bowhillbear

I like statistics and researching form. Often a good indicator, but like everything in life - stand back and think logically. Football, tennis, cricket, horse racing fan - but most of all, skiing.

5

Estimated Prizes
this month

£25

Estimated Prize money
this month

bowhillbear's Tips History

All tips
All sports
02 May 2024
18:35 6:35 Punchestown

Captain Cody

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

Lightly raced 6 year old, last seen in March winning a 2 miles 4 furlongs Grade 2 race at Fairyhouse by over 6 lengths, finishing 1st of 11. That was on heavy ground with longer distance today on better going hopefully suitable. Top Stable and Jockey combination of W P Mullins and Paul Townend.
11:00 Lina Gjorcheska vs Katerina Siniakova

Katerina Siniakova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.17

Win

9

40 v 218 in terms of ranking, this is the first meeting between these two players, with more experienced Siniakova having won 11 of 21 matches this year including 1 of 2 on clay courts. Gjorcheska has won 11 of 19 matches in 2024 including 10 of 16 on clay court surfaces, but Siniakova will be a very challenging opponent.

Katerina Siniakova to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

40 v 218 in terms of ranking, this is their first meeting, and a big challenge for Gjorcheska despite having won 11 of 19 matches this year including 10 of 16 on clay courts. Siniakova is more experienced and has won 11 of 21 matches in 2024 at a generally higher level, including 1 of 2 on clay court surfaces.

Katerina Siniakova

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

40 v 218 in terms of ranking, this should be a straightforward straight sets victory for Siniakova who has won 11 of 21 matches this year including 1 of 2 on clay courts at a generally higher level than Gjorcheska who has won 11 of 19 matches this year including 10 of 16 on clay court surfaces.
01 May 2024
20:00 Borussia Dortmund v PSG

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Short odds, with only 1 of the last 6 meetings seeing over 2.5 goals scored, but recent Champions League results suggests goals are likely. Dortmund are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-11 and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 5 games. PSG are 3-2-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 18-10 with at least 5 (five) goals scored in each of their last 5 matches in all competitions.

PSG #3-2

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Short odds, with just one of the last 6 meetings seeing more than 2 goals, but recent Champions League matches have tended to be high scoring. Dortmund have only won 1 of those 6 meetings and they are 2-1-3 from 6 recently including 1-4 and 1-2 defeats. PSG are 3-2-1 from 6 recently with three 4-1 wins, a 2-3 defeat and a 3-3 draw.

Under 4.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

4 or fewer cards seems a reasonable chance, based on the Group stage matches between these two teams. At Dortmund the card count was 2 (Dortmund 1, PSG 1) and in Paris the card count was 3 (PSG 0, Dortmund 3).
17:25 5:25 Punchestown

Corach Rambler

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

A well fancied favourite in this race but place claims for a relatively fresh horse following an early departure in the Grand National. He was a reasonable 3rd over a similar distance at Cheltenham and has going to suit and regular jockey Derek Fox on board. He has finished in the first three 8 times from 14 starts over 'chases.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Antrim Coast

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@23.00

Win

85

Except for a poor performance at Cheltenham in January wearing a tongue tie for the first time that may not have suited, he has performed well in three previous races over hurdles including a course and distance 1st of 19 in October. Yielding ground should suit and both his Stable and today's first time jockey are in reasonable form.
14:50 2:50 Ascot

Purosangue

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

He has finished in the first two 5 times from 6 starts on turf, winning a Listed race on his last appearance when finishing 1st of 9 over 6 furlongs at York. Oisin Murphy is today's jockey who is in good form as is the Andrew Balding Stable.
11:30 Cremonese v Pisa

Draw

50 WIN

@3.70

Lose

-50

4th v 9th, the reverse fixture ended 0-0 and this looks close too. Cremonese are 1-1-4 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 4-9, whilst Pisa are 2-2-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 12-13.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

