chillywatts

Grew up attending P2P's and have 15+ years following racing. A/w and flat specialist but also like the occasional jumps. Trust the process!

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

chillywatts's Tips History

02 May 2024

18:35 6:35 Punchestown

Kilbeg King

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

The good to soft ground will be a good thing for this one coming back to hurdles after not winning in 6 chase starts, but performing well. I think the favourite can be opposed due to ground and this should be there at the finish. Honeyball team have done well and would love a final triumph for the season.

18:00 6:00 Punchestown

Asterion Forlonge

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

Conditions are the same as last year and I think Paul will get the better Mark Walsh on Sire De Berlais who is a year older and might not reproduce and the market is speaking for that. Ew/ bet

15:52 3:52 Redcar

Baryshnikov

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

15:17 3:17 Redcar

Brownlee

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

A chance to be taken on Brownlee as there is a bit of value here for a horse that's only run once on Good to Soft over 5f coming 3 lengths behind Dark Side Thunder and Snuggle, both of which are decent horses in the context of this race. Down in class and will be wiser than that run and back in the conditions he could go well.

01 May 2024

18:25 6:25 Kempton

Geelong

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Lose

-8

Has raced at high levels and coming just behind Tenerife sunshine and Liseo over C&D is solid form for this grade

17:25 5:25 Punchestown

Galopin Des Champs

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-250

Personally, I don't think anything will get close to this. It has kicked on since last year and can take full honours for the year winning this

16:50 4:50 Punchestown

Jasmin De Vaux

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@2.38

Lose

-100

Has the best form and offer here and there has been plenty of money for it today. Has to have a fantastic chance andlooks good for Mullins to get the 4 timer

16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Dancing City

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@3.25

Win

225

I think the form beating The Jukebox man is quality and if it goes good to soft it will aid his chances more. If he repeats that performance, he will win this race as Stellar story was well behind. Paul Townend onboard.

15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Mistergif

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-100

Class Horse of the race and it does look like it will go good to soft which will aid this one. Looks to be another quality day for the Townend/Mullins team

14:15 2:15 Ascot

Coltrane

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG

@4.50

Win

175

If back to his best the can win this as has won on good to soft over 2 mile beating Trushan by 5 lengths which is the best form on offer here, also better off in the weights. Balding team getting into gear can go well with Oisin on board

13:40 1:40 Ascot

Epictetus

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

I think this group Horse can go well down in class and should be able win this one. Has won against group horses and powerful yard will have high hopes for this classy filly

30 April 2024

19:25 7:25 Catterick

Showtime Mahomes

Daily Racing

100 EWNAP

@4.33

Lose

-200

Ran credibly over A/w campaign and decent run in reappearance so should be sharp for this one. Some very good form on good to soft last season beating Fortamour and Ascot Adventure in Class 4 Handicaps over 1m2f. Same conditions today and the owners and trainers local track there sure will be a lot of money on this tomorrow. Max e/w bet

18:00 6:00 Punchestown

Embassy Gardens

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.00

Lose

-100

This horse beat Sender Clegane easily by 10 lengths which lost 10 lengths to Fact or File over 3m. Monty lost 2.5 lengths to FoF and that would have been my choice. Logically those distances make this has a sound chance and with Paul Townend in the saddle I think this can go close with some value. Not many are proven on anything better than soft so could be a lottery but I think this is the safe option.

17:25 5:25 Punchestown

Banbridge

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

360

Classy horse on better ground which he gets today and given the right ride will be tough to beat. The staying on 2nd to El Fabiolo and the win of GS over Pic 'Dorhy is solid enough form for me. Max e/w bet

15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Firefox

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Win

Terrier like horse and doesn't have a pretty running style but has claims based on his staying on 2nd to Mystical Power at Aintree. He has a good to soft win earlier in his career by 9 lengths and if the ground dries out I think it can aid his chances. E/w bet

Mystical Power

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Better ground can help this horse turn the tables on Slade Steel. I have also have an e/w bet with Firefox and a forcast based on the last performances and the ground

29 April 2024

21:00 9:00 Wolverhampton

Light Up Our Stars

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Lose

-50

19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Big Dream

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

Looks the value pick of the race and can be there at the finish. Has won here convincingly over 7f and with a slightly different ride can win over 6f. White Umbrella looks the danger. E/w play

18:39 6:39 Windsor

Enthrallment

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@23.00

Void

This horse could spring a surprise at big odds as it has come 2.5 lengths behind Savvy Victory on the all weather over 1m4. There is some soft ground maiden form, beating a horse that has come 8 lengths to Vauban on soft ground over 1m4f.

