rich2174

Try to find well handicapped horses that I think are good value

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rich2174's Tips History

All tips
08 May 2024
20:00 Real Madrid v Bayern Munich

Draw

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Wouldn't surprise me if this game was a draw tomorrow - I know Madrid have the edge being at home but Bayern could easily get a result there.
18:30 6:30 Kempton

Falmouth Boy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Falmouth Boy looks like he's been needing the step up to 7f after two 6f races where he's finished strongly but just not been quick enough to reach the winners. His best race was over 7f when finishing 4th by under 1L in January at Lingfield and he runs off 2lb lower than that mark today. Trainer is now in form and experienced jockey Neil Callan is booked to ride.
16:45 4:45 Chester

Princess Shabnam

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Her course figures read 62222 and I always like a horse with good course experience here as it's such a unique track. The 6th place finish at her last visit to the course was in a listed race so that can be excused. LTO she finished 5th at Chelmsford but that was over 7f for the first time in her life and she usually needs a run to blow off the cobwebs after a break so that can be excused. She's down 2lbs from that run, and 7lbs lower than her 2nd place here last season.
15:05 3:05 Chester

Lasting Love

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Only 2 places in this 6 runner Cheshire Oaks but Lasting Love could be a good each way bet at the odds. She finished 3rd on debut at Doncaster in a 30k maiden race but she was best of the newcomers that day. She then finished 0.75L 3rd at Newbury LTO after 7 months off the track and she was really unlucky not to get her head in front that day. She's definitely going to improve this season and the good ground today with the step up in trip could help her chances in this race.
14:35 2:35 Chester

Dandy Devil

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Beat King's Merchant (who is 11/4 for this race today) with ease on debut. Couldn't follow up next time out at Pontefract but he was upped to 6f on very heavy ground and didn't break well that day, and he was also under a penalty for the debut win. Happy to put a line through that run and take an each way chance on him today dropping back to 5f, with better ground and a decent draw.
00:07 CAR Hurricanes @ NY Rangers

NY Rangers 1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.38

Win

19

This should really come in, I'm actually predicting a Rangers win or draw today as they are one of the best teams in the NHL and could have too much for the Hurricanes at home
07 May 2024
20:00 PSG v Borussia Dortmund

PSG

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

PSG didn't play badly away to Dortmund and I think they'll win on home soil tonight. I can see this being a scrappy 1-0 or 2-1 win and the game going to extra time

Over 4.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-50

There were three yellow cards in the first legand I'm hopeful that tomorrows game will be a scrappy affair with Dortmund trying to protect a 1 goal lead and PSG having to go for it.
19:30 Crawley Town v Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

I think MK Dons are the stronger team and ended the season in better form than Crawley. Wouldn't surprise me if MK got the job done tonight
19:20 7:20 Ballinrobe

Zenta

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Zenta is a Grade 1 hurdle winner and is by far the best horse in this race if he can transfer his hurdles form to fences. He's under probably the best jumps trainer in the world so this should be no issue
18:50 6:50 Ballinrobe

Coillte Aris

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.25 on 06/05 at 22:460.10 deduction for Rewrite The Script@8.00 withdrawn at 11:110.00 deduction for Justakeg @51.000 withdrawn at 11:110.00 deduction for Glencourt Valley @11.000 withdrawn at 11:11R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.25 x (1-0.1) = 2.13Best Odds Guaranteed SP 2.88 used instead of 2.13 BOG

@2.88

Win

93

Looks like the best horse in this race on paper. Arrives in brilliant form and the rest all have question marks surrounding them. Only tipping so I can create an accumulator on here.
17:50 5:50 Ballinrobe

Supersundae

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 1.20 on 06/05 at 22:400.15 deduction for Marv Michael@6.50 withdrawn at 09:230.00 deduction for A Year Older @51.000 withdrawn at 09:230.00 deduction for Graigue Corner @67.000 withdrawn at 11:090.00 deduction for Citizen Dan @101.000 withdrawn at 11:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 0.20 x (1-0.15) = 1.17