The reverse fixture was goalless but this match has potential, with 4th placed Cremonese 1-1-4 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 4-9, seeing over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of those 6 games. 9th placed Pisa are 2-2-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 12-13, seeing at least 4 goals scored in 5 of those 6 matches.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.75

Win

38

Although the reverse fixture was goalless, 8 of the last 10 meetings saw both sides score. Cremonese are 1-1-4 from 6 recently with both teams scoring in 3 of their last 4 matches and Pisa are 2-2-2 from 6 recently, seeing both sides score in all 6.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

4th v 9th, the reverse fixture ended 0-0, and Cremonese are 1-1-4 from 6 recently with both teams scoring in 3 of their last 4 matches. Pisa are 2-2-2 from 6 recently, with both sides having scored in all 6.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

4th v 9th, the reverse fixture ended 0-0 but Cremonese are 1-1-4 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 4-9, including two 1-2 defeats and a 2-1 win. Pisa are 2-2-2 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 12-13, with Pisa drawing their last two matches 1-1 and 2-2.
10:30 Sofia Kenin vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Sofia Kenin

Win Match

450 WIN

@1.33

Win

149

60 v 235 in terms of ranking, Kenin has won 1 of 11 matches this year, losing both played on clay, but most opponents have been much higher ranked than Escorihuela who has won 17 of 30 matches in 2024 including 9 of 16 on clay.
10:00 Mirra Andreeva vs Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

43 v 2 in terms of ranking, Sabalenka leads 1-0 head to head, a straight sets win on a clay court. She has won 18 of 23 matches this year including 4 of 5 on clay court surfaces. Andreeva has won 12 of 17 matches contested in 2024 including 6 of 7 on clay courts.
30 April 2024
20:00 Bayern Munich v Real Madrid

Draw #3-3

50 WIN

@46.00

Lose

-50

The last 3 Champions League meetings in Munich have ended 1-2, 1-2 and 0-4, with 8 of the last 10 meetings seeing both teams scoring. Even as a semi final first leg, goals are likely as was the case at the quarter final stage this season. Bayern Munich are 3-1-2 from 6 recently in all competitions with a goals aggregate of 12-9, including a 2-2 draw and 2-3 defeat. Real Madrid are 3-2-1 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 11-6, including a 3-2 win and 3-3 draw.
20:00 Coventry v Ipswich

Coventry

50 WIN

@4.40

Lose

-50

9th v 3rd, Ipswich need to win or at least draw to maintain automatic promotion hopes. Coventry have fallen away recently and are 1-1-4 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 6-11. They lost the reverse fixture 1-2 but have only lost 1 of the last 7 home matches in all competitions against Ipswich who are 2-3-1 from 6 recently but winless in 4.
19:00 Madison Keys vs Ons Jabeur

Ons Jabeur

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

9 v 20 in terms of ranking, Jabeur leads 2-0 head to head, both straight sets wins on hard courts. Jabeur has won 6 of 13 matches this year including 4 of 6 on clay court surfaces whilst Keys has won 6 of 9 matches in 2024 including 3 of 4 on clay.
14:30 Jannik Sinner vs Karen Khachanov

Jannik Sinner

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

2 v 17 in terms of ranking, Sinner leads 3-1 head to head, all played on hard courts. He has won 27 of 29 matches this year including 5 of 6 on clay courts. Khachanov has won 17 of 24 matches in 2024 also including 5 of 6 on clay court surfaces.
13:00 Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.22

Lose

-50

2 v 19 in terms of ranking, this is the first match between these two players, with Zverev having won 22 of 30 matches this year including 4 of 6 on clay. Cerundolo has won 11 of 23 matches in 2024 including 8 of 15 on clay court surfaces.
12:00 Rebeka Masarova vs Erika Andreeva

Erika Andreeva

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

89 v 109 in terms of ranking, Andreeva leads 2-0 head to head including a 6-2 6-2 straight sets win on clay. She has won 17 of 27 matches this year including 1 of 2 played on clay. Masarova has won 11 of 24 matches in 2024 including 5 of 9 contested on clay court surfaces.
11:30 Iga Swiatek vs Beatriz Haddad Maia