Fast Steps

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Lose

-12

17:35 5:35 Ayr

Tafsir

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 28/04 at 19:590.10 deduction for The Navigator@10.00 withdrawn at 13:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.10) = 4.60

@4.60

Lose

-3

Tafsir goes well on soft/ heavy ground and Jim Goldie has a great record at this track so expect this to be there at the finish. Rain forecasted and is 3lbs better off than Ebony Maw which it lost to half a length by in these conditions, so that could be the danger. Has beaten Clansman which is a good benchmark

28 April 2024

17:55 5:55 Southwell

Eligible

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Came 2.5 Lengths 2nd to Kings Code around here and that form is solid with Jo Mason in the saddle and riding well.

17:25 5:25 Southwell

Woodstock

Daily Racing

30 EW

@5.50

Lose

-60

Looks to be still on the up and can go well for Ruth Carr and Jo Mason on tapeta . Advise a double with Eligible in the last, Jo has a good chance of a double here.

16:40 4:40 Wetherby

Canaria Queen

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 28/04 at 00:140.00 deduction for Rwenearlytheredad@12.00 withdrawn at 11:190.00 deduction for Emperor Caradoc @15.000 withdrawn at 12:170.20 deduction for Special Mayson @4.500 withdrawn at 12:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.2) = 6.20

@6.20

Win

162

16:05 4:05 Wetherby

Manila Scouse

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 27/04 at 23:490.10 deduction for Mountain Warrior@8.50 withdrawn at 07:450.15 deduction for Exalted Angel @5.500 withdrawn at 09:170.10 deduction for Mythical Phoenix @7.000 withdrawn at 09:350.10 deduction for Gemini Star @8.000 withdrawn at 14:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.45) = 3.75

@3.75

Lose

-16

15:55 3:55 Bath

Tiger Beetle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Dropping back to his favourite trip 1m2 Tiger Beetle can go well on soft here and can challenge the favourite who is supposedly 'well in.' There's nothing well in when a horse switches to soft turf ground from A/w so I will take my chances here. He also finished ahead of Tortured Soul on a recent a/w run.

15:10 3:10 Southwell

Sardinian Warrior

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.25

Win

Has Derby entries and showed nice pace flying home from the back of the field when running at Kempton at this distance. That form is also my pick of the performances at Kempton as the top 3 in the market have had a run there . Tapeta should be no problem and powerful yard have high hopes for this horse's future.

27 April 2024

18:50 6:50 Ripon

Billy No Mates

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

17:50 5:50 Ripon

Wen Moon

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

This horse has had its run first run of the season and Ben Haslem has a 67% strike rate in the last 2 weeks. This horse has an incredible turn of foot on soft ground and has won some big field handicaps last year, so, should be spot-on from the previous run. Didn't disgrace at all against fitter horses, runs against these today and can turn the tables.

17:05 5:05 Doncaster

Abraaj

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.00

Lose

-100

This Horse finished a neck to Motazzen over 1m5f in France on soft ground and that horse has subsequently won a Class 2 at 1m6 in these conditions. He also finished behind Weetamoo who has contested group races . He has been tried over hurdles but was not up to par and has been moved back to the flat to low level all weather races for summer prep. The class should shine through here now back on turf.

16:10 4:10 Sandown

Impaire Et Passe

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.25

Win

125

This horse looks well in today as Langer Dan and Ballyadam won't like the ground and there's nothing else in the field that that can get close in my opinion.

14:25 2:25 Sandown

Hitman

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

An upwardly mobile horse and travelled powerfully when 2nd to Shishkin two starts ago, he also has solid form at Sandown. Course form could make the difference today and Nicholls will be hoping for a big result to end the season.

26 April 2024

20:15 8:15 Chepstow

Jersey Lady

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Victoria Malzard get on well with this horse and the back to back wins last season on good ground beating in a class 3 is good form for this race. Now back with suitable conditions I expect some place money for this well handicapped. horse. E/w play

18:10 6:10 Chepstow

Tightenourbelts

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.50

Lose

-50

It's hard to ignore the form behind Hermes Allen and Nickelback in the Grade 2 Novice chase but has been lacking confidence and I feel Emma Lavelle could have this ready today. Diego may well be vulnerable to younger legs as he steps back in trip and the market is speaking for this one. There is water in the air at Chepstow and it won't mind any of that.

17:40 5:40 Chepstow

Matterhorn

Daily Racing

30 EW

@6.00

Lose

-60

The run over 2m when beating Titan Discovery was impressive and that is a decent horse in the context of this race. He also beat Final Encore by 14 lengths which was on good ground which he gets today. Final Encore was beaten by Park Hill Dancer who has contested Class 2 handicaps like Titan Discovery has who came 2 lengths 2nd at Cheltenham to Doyen Quest on good ground. I think this horse could be tanky and with Cobden looking to wrap up the season he will sure go well, even fresh Manorbank the danger.