@1.17

Win

8

Should easily be winning this. Good 7th in Supreme at Cheltenham now drops into a maiden race. Only tipping so I can place it into an accumulator on here.
14:55 2:55 Compiegne

Fraga Has

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Arrives in brilliant form seeking a hat trick today and won here in April. Only tipping so I can create an accumulator on here. 
13:05 1:05 Navan

Unexpected Issues

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

240

If this horse is anything like her sister she could be winning this with ease today, her sister Castle Star won a Group 3 and placed in a Group 2 race at 2 years old.
11:30 Tadej Pogacar vs Geraint Thomas

Tadej Pogacar

Matchups

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

Geraint Thomas was quoted as saying Tadej Pogacar is one of the greatest riders ever and I'm certain that Tadej will win this head to head match up
01:07 BOS Bruins @ FLA Panthers

BOS Bruins 1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

The Bruins have won the last two meeting between these two teams and I think this handicap is a good bet today. 
00:30 IND Pacers @ NY Knicks

NY Knicks -5.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I think the Knicks should comfortably beat the Pacers and I am more than happy to take the point spread bet of -5.5 
06 May 2024
18:05 6:05 Warwick

He Is A Cracker

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Excellent win LTO at Fontwell winning by 16L even after making some mistakes with his jumping that day. He returns to hurdles today only 3lb higher than that winning chase mark and I think he's a decent price at 13/2. 
17:45 5:45 Bath

James Park Woods

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

Really like the chances of this horse today. He ran extremely well last month at Brighton after nearly 2 years off. He surely only improves from that, and has been lowered 2lbs for that run. It's a punt but I'm happy to take it with 4 places on offer.
17:35 5:35 Warwick

Cuban Court

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

The good ground today will be huge for Cuban Court's chances. He finished an excellent 4L 2nd at Doncaster in January and then finished a poor 8th over the same course and distance next time out in March. The ground was heavy that day and I've got a feeling he doesn't like it. Back on good ground today running off only 1lb higher than the Doncaster 2nd and 4 places on offer.
16:50 4:50 Beverley

Josiebond

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Won over C&D 11 months agoon soft ground off a mark of 53. Runs off 3lb lower today and a return to this track could spark a revival having tailed off towards the end of last season. She finished 0.5L 2nd on her reappearance last season so the 209 days break doesn't concern me too much. I think 20/1 is decent odds for a recent C&D winner on a good handicap mark. I also fancy CLOTHERHOLME each-way in this race but not able to tip more than one horse EW on the site. 
16:20 4:20 Windsor

Fierce

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

This horse had some very good runs last season over 6f, finishing 3rd at Newmarket, 4th over C&D in a novice race, 2nd on the July course at Newmarket before winning a maiden at Nottingham on soft ground over 5f next time out. He's yet to win a handicap but I think he's still on a decent mark and his good 3rd on reappearance last season was after a 5 month break. A lot of money has come in for this horse today and I think he could put up a good showing here. 
1 member found this comment useful
16:15 4:15 Beverley

Dr Rio

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Dr Rio was in good form last season. In July he won over C&D and also finished a close 2nd over C&D next time out. He is now only 1lb above that win and 3lbs under his second place mark. What interests me most about this horse is how he has been ridden. Last season under trainer Paul Midgley he was ridden prominent up top by jockey Graham Lee but since transferring over to Declan Carroll he has been ridden far off the pace by apprentice jockey Zak Wheatley. Experienced jockey Harrison Shaw is booked to ride today, so may we see a change of tactics? I may be clutching at straws but worth a bet at 18/1.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Beverley

Powdering

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Win

480

I don't think this race will have a strong pace today so I'm taking a chance on Powdering who likes to be ridden up near the front. The wide draw is a slight concern but she usually breaks really well. She has been in great form recently on the all weather winning over 7f at Wolverhampton 2 runs ago and then a brilliant 3rd from a wide draw LTO at Chelmsford. She has good turf form and won't mind any cut in the ground
1 member found this comment useful
15:25 3:25 Bath

