Tomav84

Like to dabble in horse racing. These are just my own personal bets, have backed everything on here myself.

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Tomav84's Tips History

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All sports
30 April 2024
17:55 5:55 Brighton

One Hart

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.50

Lose

-50

Not at his best on Saturday but has been thereabouts in 2 prior efforts in this turf season. Runs off same mark here and first time booking of Sean Bowen takes 5lb off on his course debut
17:35 5:35 Yarmouth

Magnificent Match

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-50

Not a clear run at all in recent C&D win and was better than the winning margin suggests, so I'm backing him to get the better over rival Berry Clever once again despite it being a narrow win. The 3lb rise is certainly managable
15:35 3:35 Brighton

Red Royalist

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 30/04 at 12:140.20 deduction for Daphne May@5.00 withdrawn at 14:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.20) = 10.60Best Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 10.60 BOG

@11.00

Win

25

Racing Post calls this 10 year old 'regressive' which I'm inclined to disagree with. Faded earlier this month but ran quite close to form and has been dropped 2lb here. Some good performances on the all weather over the winter show that he's got plenty left to give and speed ratings are far better than most of this weak field. Has a better chance than people might give him credit for
28 April 2024
16:50 4:50 Southwell

Shalaa Asker

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@10.00

Lose

-50

Now below last winning mark and has had 2 good efforts recently. A competitive race that should be a fascinating watch with a few good contenders but there's no reason to suggest he'll run well and the price is fair value
16:40 4:40 Wetherby

Redzone

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

Some very consistent all weather form this year and mark reducing slowly. Tends to prefer the softer ground and the price is good value considering recent efforts.
15:30 3:30 Wetherby

Fox Power

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Mixed turf form but operates at a reduced turf mark. Very consistent all weather performances this year and at this price is worth taking a chance on him continuing that form.
15:20 3:20 Bath

Militry Decoration

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Turf form doesn't match the all weather but has performed well on much heavier ground in the past. Recently won at Southwell and is right up there in terms of speed ratings. Only 1lb on the mark so deserves a go at this price
14:30 2:30 Wetherby

Sunblock

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Has been keeping on well so should be ready to step up in trip. A weak contest dropping to class 6 and has been posting some good speed ratings. Should be too much for a lot of this field
13:50 1:50 Bath

Milliethemollie

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Milliethemollie gets my pick of the 3 remaining runners here. Angel Shared has a 5lb rise to contend with and not sure she can back that up on soft ground so I think there's value in opposing this favourite and my selection rivals her for speed ratings. Rossa Ryan is a good first time booking
27 April 2024
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Wannabe Brave

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Nicely handicapped and should be fit following the reappearance hurdle effort at Huntindon. A weak race and speed ratings are solid compared to this field, and top jockey Oisin Murphy on board
19:10 7:10 Doncaster

Roxanne

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.33

Lose

-50

Roxanne made her UK debut earlier this month with a nice place on the all weather with an RPR of 88 over her mark of 80 which she retains here. Has won on soft in Germany where she remained undefeated in 3 starts. She finished strongly at Chelmsford so the step up in trip gives her solid claims
16:28 4:28 Haydock

Von Baer

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

A solid effort on the all weather on reappearance and has been dropped 1lb to remain on a very competitive mark. Clear leader in the speed ratings and should be his race to lose
15:20 3:20 Haydock

Shelbourne

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.25

Lose

-50

Destroyed his rivals on a soft Catterick earlier in the month and the 5lb rise will certainly be OK if we see a performance anything like that effort. A weak field and only The Smiling Wolf has any chance of beating him. A reverse forecast on these two should be a safe bet but I fancy the favourite here.
25 April 2024
17:40 5:40 Beverley

Flowering

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

5

I fancy Flowering to win this. Very consistent performer on the all weather and returns to turf for the first time since debut which is an obvious risk, but there's just not enough suitable rivals here that can mount a serious challenge in my view. Oisin Murphy tends to perform well here and is a good first time booking (9 wins in 24 and placed in 68% of rides)
16:30 4:30 Beverley

Shaladar

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@7.50

Win

15

Many good performances last year including first race of the season following a similar length break and on similar ground. Mark and performances have stayed pretty consistent and speed ratings are far superior to his rivals.
23 April 2024
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Plumette

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

10

Winless in a while but performances have still been decent in terms of speed ratings and RPRs. Mark is declining and is at a dangerous weight now so is definitely worth trying over this new yard
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Tenyatta

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-50

Rare that I think there's value in such short odds but this should be easy money considering how poor quality the race is. Very few I can give any real chance too and I think it would be a real surprise not to see her following up her excellent C&D win a week ago. 3lb rise is definitely manageable
20 April 2024
19:50 7:50 Brighton

Edmund Ironside

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@6.50

Void

0

Great speed ratings and very consistent RPRs on the all weather this season. C&D effort last October was acceptable but this is a weaker field.
19:20 7:20 Brighton

Otago

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@9.00

Lose

-50

Will be nice and fresh following recent run and won well here last turf effort. Freetodream is a class act but I'm unsure of the penalty so I think there's value elsewhere here.
19:05 7:05 Thirsk

Charging Thunder

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Was in good form last summer and put in a decent effort in a class 2 at York last time out. Has run well fresh in the past and remains on a competitive mark
18:45 6:45 Brighton

