Defiance1982

I research football, horse racing and golf

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

Defiance1982's Tips History

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19 May 2024
21:45 PGA Championship

Brooks Koepka

25 EW

@13.00

Open

0

Completely off form in this back in 2022 but otherwise, a genuinely good record in this tournament. Came 2nd back in 2021 when two shots off the leader, but that was driven by a two over round on the last day which left him down overall in an otherwise good performance. Bounced back in 2023 to win by two clear shots despite starting the first day two over par. Expect another good weekend for Koepka here.
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16:00 Arsenal v Everton

Arsenal #2-0

50 WIN

@8.00

Open

0

Getting the job done is all Arsenal will be interested in to give them a chance of winning the league. Goal difference is no longer an issue so I don't feel Arsenal will take too many risks here. 
16:00 Brighton v Man Utd

Brighton #2-1

50 WIN

@11.00

Open

0

Manchester United haven't beaten Brighton in the last four Premier League attempts and their defence is still an issue here. Brighton have nothing to play for, but they will still potentially want a scalp here whilst their opponents struggle to put a team out. 
16:00 Burnley v Nottm Forest

Burnley #2-1

50 WIN

@12.00

Open

0

Burnley have not been beaten at home by Forest in the last eight meetings going back to 2003. Forest are technically safe and that might be good enough for them mentally to take the foot off the gas. Burnley might want to go out on a high, and they could potentially go up a place with a win here.
16:00 Chelsea v Bournemouth

Chelsea #2-0

50 WIN

@13.00

Open

0

Chelsea have kept clean sheets in their last three matches and still hoping to finish as high as possible in the league for a chance of Europe. Bournemouth have nothing to play for and have lost two games on the bounce. Looks like a standard strategic win here for the Blues. 
16:00 Crystal Palace v Aston Villa

Crystal Palace #1-0

50 WIN

@15.00

Open

0

Aston Villa have lost two in their last three away games and I don't think they will be too bothered about losing another here after cementing a place in the Champions League this season. Palace is on a run of form and have not been beaten here by Villa in their last five meetings. This will be a low-key affair that I think Palace will pinch.
16:00 Liverpool v Wolverhampton

Liverpool #3-0

50 WIN

@10.00

Open

0

Jurgen Klopp's last game for Liverpool as they will look to finish the season on a bow and potentially keep a clean sheet. I can't see Wolves offering up much of a threat here.
16:00 Luton v Fulham

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@12.00

Open

0

Luton haven't beaten Fulham since 1998 and there has been eight meetings since that win. They know their chances of survival are impossible, so I expect them to just play their football and have a good game here. Fulham will probably maintain that record a bit longer here and make it three draws on the bounce at Kenilworth Road. 
16:00 Man City v West Ham

Man City #2-0

50 WIN

@11.00

Open

0

Manchester City played it cautious against Tottenham and felt 1-0 was all they needed to get that result over the line. I expect a similar approach here, but with home advantage and with West Ham not so good on form it could be two or three goals.
16:00 Sheff Utd v Tottenham

Tottenham #3-2

50 WIN

@17.00

Open

0

Both these sides have racked up 11 defeats in the last 12 matches between them and both have nothing to play for. Sheffield United maybe looking to go out with a bow as they finish bottom of the league and they have been scoring more goals of late. Spurs are consigned to 5th, but I'm sure they don't want to add another defeat to the end of their season. 
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15:00 Amundi German Masters

Carmen Alonso

25 EW

@151.00

Lose

-50

13th in 2022 which was let down by a poor last round, otherwise a potential top five position that time round. Came back last year with an improved sixth with just her first round letting her down. Could definitely improve on that again here. Well worth an each-way punt at those high odds. 
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Johanna Gustavsson

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

11th in 2022 and improved by a fair bit last year when tied 6th despite leading after the first two rounds. Joint second best score in that tournament which was matched the year prior, so there is definitely a element of skill here for her. 
08:45 Kansai Open Golf Championship

Kazuki Higa

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Decent 10th place back in 2021 and followed that up by winning the trophy here in 2022 by one shot. Did not come here last year to defend his title but definitely has the tournament form to go again at a decent price.

Kensei Hirata

25 EW

@29.00

Win

33

Finished 11th in 2022 when starting strongly but unable to maintain that level. Much improved last year when tied 6th and hit the lowest round of 63 for the whole tournament. Finished 21st in recent Japan Tour which was a slight drop from The Crowns the previous week when 12th but still quite strong form.
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16 May 2024
20:22 8:22 Lingfield

Arlecchinos Gift

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 15/05 at 21:310.10 deduction for Miss Moonshine@9.00 withdrawn at 11:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.10) = 8.20

@8.20

Win

216

18:40 6:40 Fontwell

Tara Iti

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.00

Lose

-100

17:52 5:52 Lingfield

Sun Dancer Girl

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG

@11.00

Win

600

16:20 4:20 Perth

Donso Star

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@6.50

Win

2

15:50 3:50 Perth

Slugger

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

15:20 3:20 Perth

Event Of Sivola

Daily Racing

100 EWNAP

@5.50

Lose

-200

Event Of Sivola for trainer Mark Walford and jockey Tom Midgley. Three wins since December with two both over fourteen lengths including recent effort here on the soft at the back end of April. Won't mind the ground at all and looks the form horse of the field here. 
14:45 2:45 York