Iga Swiatek

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.08

Win

4

1st v 14th in terms of ranking, Swiatek leads 2-1 head to head including a straight sets win on clay in Paris last year. She has won 29 of 33 matches this year including 5 of 6 on clay court surfaces. Haddad Maria has won 13 of 24 matches in 2024 including 5 of 7 on clay courts.
10:00 Alize Cornet vs Astrid Lew Yan Foon

Alize Cornet

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.15

Win

8

107 v 621 in terms of ranking, this is the first match between these two players, with Cornet having won just 3 of 12 matches this year, including of 3 on clay. However she is very experienced and this is a step up for Foon who at a lower level has won 19 of 28 matches in 2024 including 12 of 17 on clay court surfaces.
09:00 Polina Kudermetova vs Daria Saville

Daria Saville

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.45

Win

22

19 v 96 in terms of ranking, this is the first meeting between these two players, with Kudermetova having won 7 of 18 matches this year including 3 of 6 on clay court surfaces. Saville however is in better form, winning 16 of 27 matches in 2024 including 5 of 8 on clay courts.
29 April 2024
20:30 Danielle Collins vs Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

15 v 2 in terms of ranking, Sabalenka leads 4-0 head to head, all played on hard courts, losing just 2 of 10 sets. She is a two time tournament winner, and has a 17-5 record this year, including 3-1 on clay courts. Collins is in good form herself, with a 28-7 record in 2024, including 8-0 on clay, but Sabalenka will be a very difficult opponent.
20:00 Preston v Leicester

Over 2.50

Total Goals

10th v 1st, Preston lost the reverse fixture 0-3 and are without several regulars today. They are 1-1-4 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 4-7, with over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of their last 4 matches. Leicester are 4-0-2 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 12-5 with over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of those 6 games.
17:00 Chrobry Glogow v Wisla Plock

Over 2.50

Total Goals

9th v 14th, there were 3 goals in the reverse fixture, with both currently 2-2-2 from their last 6 matches. Chrobry Glogow have a goals aggregate of 7-9 with over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of those 6 games and Wisla Plock have a goals aggregate of 7-8 with over 2.5 goals scored in 3 and at least 2 goals scored in 5.
15:30 Petrolul Ploiesti v FC Botosani

Over 2.50

Total Goals

A relegation round match, there were 3 and 2 goals scored in the league fixtures, and Petrolul Ploiesti are 2-2-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 5-9 and with at least 2 goals scored in each of their last 5 matches. FC Botosani are 3-1-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-8, and with over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of those 6 games.
15:00 Coco Gauff vs Madison Keys

Madison Keys

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.60

Win

130

3 v 20 in terms of ranking, 2-2 head to head, this first meeting on clay could be closer than the odds suggest. Gauff has won 21 of 27 matches this year including 3 of 4 on clay. Keys has won 5 of 8 matches in 2023 including 2 of 3 on clay.

Madison Keys to win 2 - 1

Set Betting

50 WIN

@7.00

Win

300

3 v 20 in terms of ranking, this is their first meeting on clay although they are 2-2 head to head. Gauff has a 21-6 record in 2024 including 3-1 on clay. Keys has a 5-3 record this year including 2-1 on clay.
15:00 Mumbai City FC v FC Goa

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.65

Lose

-50

Second leg play-off with 5 goals scored in the first leg, and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of the last 7 meetings. Mumbai are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 14-7 and over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 5 games. Goa are 5-0-1 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 17-8 and over 2.5 goals scored in all 6.

Mumbai City FC & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

Mumbai won the first leg of this playoff 3-2 and are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with both sides scoring in 5 of those 6 matches. Goa are 5-0-1 from 6 recently with both teams scoring in 5. Both teams have been involved in high scoring matches recently, with Mumbai having a goals aggregate of 14-7 from 6 and Goa 17-8 from 6.