17:10 5:10 Chepstow

Track And Trace

Daily Racing

30 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

This horse has been pulled up on the last 2 starts but I will keep the faith with this horse back on good ground. Came 11 lengths 2nd over 2m in a maiden to Ginnys Destiny on good ground. Goes will over fences proven in December when finishing 2nd, just a short head from Anglers Cragg over this trip on soft. A better horse than the grade and with the form on offer. E/w bet

13:30 1:30 Perth

Lively Citizen

Daily Racing

30 EW

@7.00

Lose

-60

Can go well off top weight with a big claimer on board who is still looking for his first win but has placed plenty of times. This was also ridden by a big claimer when 4th to El Jefe finishing with Alfadil and Go Danebehind , that is good enough form to win this and will get the same conditions today, hopefully class can shine through.

25 April 2024

19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City

Revolutionise

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

18:15 6:15 Huntingdon

Gms Prince

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Has to be worth a shot on good ground with this line-up. Has come 3 lengths to Myristica who has ran very well at this trip in Class 2 handicaps. Coming 3 lengths 4th from the winner. If this horse is fresh is match fit then it will hit the frame. E/w bet

16:45 4:45 Perth

Fortuna Ligna

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Win

125

I think this is going under the radar in this race and is staying strong in the market running from a low weight. Honeyball team on fire and she will appreciate the extra distance today after staying on from a long way back. The extra distance I am hoping finds out the others here while this plods on. E/w play

16:30 4:30 Beverley

Beltane

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Lose

-50

On a good mark as now 4lbs lower than win over this trip on soft this time last year. He beat Look Back Smiling in that race off top weight and which is top form in the context of this race. Should be there at the finish!

15:35 3:35 Perth

Rambo T

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@4.00

Win

Has proved the most out of this line up and could worry the Mullins horse as it could end up tacky out there today and that is unproven over 2m4f but also nothing other than heavy ground which makes it hard to back. Rambo T finished with Beacon Edge at Cheltenham who only lost 13 lengths to Bob Olinger and Impaire Et Passe at this trip on soft, so this can go close today for Olly Murphy who is trying to hit 100 winners.

15:00 3:00 Perth

Destiny Is All

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-50

The 2nd to Half Shot over 3m2f at Kelso on GS is form that brings this into play as the ground could be going tacky by 3pm. Far from disgraced when4th by 1.5 lengths in a 4m slog so stamina won't be an issue and soft -good to soft could be the key here and Lucinda's best chance of a winner today.

14:45 2:45 Beverley

Copper Knight

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Great Value here - Copper Knight is getting on at 10 years old but does go well fresh and in his reappearance last year he came 2.5 lengths to a Group 1 horse that only lost to Highfield Viking by a length. Has achieved the most in the field so I am taking a punt on this at huge odds. I am sure Tim Easterby will have some money on this himself. E/w play

14:25 2:25 Perth

What A Johnny

Daily Racing

30 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.33 on 25/04 at 09:160.15 deduction for Maillot Blanc@5.50 withdrawn at 10:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.33 x (1-0.15) = 3.83

@3.83

Win

101

The form coming just behind El Jefe can be boosted after that won Class 2 race on soft over 2m at Aintree so that must put him in the frame. The step up in trip looks a good move as he did stay on LTO and with Olly Murphy is on a charge this week and this should go close in this field.

24 April 2024

17:50 5:50 Taunton

Airtothethrone

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-3

Has beaten Anglers Cragg over 2m7f on soft which is a lovely but of form in the contact of this race. This will be the 3rd start after wind surgery so should be full right now. He did stay on nicely into 2nd and this 3m2f looks achievable. Jessie Lightfoot will be the danger. E/w play

17:15 5:15 Taunton

Danzini

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Won well in 2022 then lost her way but now back on form. Favourite looks to not like the ground and this look's to be the best 3mile, good grounder in this line-up and can even go further with stamina no issue. Only lost to Lalantos half a length over 3m2 on good and that horse has raced in better races. E.w bet

16:17 4:17 Catterick

Tyger Bay

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Win

109

Not the most reliable recently but on a much lower mark than this time last year and goes well on Soft/GS . Has been a half length behind Music Society in a Class 2 race on soft and has run well behind Indian Creak, these bits of soft form stand out and with match fitness from the A/w campaign, this 6f specialist should go close. Danger will be Origintrail

15:25 3:25 Perth

Apple Away

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Win

Back down in class and should find this an easier assignment than Cheltenham. Lucinda Russell hasn't got many runners at Perth today and will be hoping this gives it's running. The form to Kilbeg King over 3m is solid and with ground drying it then it won't be an issue, even if goes slightly tacky out there.

14:20 2:20 Perth

Clonakilty

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

This horse has been winning on soft over 2m4f in novice events, winning well and gets these conditions again today. Olly Murphy has a load of rides going today and he is desperate to hit 100 winners for the season and he will be hopeful of this horses chances today.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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