on reappearance (31 runs, 9 wins, 29% strike rate, 17pt level stakes profit at SP, 53% ROI)
13:52 1:52 Ayr

Spiritual Pursuit

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Disappointed when sent off second favourite last time out but probably worth another chance having dropped a further 2lbs and considering the yard make the long trip to Ayr where they boast a decent record in handicaps (22 runs, 4 wins, 18% strike rate, 7pt level stakes profit at SP, 30% ROI)
01 May 2024
21:00 9:00 Kempton

Aulis

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Made a decent debut and followed that up with a better performance on his second start when switched to the all weather. Failed to continue to progress back on turf on his seasonal reappearance but has potential to bounce back now back on an artificial surface on handicap debut with the yard also having a good record in such races (640 runs, 133 wins, 21% strike rate, 83pt level stakes profit at SP, 13% ROI)
20:00 8:00 Kempton

Tahitian Prince

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: I'm interested in this one on his first start for George Baker with the yard showing profit in handicaps at Kempton but more interestingly, they also show profit with their runners returning from a 2+ month absence in all weather handicaps (183 runs, 20 wins, 11% strike rate, 51pt level stakes profit at SP, 28% ROI)
18:45 6:45 Brighton

Angel On High

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Last won over off 1lb higher than today over course and distance and could be worth taking a chance on having not ran to form last time out. The yard show minor profit with their runners after a recent run (1-28 days) and also when they only send 1 runner to a meeting as is the case today (109 runs, 16 wins, 15% strike rate, 31pt level stakes profit at SP, 29% ROI)
18:10 6:10 Brighton

Juantorena

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

System Qualifier: Looks worth siding with after a decent run in class 3 company on seasonal reappearance. Drops in grade today and should go close with the yard's runners tending to go well in handicaps at Brighton (87 runs, 18 wins, 21% strike rate, 13pt level stakes profit at SP, 15% ROI)
17:35 5:35 Pontefract

Isle of Wolves

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Another one from Harriet Bethell's yard I want to back today with the yard's good record in turf handicaps (66 runs, 18 wins, 27% strike rate, 87% level stakes profit at SP, 132% ROI) and they have a 29% strike rate in handicaps at Pontefract
16:45 4:45 Wolverhampton

So Sleepy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: The yard's runners have been performing well so far this season and have a good record with runners returning from 2+ months away in all weather handicaps (30 runs, 8 wins, 27% strike rate, 34pt level stakes profit at SP, 112% ROI. This one is also running in a tongue strap and the yard show profit when using this form of headgear (13 runs, 3 wins, 23% SR, 10pt LSP, 78% ROI)
15:15 3:15 Pontefract

Bearwith

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Won well last time out (AW) and should remain competitive off 1lbs lower on turf today with the yard consistently turning a profit in turf handicaps (66 runs, 18 wins, 27% strike rate, 87pt level stakes profit at SP, 132% ROI)
14:25 2:25 Wolverhampton

Bella Grazia

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Looks a typical Prescott type having ran four 6f races last year and now stepping straight up to 1m4f on handicap debut. The yard's record with their handicappers on their first start as a 3yo is very good (60 runs, 17 wins, 28% strike rate, 29pt level stakes profit at SP, 48% ROI)
28 April 2024
20:30 FC Porto v Sporting

Sporting

50 WIN

@2.70

Lose

-50

16:30 Nottm Forest v Man City

Man City

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

27 April 2024
19:45 Gent v Westerlo
15:00 Man Utd v Burnley

Man Utd

15:00 Newcastle v Sheff Utd

Newcastle

14:30 Bayern Munich v Eintracht Frankfurt

Bayern Munich

50 WIN

@1.42

Win

21

12:30 Derby v Carlisle
10:45 Melbourne Victory v Western Sydney Wanderers

Melbourne Victory

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

06:00 Vissel Kobe v Kyoto Sanga FC

Vissel Kobe

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

26 April 2024
20:00 Real Sociedad v Real Madrid

Real Madrid

50 WIN

@2.70

Win

85

System Qualifier: This football selection was derived from a stats based approach and met a specific set of qualifying criteria predominantly revolving around chance creation data.
23 April 2024
21:00 9:00 Wolverhampton

Bernard Spierpoint

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Looks on a competitive mark after finishing a close second over course and distance 2 weeks ago and must be worth another try off just 1lb higher.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Aces High

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

System Qualifier: Ran 3 poor races as a 2yo but hard to think there isn't improvement to come off a low mark now moving into handicap company. The yard have a decent record in handicaps at the track (108 runs, 29 wins, 27% strike rate, 17pt level stakes profit at SP, 16% ROI) and also with their all weather handicappers on their first start of the season (91 runs, 25 wins, 28% SR, 38pt LSP, 41% ROI)
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton

Educate

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Looks a solid favourite having show some smart form as a 2yo and Gosden having a decent record with his colts and geldings on the all weather and showing profit when using a tongue strap on his runners (25 runs, 6 wins, 24% strike rate, 14pt level stakes profit at SP, 54% ROI)
1 member found this comment useful
17:25 5:25 Yarmouth

Exceed

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.50

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Won well whan last seen and can resume winning ways with the yard having a good record with their last time out winners in turf handicaps (213 runs, 37 wins, 17% strike rate, 10pt level stakes profit at SP, 5% ROI)
17:05 5:05 Epsom Downs

Great Chieftain

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Looks a potential improver stepping up slightly in trip on handicap debut and now running in first time blinkers considering the yard generally do well with this form of headgear (146 runs, 16 wins, 11% strike rate, 27pt level stakes profit at SP, 18% ROI)
16:55 4:55 Yarmouth

Cervaro Della Sala

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: There was a lot to like about this one's 2yo campaign and could be starting handicap life off a handy mark and have shown profit with their turf handicappers over sprint trips (263 runs, 37 wins, 14% strike rate, 9pt level stakes profit at SP, 3% ROI)

Melisende

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

0

System Qualifier: Looks a solid each way bet with 3 places being paid in a small field and this yard having a decent record at the track (100 runs, 15 wins, 15% strike rate, 41% placed, 33pt level stakes profit at SP, 33% ROI)
16:20 4:20 Yarmouth

Dreaming Spires

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Happy to take a chance on this one having slipped to a potentially nice handicap mark and the yard generally doing well in spring handicaps (63 runs, 19 wins, 30% strike rate, 24pt level stakes profit at SP, 38% ROI)
1 member found this comment useful
15:55 3:55 Epsom Downs

Duke Of Verona

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Ran just twice last year but was successful on seasonal reappearance and resumes this campaign off just 1lb higher so looks worth siding with considering the yard's record with turf handicappers on their first start of the season (31 runs, 8 wins, 26% strike rate, 17pt level stakes profit at SP, 55% ROI)
15:45 3:45 Yarmouth

Yaajooz

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: The early favourite Lennox looks weak in the betting and while Fifty Nifty is interesting on debut, prefence is for Yaajooz. The yard are by far at their best during the spring and their runners seem to get well prepard as 2 year olds to have productive campaigns at 3. (G Boughey, handicap, spring, 3yo: 50 runs, 15 wins, 30% strike rate, 22pt level stakes profit at SP, 44% ROI)
15:20 3:20 Epsom Downs

Crystal Delight

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

210

System Qualifier: The yard have 2 in this race but this one looks the likelier type based on my ratings and the yard have a good record in spring handicaps (63 runs, 19 wins, 30% strike rate, 24pt level stakes profit at SP, 38% ROI)

Silent Film

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Seems to be attracting overnight support and has some decent form excusing a poor run when last seen. Steps up in trip today which looks likely to suit and the yard have a good record with such types in turf handicaps (813 runs, 93 wins, 11% strike rate, 28pt level stakes profit at SP, 4% ROI)
15:10 3:10 Yarmouth

Daymer Bay

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Looks interesting having been contesting mostly in class 2 company last year and now drops into a class 5 race on handicap debut and stepping up in trip. The yard have a decent record in spring handicaps (357 runs 48 wins, 13% strike rate, 77pt level stakes profit at SP, 22% ROI), and are also goor with their runners on seasonal reappearance (140 runs, 20 wins, 14% SR, 65pt LSP, 47% ROI)

Spanish Vega

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

35

System Qualifier: Looks likely to improve with the step up in trip and the yard have a good record in handicaps here at Yarmouth (23 runs, 7 wins, 30% strike rate, 48% placed, 12pt level stakes profit at SP, 53% ROI)
14:45 2:45 Epsom Downs

Feigning Madness

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: The favourite looks a good prospect but seems a little short considering the potential improvers in the field and preference is for the Beckett runner. He won well over 7f and 8f in both starts to date and looks likely to make another step formward now running over 1m2f.
14:10 2:10 Epsom Downs

Glory Fighter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Won well on unforgiving ground last time out and should run his race once again with the yard's runners tending to perform better after a recent run. Up 5lbs for that win but should benefit from the better conditions here and the yard have a good record with last time out winners in turf handicaps (238 runs, 39 wins, 16% strike rate, 17pt level stakes profit at SP, 7% ROI)
14:00 2:00 Yarmouth

Serendipitous Lady

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Won here over 7f on her penaultimate start of last season before a lacklustre run on her final start of 2023. Hopefully the switch back to turf will spark a return to form with the yard's turf handicappers going well this season (40 runs, 6 wins, 15% strike rate, 31pt level stakes profit at SP, 77% ROI)
22 April 2024
19:45 AC Milan v Inter Milan