Mumbai City FC #4-2

50 WIN

@46.00

Lose

-50

A play-off second leg with Mumbai leading 3-2 after the first leg. They are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 14-7, including wins by 4-1 and 3-2. Goa need to be positive to recover the first leg deficit and they are 5-0-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 17-8, including wins by 3-2 and 4-1.
28 April 2024
14:00 Bournemouth v Brighton

Draw

50 WIN

@3.80

Lose

-50

11th v 12th, separated by 1 point, this looks close, with Bournemouth having home advantage but Brighton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings including the reverse fixture this season. Bournemouth are 3-1-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 8-8, whilst Brighton are 1-2-3 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 3-10. A draw seems likely.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.48

Win

24

The reverse fixture saw 4 goals scored and 7 of 9 previous Premier League meetings have seen at least 2 goals. Bournemouth are 3-1-2 from 6 recently with over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of those 6 games. Brighton are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with at least 2 goals scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 of those 5.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

11th v 12th, separated by 1 point, Brighton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings but Bournemouth have home advantage. They are 3-1-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 8-8, including a 2-2 draw. Brighton are 1-2-3 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 3-10, including 1-1 and 0-0 draws in 2 of their last 4 games.
14:00 Tottenham v Arsenal

Draw

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

5th v 1st, the reverse fixture was drawn and Tottenham have only lost 1 of the last 9 home matches against Arsenal at home. Tottenham are 12-0-4 from 16 at hom in the league and 3-1-2 from 6 recently, whilst Arsenal are 10-3-3 from 16 away and 4-1-1 from 6 recently. This could be Tottenham's first home draw of the season.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Short odds, but 5 of the last 6 meetings have seen over 2.5 goals and there have been at least 2 scored in each of the last 11, with 4 goals in the reverse fixture. Tottenham are 3-1-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 10-10 and over 2.5 goals scored in 13 of their last 14 Premier League games. Arsenal are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 12-2 and with at least 2 goals scored in each of their last 5 matches.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Usually goals in this fixture with the last 11 Premier League meetings seeing at least 2. Tottenham are 3-1-2 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 10-10 whilst Arsenal are 4-1-1 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 12-2. However the reverse fixture ended 2-2 and Tottenham have only lost 1 of the last 9 home Premier League matches against Arsenal.
27 April 2024
20:00 Aston Villa v Chelsea

Over 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Three previous meetings between these teams this season have seen high corner counts, starting with the reverse fixture which saw 16 corners (Chelsea 5, Villa 11). Then an FA Cup match at Stamford Bridge featured 14 corners (7-7) and the replay at Villa Park saw 13 (Villa 7, Chelsea 6).
17:30 Everton v Brentford

Everton

50 WIN

@2.60

Win

80

Ignoring Everton's points deduction, 14th v 15th, with Everton having won the reverse fixture 3-1 and this match last season 1-0. Everton are 3-1-2 from 6 recently, with a goals aggregate of 7-9, winning their last 3 home matches without conceding a goal. Brentford are 2-3-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 12-7.

Over 4.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

There were 4 cards issued in the reverse fixture (Brentford 2 Everton 2), and in their last 3 home league games the Everton match card counts have been 3 (0-3), 5 (3-2) and 4 (2-2) v Liverpool, Nottingham Forest and Burnley. Away from home in their last 3 league games the Brentford match card counts have been 3 (2-1), 4 (2-2) and 7 (5-2) v Luton, Aston Villa and Burnley.
15:00 Forest Green v Notts County

Forest Green

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

Relegated Forest Green have only won 1 of 6 previous matches against Notts County but they won at Morecambe last weekend and could finish with a victory against mid table Notts County. Forest Green are 2-0-4 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 5-13 whilst Notts County are 3-1-2 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 13-11.
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Over 2.50