Bbob Alula

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Ran on well over this trip last time out and did well to snatch 3rd. Has run well fresh before off higher marks and has shown enough last year to indicate there's still plenty of life in this veteran
17:15 5:15 Brighton

Mudlahhim

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@11.00

Win

25

Couple of decent displays on the all weather recently and comes here with a turf mark 5lb lower than previous AW mark. The speed ratings of previous runs are very encouraging and should be competitive here.
16:20 4:20 Thirsk

Gday Mate

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@12.00

Lose

-50

Disappointing last time out but looked very good prior to that and speed ratings anything like the 2 prior efforts will see him go very close here.
16:06 4:06 Brighton

Antiphon

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Will be better for the run in March. Last turf season was a little hit and miss but many of the performances were encouraging, RPR and speed rating wise. 3lb below last winning mark, big chance.
18 April 2024
17:20 5:20 Newmarket

Misty Grey

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

Twice runner up on the all weather in March and performed well in a 4th placed effort too. RPRs consistently above mark and the 3lb rise shouldn't be a problem
15:42 3:42 Ripon

Karmology

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.50

Win

2

Has looked very impressive so far. Won here on debut and is unexposed at this new trip. Drop in class and 4lb off the weights, she has a great chance
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Pilgrim

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Runs off the same mark as the impressive win at York last summer. Performed very well overall last summer and looks like he could have a strong summer in handicaps this year
17 April 2024
19:00 7:00 Kempton

Twilight Dancer

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

Decent effort on reappearance at Lingfield in March. Clear leader in the speed ratings and despite the jump in class and the wide draw will have a good chance here.
17:20 5:20 Newmarket

Assailant

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 19.00 takenBOG

@21.00

Win

75

Based on recent RPRs the opening mark sounds about right. The speed rating from the recent all weather effort is certainly encouraging and the yard has been performing well of late.
16 April 2024
20:30 8:30 Newcastle

Rishi

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@15.00

Lose

-50

Not quite at the same level for the new yard but previous form and speed ratings make him deserving of another chance at a reduced mark
17:30 5:30 Newcastle

Tables Turned

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Mark has been steadily falling for a while now and we have to be getting to the point where he can break the maiden tag. Speed ratings are modest but the RPRs are very good and has a chance with the yard placing or better in 30% of their rides in the last 2 weeks
16:57 4:57 Newcastle

Kiss My Face

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Bit of a gamble as tends to perform better over 2m but the speed ratings and RPRs are too good to ignore and remains off a nice mark. Previous course winner
16:40 4:40 Newmarket

Bonaventure

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Some encouraging performances on the all weather this year with 4th in all 3 contests. Has shown some good pace in those contests too and whilst it's a bit of an unknown on turf and handicap debut, there's definite quality there and 7f seems like his preferred trip
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Shalaa Asker

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@12.00

Lose

-50

Consistent in terms of speed ratings and RPRs. Last seen on turf last October at a soft York with a decent 3rd placed effort and had a decent performance on the all weather earlier this month. Clear ability at a fair mark. Big chance despite the jump in class
06 April 2024
16:55 4:55 Kempton

Exalted Angel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

25

Mark has come down nicely and has had some nice results lately albeit winless. Not always thereabouts, but even in the bad results the speed ratings are still good. Quite an open race but at this price is definitely worth a go
14:40 2:40 Kempton

Londoner

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Last seen in October with a decent 2nd place in Ireland. The mark of 96 is still competitive and is gelded for his first appearance for new yard with top jockey Jim Crowley on board
05 April 2024
16:40 4:40 Lingfield

Nordic Glory

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

7

Pretty consistent over this trip. Not the easiest to control but despite hanging both left and right last time out still battled on to claim 2nd with a quality speed rating. If William Carson can control him as well this time he's got a chance.
16:05 4:05 Lingfield

Charencey

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Performed well at big odds last time out and is running off a nice mark here. A few in this contest have a chance but the drop in class puts him in contention.
15:30 3:30 Lingfield

Unavailable

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@7.50

Win

195

A diabolical race in terms of quality. Not many can be given a credible chance and this filly certainly is one that can. An awkward race last time out so is tried with cheekpieces which should help
02 April 2024
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Trojan Truth

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.50

Lose

-50

Only a 3lb rise to overcome following a solid C&D win a week or so ago. This is a very poor quality race and wouldn't take a lot to win this, so any replication of that last effort will see him win comfortably
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Clearance

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

Taking a chance here. Off the track for a few months but looked good on the flat when last seen and performed well over hurdles last summer. Running off a nice all weather mark and think he'll ourrun his odds here
01 April 2024
17:13 5:13 Wolverhampton

Powdering

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.50

Win

225

Nice RPRs over a now reduced mark and last 2 C&D efforts have been encouraging. David Probert is a good first time booking in a competitive contest
16:40 4:40 Kempton

Excel Power

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Tends to run much better here than on the surface he was last seen over. Very strong speed ratings on polytrack and nothing wrong with the mark and Hollie Doyle tends to get a good performance out of him
16:05 4:05 Kempton

Radio Goo Goo

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@9.50

Win

17

Now below last winning mark and has looked good last month following a break since the summer. It's a tough contest but has a definite chance

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