Under Curfew

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

330

Think 11/1 each way in an 8 runner handicap is really good value for Under Curfew today. LTO he finished 4L 5th at Nottingham but that was after 7 months off so hopefully that's blew away the cobwebs. Showed some really good form last season with 8 top 3 finishes from 13 runs. He's dropped to a mark of 57 and finished a brilliant 2nd over C&D in September from 3lbs higher. A lot of the horses in this race seem to want to always lead, and he doesn't so I'm hoping he can pick off the leaders at the finish.
15:05 3:05 Beverley

Buttercross Flyer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

I think 11/1 for this horse today could be very good value.LTO she finished a good 3rd at Newcastle after 4 months off and should improve from that run today. Last season she put up some really good performances over 7f - finishing 2nd in 2 maiden races and then won at Newcastle in August. She went up to a mark of 69 after that win but finished a close 2nd off that mark at Ayr. I'm convinced she's still not hit her peak handicap mark and fancy her to at least place today. 
1 member found this comment useful
05 May 2024
16:50 4:50 Newmarket

Al Qudra

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Had this horse in my tracker after his debut and I think he could reverse form with The Actor today. He was very green on his debut and seemed to get very unbalanced but ran on at the finish. I think he would have learned a lot from that run and was expecting shorter odds than 5/1 today.
16:00 4:00 Sligo

Pachmena

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

This is an interesting runner for Gavin Cromwell today. Ran her last 5 races on the all weather and hasn't done too well, but finished a promising 1.75L 4th LTO. She's 3lb above her last winning mark but placed over this trip at the Curragh off a mark of 80 in October. She won't mind the soft ground at all and I think she could run well today.
15:40 3:40 Newmarket

Ramatuelle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

10

Ramatuelle has some great form and I think 8/1 is too good not to back today. In August she finished a shoulder behind the excellent Vandeek in the Group 1 Prix Morny over 6f and was unlucky not to win that race and Vandeek then went onto win the Group 1 Middle Park stakes. LTO Ramatuelle finished 0.5L behind Romantic Style in a Group 3 race at Deauville but she ran on well and that's proof that she has trained on, which is a bit of an uncertainty with the others in this race.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Kihavah

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

12

In brilliant form last season winning 4 in a row and then finishing 2nd on his final start of the season. I'm happy to put a line through his only run of 2024, as that was his first run in7 months and I'm not convinced the horse likes the all weather as he does all his running on grass. He beat some good horses last season and those handicap wins were strong races. I'm pretty confident that he's still not near his peak handicap mark. He stays the distance and is still on a decent handicap mark. Trainer and jockey are in good form as well.
14:10 2:10 Salisbury

King Of Speed

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

I fancied this horse LTO at Bath where he finished 4th, 3.5L behind the winner. That day he was ridden off the pace, and the top 3 were all prominent up top. I'm hoping for a stronger ran race today so the selection can pick off a few at the end. He's still on a winnable mark, performs well on soft ground, and Ella Fryer takes off a further 7lb today.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Kalpana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

Absolutely demolished the field in a C&D handicap LTO and although the field wasn't very strong that day she looked like she had plenty in hand and should be a group horse this season.
04 May 2024
23:57 Race 12 Churchill Downs

Honor Marie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Won the Kentucky Jockey Club stakes over 1m here. Ben Curtis was quoted as saying 'You know he's going to stay the trip, which is a question mark on a lot of the others' and if he relishes the distance he could be bang in there at the end, especially if the pace burns out. The sloppy going is my only slight concern, and probably why he isn't shorter than 16/1, but he ran with credit in the Risen Star Stakes on sloppy ground at Fair Grounds in February.
16:55 4:55 Thirsk

Rioja Alta

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

This is an interesting horse who started his career in Ireland last year and put up some decent performances over 1m3f/1m4f. He is quite consistent having not finished outside of the top 4 since his debut and he is probably the most unexposed horse in this race. He ran well in his 2 races so far this year which were both over hurdles so I can't see this distance being an issue for him either. His mark of 70 seems fair and Aiden Brookes takes off a valuable 5lbs.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Yarmouth