Point Lynas

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 15/05 at 21:230.00 deduction for Dashing Roger@51.00 withdrawn at 06:030.10 deduction for Metal Merchant @7.000 withdrawn at 08:210.00 deduction for Navagio @13.000 withdrawn at 09:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.1) = 10.00

@10.00

Win

540

14:30 2:30 Salisbury

Duke Of Verona

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

15 May 2024
20:40 8:40 Bath

Graffiti

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

19:10 7:10 Bath

Irezumi

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

15

17:35 5:35 Bath

Steamboat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

16:45 4:45 York

Station X

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

16:00 4:00 Ffos Las

Bataillon

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

30

15:15 3:15 York

Mill Stream

Daily Racing

100 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

960

Mill Stream for trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam and jockey William Buick. Gains a slight weight advantage over 'Swingalong' since they last met at Haydock and has now had a wind op since to improve things further. Beat 'Spycatcher' in first run since the op and a break of 180-days and should run even stronger this time out. Huge threat here at a decent each-way price.
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15:00 3:00 Ffos Las

Robbers Bridge

Daily Racing

37 EW

@10.00

Win

30

14:45 2:45 York

Makanah

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

14:30 2:30 Ffos Las

Bucephalus

Daily Racing

50 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

10

14:15 2:15 York

Crystal Delight

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

210

14 May 2024
20:30 8:30 Ayr

Darbucks

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 13/05 at 19:160.10 deduction for Ballyare@10.00 withdrawn at 11:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.10) = 6.40

@6.40

Win

2

20:10 8:10 Chepstow

Letter Of The Law

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

20

19:40 7:40 Chepstow

Some Nightmare

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

16:30 4:30 Southwell

Hiconic

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

15:15 3:15 Beverley

Emeralds Pride

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.50 on 13/05 at 19:120.15 deduction for Ghathanfar@6.50 withdrawn at 06:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.50 x (1-0.15) = 5.68Best Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 5.68 BOG

@11.00

Win

600

15:00 3:00 Southwell

Rostello

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

14:30 2:30 Southwell

Big Bee Hive

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

240

13 May 2024
21:00 9:00 Wolverhampton

Come On John

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

20:15 8:15 Windsor

Stryder

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

19:20 7:20 Wolverhampton

Subsonictoshannon

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

19:05 7:05 Windsor

Richard P Smith

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 12.00 on 12/05 at 21:000.10 deduction for Nasim@10.00 withdrawn at 08:570.10 deduction for Lawn Ranger @9.000 withdrawn at 10:570.00 deduction for Masqool @17.000 withdrawn at 18:13R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 11.00 x (1-0.2) = 9.80

@9.80

Win

275

16:47 4:47 Catterick

Huddle Up

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

15:17 3:17 Catterick

Lady Bouquet

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

14:17 2:17 Catterick

Bubbles Wonky

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@6.50

Win

5

13:47 1:47 Catterick

Obee Jo

Daily Racing

50 EW

@12.00

Lose

-100

12 May 2024
21:45 Cognizant Founders Cup

Atthaya Thitikul

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Took part in 2022 and finished tied 8th and scored the joint lowest score of the tournament with a round of 63 on the last day. Improved on position last year when tied for 5th place when a similar last round effort would have won it. The Thai golfer started the season a couple of weeks ago with a 15th place finish in The Chevron Championship, but also worth noting she was runner-up a couple of tournaments prior to the Christmas break.

Jin Young Ko

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Three times winner in the last four years makes Ko Jin-Young an obvious pick for this again. The South Korean appears to be back on form and managed a recently 4th in the JM Eagle LA Championship. Also picked up 10th in the HSBC Women's Championship back in February/March. One to watch.

Minjee Lee

37 EW

@51.00

Lose

-75

Won this in 2022 by two clear shots of Lexi Thompson and followed that up with a joint 1st last year, unfortunately losing in a play off with Ko-Jin Young (who made it three in four years). Finished 4th in the Blue Bay LPGA back in March and was in solid form prior to Christmas. Unbelievable price here considering.

Nasa Hataoka

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

6th here in 2022 when starting and ending strongly between two quieter rounds. Came back last year to finish 8th despite placing in tied 2nd after the 1st round. Finished both 13th and 12th in last two tournaments, so an outside bet here.
21:45 Wells Fargo Championship

Max Homa

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Winner of the WFC back in 2022 finishing eight under par and two clear shots of Keegan Bradley, Matt Fitzpatrick and Cameron Young. Finished 8th last year despite bettering his overall score by another shot and finishing every round with 70 or below. Tied for 3rd recently in The Masters.

Rory McIlroy

25 EW

@9.00

Win

240

Won this back in 2021 on ten under, despite getting off to a slow start. Returned the following year to finish 5th and probably would have won if e didn't have such a poor 2nd day. Not at the races last year, but comes here as favourite after winning last week's Zurich Classic when partnering Shane Lowry.
19:00 7:00 Newcastle

Misty Grey

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

165

18:30 6:30 Newcastle

Longlai

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

16:52 4:52 Newcastle

Yeoman

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

16:30 Man Utd v Arsenal

Arsenal #4-1

65 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-65

Manchester United are usually quite tight and push Arsenal all the way in this fixture, but they have been poor of late and shipping in goals for fun. I'm not sure whether they will be playing a make-shift defence again, but you can probably guarantee that Arsenal will come out the blocks here knowing they need three points for their chase for the title.

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