tadley
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18th May 2024
10:35 Western Force v Waratahs
Western Force
To Win
50 WIN
The Waratahs seem to enjoy playing the Crusaders with their only two wins this season coming against them .Force themselves havent had a great season with just 3wins. However they are just one place awayfrom the play-offs and have been successful against the lesser sides. They thrashed Fijian Drua 48-10 last time and a similar performance will see them to victory.
12:20 Giro dItalia 2024 Stage 14
Filippo Ganna
Win Outright
50 WIN
Pogacar won the short time trial but the climb was the difference. This flatish course will suit Ganna who was dominant on the flat in the shorter time trial. His flat speed should see him dominate this
14:30 Union Berlin v SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg 0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
A massive game with ramifications at both ends of the table. Frieburg can grab the Europa Conference League place with a win and with currently occupiers of that spot Hoffenheime playing bayern its distincly possible At the other end Union Berlin need to win to have a chance of surviving but just two points from their last 7 isnt encouraging. They were 2-0 up against Koln last time but ended up losing. They leak too many goals so I prefer Frieburg who are the stronger side.
14:30 Wolfsburg v Mainz
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
A draw will almost certainly guarantee survival for Mainz. They certainly look capable of doing so after picking up 4 wins and 4 draws form their last 8. Wolsburg have nothing to play for so wont be disheartend with a draw. 3 of Mainz's last 4 games have ended 1-1 and another wouldnt be a shock
15:00 Kerry v Monaghan
Kerry -6.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Kerry have been getting the job done but not exactly over-impressing against lesser sides. Their quality is without question and sooner or later they will hit top gear and give someone a good thrashing. They face a Monaghan sidethat are going nowhere fast and look pretty weak. I expect a more clinical Kerry preformance in the All-Ireland series and a double figure win wouldnt surprise.
15:00 Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Chennai Super Kings
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Win Match
50 WIN
A tricky game to weigh up with a good chance of rain spoiling things or meaning reduced innings. That complicates what is already a confusing situation. RCB can leapfrog CSK to grab the last play-off spot. But winning isnt enough; they need to improve their run rate to grab fourth. The fact they are playing CSK certainly helps in that regard but slide rules may be needed to work out the permutations. It doesnt help that Kohli often doesnt see the urgency to bat quickly but RCB are clearly in great form and taken to get the win.
15:05 Bath v Northampton
Bath -14.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Northampton are assured of a home semi final and wont give two hoots about this game. They will undoubtedly make wholesale changes making them vulnerable in this game. Bath could leapfrog Saracens into second but must win. I have no doubt they can beat a reserve Northampton side and could fly past this handicap
15:05 Gloucester v Newcastle Falcons
Newcastle Falcons
To Win
50 WIN
Newcastle have lost all 17 games but get a final chance to win today and their chances are better than the odds suggest. Gloucester are in the upcoming European Challenge Cup final and have made no bones about the fact that is their priority. They sent out a young inexperienced squad last time and were thrashed 90-0 by Northampton. They will undoubtedly do the same giving Newcastle the opportunity they need to get their first win.
Newcastle Falcons 17.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Newcastle have had some bad beatings this season but did show fighting spirit when winning the second half 7-0 last week against Bath to lose by 11. . Gloucester are prioritizing the Challenge Cup final. They sent out a reserve squad last time and were duly thrashed 90-0 by Northampton and will do the same this afternoon.. They simply dont look strong enough to cover this against Falcons first team.
15:05 Harlequins v Bristol
Over 61.50
Total Points
50 WIN
Two sides that like to attack and are often involved in high scoring affairs. Harlequins last 5 games have produced totals of 59, 76, 68, 73 and 84 points in their last game. Bristol love to attack with their total of 538 being the second highest total only just surpassed bu Northampton because of their 90-0 win last week. Its a high line but these two look capable of surpassing it.
15:05 Leicester v Exeter Chiefs
Exeter Chiefs
To Win
50 WIN
Exeter could still grab a top 4 spot with 4th placed Sale away at Saracens. They must win this though but I like their chances. Leicester's season is over and they come into this having lost their last three. Exeter by contrast are in good form winning their last two racking up 96 points in the bargain. I think they do what they have to.
16:15 Bolton v Oxford Utd
Draw
50 WIN
Bolton are odds on but Oxford cant be underestimated. From their last 10 games they won 6 drew 3 and lost just the one. They saw off a tricky Peterborough side in the semi. Bolton made hard work of seeing off Barnsley when losing the second leg 2-3 at home. There looks little between the sides and a draw looks on the cards.
17:00 Lecce v Atalanta
Atalanta
50 WIN
Atalanta are well on their way to securing a Champions League place after winning 4 on the trot. A win would put them almost certainly secure a place for them. Lecce are now safe from relegation so wont be as motivated for this
17:30 Galway v Derry
Galway
FT Result
50 WIN
Derry won the league meeting between these sides but that counts for nothing as Galway were far from full strength. Galway were a similar price to this against Mayo in the Connacht final last week but got the job done. Their record against Ulster sides is impressive of late and this looks more of a coin toss game
18:00 Clare v Cork
Cork -3.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Cork started their league campign in poor form but got stronger as the campaign went on. They look a much stronger outfit than Clare and a 3.5 handicap shouldnt be too taxing
18:00 Dublin v Kilkenny
Kilkenny -4.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Kilkenny and Galway are by far the most likley to progress but cant take anything for granted. Kilkenny had a hugely disappointing draw with Carlow last week and should respond in a big way. Dublin have been erratic but simply dont have the class of Kilkenny. After last week's effort Im expecting a reaction from Kilkenny.
18:05 CHI White Sox @ NY Yankees
NY Yankees -1.50
Run Line
50 WIN
Yankees bats are warming up scoring 5,4,5 and 10 runs in their last 4 games. They face a White Sox sides that have struggled to contain side and have lost 31 of their 45 games. Yankees pitcher Gil has impressed keeping sides in check this season. I dont see -1.5 stopping the Yankees
19:20 PIT Pirates @ CHI Cubs
Under 8.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
Imanaga pitches for the Cubs today and has been a sensation in the MLB. He has given up just 5 earned runs from 46 innings with an ERA of 0.96. Pirates pitcher Falter is solid and has already faced the Cubs giving up 2 earned runs from 6 innings. As long as the bullpens dont let the sides down I see this going under
19th May 2024
21:45 PGA Championship
Akshay Bhatia
25 EW
Akshay Bhatia is already a two times PGA winner and showed great compossure to win the Valero Texas Open last month in a play-off. Most of the field were left trailing in his wake including the likes of McIlroy Spieth and Aberg. I wont pretend hes the most consistant but on a good day he could be right up there.
1 member found this comment useful
Brooks Koepka
25 EW
Brooks Koepka always brings his best game to the majors and has an impressive record in this event. In the last 6 years he has won it three times and been runner up once. He is fine form coming into this having won last time out in Singapore on the LIV tour. This course really suits his game and a big performance is expected.
1 member found this comment useful
Ryan Fox
25 EW
Ryan Fox was a prolific performer on the European Tour and has settled in ok on the PGA tour. He comes into this having finished a nice fourth last time at Myrtle beach. He is a massive hitter so should relish this course and looks better than a 200/1 shot
1 member found this comment useful
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