Zina Colada

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced for a 4 year old having only made his debut at 3 and he's definitely shown ability over 6f. LTO he raced over a mile and clearly didn't see out the trip, and that's the same story when racing over 7f at Wolverhampton 3 runs ago. He finished 4/9 over C&D in April and ran a good race seeing as he started really slowly and was way too far off the pace to begin with. In October he ran over 6f at Chelmsford but absolutely blew the start and was miles behind within secondsso that run can be excused. The race before that however, he won over C&D on handicap debut off 2lbs higher than todays mark. The jockey that day was Benoit De La Sayette and he returns to the saddle for the first time since that run. He's a jockey in good form and knows what he needs to do with this horse today.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Alyanaabi

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Alyanaabi has 3.5L to make up on City of Troy and whilst I genuinely don't think he'll beat him today, I think 22/1 is great odds for an each way bet. He's 17/2 to win without the favourite too. He's put up some good performances at this trip and the step up to a mile should suit. His 4th to Rosallion at Ascot has been spoken about a lot but that was his second run and has definitely improved since that.
1 member found this comment useful
03 May 2024
21:00 9:00 Newcastle

Magic Gem

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 12.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

35

LTO he finished 0.5L 3rd over C&D and runs off the same mark today. Today will be his first run after nearly 8 months off but last year he won over further at Wolverhampton after 1 year & 3 months off the track off just 2lb lower. Trainers horses are running fairly well with 3 places out of 10 runs in the last 2 weeks too.
20:30 8:30 Newcastle

Marcello Si

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 03/05 at 00:280.25 deduction for Angel Of Antrim@4.00 withdrawn at 06:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.25) = 4.75

@4.75

Win

112

4th LTO at Southwell but was ridden aggressively and ran out of steam. The winner that day was Brother Dave who he faces again today and is 5lb better off today. I think with a better ride from Connor Beasley he could win this today.
19:55 7:55 Newcastle

As If By Chance

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

His C&D form since 2021 reads 45322 and LTO over C&D he finished a decent 4th after a break. He finished less than 2L behind Outrun The Storm and is 2lb better off today. If he can improve from that run he could get the better of him today, and I'm happy to take the 16/1 on offer.
19:30 7:30 Cheltenham

Coup De Pinceau

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

This horse is one of only two horses that have won over C&D in this race, with his C&D win coming in April 2022. He's now 12 years old but is still putting up good PTP performances having stayed on well to win a 3m4f race in March. I think 20/1 is great odds for a C&D winner who won't mind the good ground and has a 7lb claimer on board. 
19:20 7:20 Newcastle

Oakland Princess

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

I like the chances of Oakland Princess today. LTO the final furlong was quite messy and although she was in a brilliant position on the bend she ended up isolated wide, running on her own before being pretty much pulled up (not officially but the jockey completely gave up) Her 2 races before that were over todays trip and those were much better performances. I think her mark of 65 could be quite fair today - from her first 2 races she's got very close form with horses rated 84, 82, 80, 78, 77, 73, 69, 63. The trainer is in excellent form at the moment too.
19:05 7:05 Punchestown

Mighty Bandit

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

On debut he beat Lark In The Mornin who won at the Aintree festival and Harsh who won here on Wednesday. Next time out he was 13/8 favourite but finished 9th (By only 10L however) and the vet said he had 'nasal discharge' during the race. I'm sure he is fit and ready for this today and if he can put up a similar performance to his debut there's no reason why he can't finish in the top 4 today 
17:45 5:45 Cheltenham

What A Glance

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@15.00

Win

420

He has finished 2nd in his last 2 runs and they have both been behind a great horse in Deise Aba who was rated 142 not too long ago over fences. I think this is quite decent form and he hasn't been beat far by him. He should stay the distance having raced over 3 miles before and I think this could be a good bet at 14/1.
17:35 5:35 Newcastle