Inter Milan

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

19:20 7:20 Windsor

Mesaafi

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: This yard have been profitable in turf handicaps in seven out of the last 10 years and have a good record with their turf handicappers that placed last time out (243 runs, 45 wins, 19% strike rate, 46pt level stakes profit at SP, 19% ROI)
18:50 6:50 Windsor

Cock And Bull

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Won well last time out and looks worth siding with considering the yard's record with last time out winners in class 6 all weather handicaps (12 runs, 6 wins, 50% strike rate, 5pt level stakes profit at SP, 41% ROI)
18:20 6:20 Windsor

Wahraan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Taking a chance on this one at big odds with the yard having a good record in turf handicaps during the spring (119 runs, 14 wins, 12% strike rate, 51pt level stakes profit at SP, 43 % ROI) and also runs in a first time hood today (40 runs, 9 wins, 23% SR, 28pt LSP, 70% ROI)
17:00 5:00 Pontefract

Lordsbridge Flyer

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@7.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Looks worth taking a chance on now dropped in class with the yard profitable if backing all their runners in non-handicaps on turf. They have a strong record over sprint trips in such races (209 runs, 19 wins, 9% strike rate, 140pt level stakes profit, 67% ROI) and are also good with their 3yo runners (180 runs, 4 wins, 13% SR, 19pt LSP, 18% ROI)
16:45 4:45 Windsor

The Cola Kid

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: 3lbs above his last winning mark (AW) and looks worth taking a chance on with the yard showing profit with theirturf handicap runners returning from a 2+ month break (64 runs, 6 wins, 9% strike rate, 82pt level stakes profit at SP, 128% ROI)
16:10 4:10 Windsor

Libra Tiger

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Took advantage of a drop in grade, battling on well to hold on at the line last time out and switches back to turf today on his last winning mark. Steps back up into a class 5 today and the yard have a good record winth turf handicappers that had a recent run (last ran 1-28 days: 163 runs, 15 wins, 9% strike rate, 60pt lavel stakes profit at SP, 37% ROI)
15:55 3:22 Pontefract

On The River

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Win

150

System Qualifier: Ran below par last time out but should be fitter for that run and won this race last year. Seems to be attracting overnight support. The yard have a good record at Pontefract and have a decent record in turf handicaps (63 runs, 16 wins, 25% strike rate, 83pt level stakes profit at SP, 132& ROI)
14:52 2:22 Pontefract

Macarone

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Ran well in handicaps last year and looks worth another chance at 6f after seemingly not lasting the trip when previously tried in a deeper race than this. The yard are profitable in turf handicaps but most of their winners tend to come in class 6 races (47 runs, 10 wins, 21% strike rate, 21pt level stakes profit, 46% ROI)
21 April 2024
18:15 6:15 Musselburgh

Redarna

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@26.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Taking a chance on this one that seemed to struggle when stepped un to class 2 company and ran below form on soft ground on his final start of last season. Should encounter a better surface today and drops in grade so I'd expect a better showing for a yard that have a good record with their geldings in handicaps (361 runs, 44 wins, 12% strike rate, 92pt level stakes profit at SP, 26% ROI)
17:45 5:45 Musselburgh

Ice Max

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Win

175

System Qualifier: Won nicley on seasonal reappearance and looks worth siding with to confirm that form with the yard showing profit if backing all their runners sent off favourite or second favourite in turf handicaps (434 runs, 114 wins, 26% strike rate, 21pt level stakes profit at SP, 5% ROI)
17:30 CD Alaves v Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

17:15 5:15 Musselburgh

Detective

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Was weak in the betting on heavy ground on his final start of last season and ran accordingly but had been running consistently in a bunch of races prior to that disappointment. Happy to take a chance on a return to form with the yard having a good record in spring handicaps (87 runs 13 wins, 15% strike rate, 48pt level stakes profit at SP, 55% ROI)

Simple Star

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 13.00 takenBOG

@15.00

Win

45

System Qualifier: Won 3 out of 5 flat races last season and finished a close second on his final start. Runs off 2lbs higher today but looks worth taking a chance on with the yard having a good record in spring handicaps (87 runs 13 wins, 15% strike rate, 48pt level stakes profit at SP, 55% ROI)
16:45 4:45 Musselburgh

Bird Of Play

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Had been running well off a higher mark with the weight negated by a claiming jockey in all but one run last year but has now been eased by the handicapper and is ridden by the more experienced Danny Tudhope.
16:30 Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

16:30 Fulham v Liverpool

Liverpool

16:05 Brest v Monaco

Monaco

15:45 3:45 Musselburgh

Seantrabh

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

System Qualifier: Won well on his penultimate start of last season before a disappointing run when last seen but it's possible the ground wasn't suitable on that occasion. Makes his return on what should be a better surface and has the ability to make his presence felt against today's rivals. The yard ?also have a good record in 5f handicaps (274 runs, 40 wins, 15% strike rate, 68pt level stakes profit at SP, 25% ROI)
13:00 Getafe v Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

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