Total Goals

All 6 previous meetings have seen over 2.5 goals scored including the reverse fixture which Notts County won 4-3. Forest Green are 2-0-4 from 6 recently with at least 2 goals scored in 5 and over 2.5 goals scored in 4. Notts County are 3-1-2 from 6 recently with 24 goals seen in those 6 matches, and over 2.5 scored in 5.
1 member found this comment useful
12:30 Barnsley v Northampton

Northampton

5th v 14th, Barnsley, who need points to be certain of a play-off place, are 9-6-7 from 22 at home and 1-1-4 from 6 recently, with a goals aggregate of 11-13, winning just 1 of their last 8 games. Northampton are in mid table, 6-3-13 from 22 away, and 3-0-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 6-5. They lost the reverse fixture 1-2 but have a good record v Barnsley with 2 defeats in the last 10 meetings.

Northampton #3-2

50 WIN

@46.00

Lose

-50

Barnsley need points to be certain of the play-offs, but they have lost 7 home matches and are 1-1-4 from 6 recently, including two 2-3 defeats in their last two games. Northampton are in mid table safety, 3-0-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 6-5, and they can play with freedom and look to add to their 6 away league victories.
12:30 Lincoln City v Portsmouth

Portsmouth

Lincoln have home advantage and are playing for a play-off place while Portsmouth are champions already with little at stake. However they do have a good head to head record, with 1 defeat in 13, and are unbeaten in 6 away meetings. They won the reverse fixture 2-1. Lincoln are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-5 whilst Portsmouth are 3-2-1 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 13-9.
12:30 West Ham v Liverpool

West Ham

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

8th v 2nd, West Ham have won 1 of 15 matches against Liverpool recently and have already lost 1-3 and 1-5 away in the Premier League and League Cup this season. However they have home advantage and although 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-14, Liverpool are in poor form, losing 0-2 at Everton in their last match, they are 3-1-2 from 6 recently in the league.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Sort odds but likely, with 7 of the last 9 meetings in all competitions seeing over 2.5 goals scored including 3 in the reverse fixture and 6 in a League Cup tie. West Ham are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with at least 2 goals scored in all 6 and over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches. Liverpool are 3-1-2 from 6 recently in the league with over 2.5 goals scored in 4.

West Ham & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Both teams have scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings in all competitions including both meetings this season in the league and League Cup. West Ham are at home and are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with both sides scoring in 5, whilst Liverpool are 3-1-2 from 6 in the league with both sides scoring in 4 and they have conceded in all 6.

West Ham #3-2

50 WIN

@36.00

Lose

-50

West Ham have won 1 of their last 15 matches against Liverpool including 1-3 and 1-5 defeats this season and they are 1-2-3 from 6 recently including defeats by 2-5 and 3-4. However they are at home today and Liverpool are in indifferent form, 3-1-2 from 6 recently in the league including a 2-2 draw, 0-2 defeat and two 3-1 wins.

Over 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Should be an attack minded game, with both sides creating chances leading to saves and deflections. In the reverse fixture there were 11 corners (Liverpool 4, West Ham 4) and in a League Cup tie at Anfield in December there were 14 corners (Liverpool 12, West Ham 2).
11:30 Jelena Ostapenko vs Maria Lourdes Carle

Maria Lourdes Carle

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

10 v 82 in terms of ranking, this is their first meeting, with Lourdes Carle playing well on clay courts this season winning 16 of her 17 matches. Ostapenko plays less on clay and has won 3 of 5 matches this year. A close match may well go to the Argentinian.

Maria Lourdes Carle to win 2 - 1

Set Betting

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

10 v 82 in terms of ranking, Ostapenko has won 5 of her last 10 matches and 3 of 5 on clay court surfaces this year. She does not play extensively on clay and her career win/loss record is 103-50. Lourdes Carle has won 10 of her last 10 matches and 16 of 17 on clay this season. She plays a lot of clay court tennis and has a career record of 180-85.

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