Scarriff

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@8.00

Void

0

2 runs ago Scarriff relished the step up to 1m2f at this course and finished a brilliant 2nd at odds of 150/1. She clearly has some ability at this trip and I'm happy to give her another chance today. Archie Young takes off 5lbs with his claim which will be valuable in a race like this and he's a jockey I really like. 
16:30 4:30 Musselburgh

Pacos Pride

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Paco's Pride was an improving horse last season and ran well in numerous races over todays trip. LTO she finished last on the all weather on her first run after a break but I'm not sure she entirely likes that surface and should be better returning to turf today. She runs well on good ground too.
16:25 4:25 Goodwood

Portsmouth

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Portsmouth absolutely romped home LTO at Epsom and breezed past Show Biz Kid on the home straight. I may eat my words but I just cannot see that form being reversed even with the 6lb swing and the step up in trip. The way that Portsmouth broke through the pack and flew past every runner lto was great to watch.
16:15 4:15 Punchestown

Feu Du Bresil

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Not a bad run LTO on his first go at 2m4f and I think he has the ability to improve on that run going forward. On his chase debut he was only 0.75L behind the favourite in this race Mister Policeman. They were running off level weights that day and Feu now gives him 19lb.
16:00 4:00 Musselburgh

Summit

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

This horse finished a good 2nd LTO on his reappearance to the well fancied Flying Finn who won very comfortably next time out too. Summitt gave Flying Finn 9lbs that day and is now rated 11lbs below him so that form is absolutely brilliant and I think that he will be really tough to beat today. The good ground won't be an issue as he's ran really well on good ground and even firmer before.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Private Ryan

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

180

This horse won a trial race at Punchestown in February and had 6 of todays opponents behind him that day. He's also much better at the weights than most of these as he carried joint top weight that day and todays jockey takes off 7lbs. I can't see why he wouldn't go close again today although the main danger is definitely De Nordener who may not be fully recovered from Tuesdays run here. 
15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Bold Style

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

I prefer Bold Style over Boiling Point today. LTO Boiling Point finished a neck ahead of Bold Style but he ran the whole race out wide on his own without any option of cover. I think with better luck in running today he can reverse the form and take this race.
15:15 3:15 Goodwood

Many A Star

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

The heavy going today should suit Many A Star and he's been in great form this season. He spent from January to March in Meydan which didn't really work out for him but since then he's won two races and finished a neck 2nd LTO. He runs off the same mark today (2lb well in) and should put a good performance in today. The step up to Class 3 company will be no issue either as he won a Class 2 last season. 
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Newmarket

Zouky

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

Having watched her last 3 runs over 7f I really like the chances of Zouky today. Her last run over 7f she finished 5th at Ascot in a Listed race but ran on brilliantly and finished under 1L behind the winner. She has been raised 4lbs for that run which I think is fair and dropping down in class today could be good for her. Back in September over 7f in a Class 2 she absolutely bombed towards the finish but left it far too late to catch up to Poet Master. She has ran her last 2 races over 1m and ran respectably in a Listed race at Kempton in April. With this run under her belt and the drop in trip, I'm hopeful of a really good run today with Rossa Ryan (who rode her at Ascot) returning to the saddle too.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Goodwood

Gold Medallist

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

12

Only 2 of these have raced before but I fancy taking a chance on Gold Medallist today. Eve Johnson-Houghton has had a number of 2yo debutants win this year and I'm happy to take 6/1 with 2 places each way.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket

Endless Victory

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Can't see past this horse today. LTO he won a nice novice race at Newmarket and battled well to beat Salamanca. The horse in 3rd won by 13L next time out so the form stacks up. He could be a group horse in the making and hopefully he can show this today.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 Musselburgh

Kelpie Grey

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.10 used instead of 2.00 takenBOG

@2.10

Win

55

Drops down in class and trip today after winning comfortably LTO and should do well under a 5lb penalty up against easier horses than last time.

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