bappleby17
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Estimated Prizes
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bappleby17's Tips History
18 May 2024
10:45 South Sydney Rabbitohs v North Queensland Cowboys
South Sydney Rabbitohs
To Win
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
Both sides are having hugely disappointing seasons with just 1/9 wins for South Sydney and 2/10 for North Queensland. NQ Cowboys have lost on 4 of their last 6 trips here and I can't back them at 4/11. The visitors far more appealing at 33/10 here with their one win coming at home.
South Sydney Rabbitohs 8.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
NQ Cowboys have lost their previous 5 on the spin and they've conceded 20+ points in all 5 of those losses. They've been unconvincing all term. South Sydney have had big issues of their own but welcome back some important players here and won't want to lose heavily at home.
Over 49.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Two of the worst three defenses in the NRL going head to head here which suggests we could be in for a high scorer. South Sydney's 9 matches have had 520pts scored in them at an average of almost 58 per game. While NQ's have seen 53.2pts per game
Subtotal42
14 May 2024
20:00 Tottenham v Man City
Man City
50 WIN
@1.38
Win
19
Man City don't have a great record at TH Stadium but they're a different beast in a title race. Add to the fact that most Tottenham fans don't want their side to win and it could make for an interesting atmosphere. It's just 1 loss in 40 for City, while it's 4 in 5 for Tottenham.
19:45 Partick v Raith
Draw
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
3 of the last 5 H2H meetings between Partick and Raith have ended in draws, with the other 2 decided by a single goal. Both have identical form too with W2 D2 L1 in their last 5. Raith will likely take a point on the road going into the 2nd leg.
19:30 Basel v Stade Lausanne Ouchy
Draw
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Basel have won only 6 of their last 24 home matches, with 3 of the last 4 ending in draws. Lausanne have never previously lost at Basel and are more in need of a result here.
19:30 Grasshoppers v Yverdon Sport FC
Draw
50 WIN
@3.80
Lose
-50
These sides drew 1-1 when they last met here and not too much between them since. Yverdon have struggled on the road of late, failing to win any of their last 15 and they'd certainly take a point here.
19:30 Rangers v Dundee
Rangers
50 WIN
@1.17
Win
9
Dundee have lost their last 17 consecutive away matches at Ibrox going all the way back to 2001. Rangers will be desperate to bounce back from their Old Firm defeat and should do so in style here.
Subtotal-122
13 May 2024
20:00 Aston Villa v Liverpool
Draw
50 WIN
@4.75
Win
188
A draw doesn't do massive favours for either side but it's an excellent price at nearly 4/1 here. Villa have lost only 6 of their last 25 at home while Liverpool have had some road struggles this year. Both are without some key players and not too desperate for the points in truth.
Lucas Digne
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Lucas Digne has got a wonderful left foot on him and does pop up with goals from defence. He netted 4 in one season at previous club Everton and scored an important late goal at Luton a few months back. 17/1 a big price.
Harvey Elliott
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Harvey Elliott struck a fantastic goal against Tottenham last time out and 4 goals in his last 13 appearances is a good return, with 7 of those appearances off the bench. Should enjoy playing in a midfield with Mac Allister and Endo sitting.
Harvey Elliott
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@8.00
Win
350
Harvey Elliott is a scrapper of a midfield player. He's very gifted but has a nasty streak too and has put in some poor challenges this season. Wouldn't be a surprise if the youngster picked up a yellow here in a tough midfield battle against Luiz and Tielemans.
Mohamed Salah
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Mohamed Salah will be desperate to end the season on a high. He's looked frustrated in recent months and that sometimes boils over on the pitch. He picks up a few yellows every season and is up against Ezri Konsa who will be very physical.
19:45 Fiorentina v Monza
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
Monza's last 3 away games have all had fewer than three goals in them including a 0-0 draw at UCL chasing Bologna. 3 of Fiorentina's last 5 at home also saw fewer than three goals scored and the reverse fixture was a 1-0 result.
Monza (AH) 1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.03
Push
0
Fiorentina have won only 4 of their previous 10 matches and they may be fatigued after a tricky run of fixtures including European game on Thursday night. Monza have benefited from a 9 day break and they've lost just 4 of their last 13.
Jean Daniel Akpa Akpro
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@41.00
Lose
-50
40/1 for a midfielder to net first is a big price and Akpa Akpro does pop up with goals from time to time. The Ivorian is capable of a goal from range and he has a good long shot on him too which could surprise La Viola.
19:30 Club Brugge v Union Saint Gilloise
Draw
50 WIN
@3.60
Win
130
It's another fascinating title race in Belgium with just 4pts separating the top 3 and with the two chasers, both with a game in hand (this fixture). A draw suits Club Brugge as it would put them top and keep it in their hands. Union may well take a point at a venue where the hosts have lost just 1 of 24.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
I could see this being a cagey encounter with so much on the line. Union SG's last two have seen a 1-0 win and 0-0 draw and Club Brugge will know that a point here works well for them to put them back top of the table. They've conceded just 2 in 6 at home.
18:30 Farul Constanta v CS U Craiova
Draw
Just one place separates these two sides and they both have identical goal differences of +3. Craiova will be keen to avoid defeat as it would secure them a Europa Conference League spot for next season, while Farul are right on their coattails.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.40
Lose
-50
This is an important battle in the race for European places and Craiova will be happy to keep things tight and take a draw. 4 of the visitors last 7 matches have seen either 1-0 or 2-0 scorelines and just 7 of Constanta's last 20 went above this spread.
18:15 Botev Vratsa v FC Hebar Pazardzhik
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
50 WIN
@5.75
Lose
-50
All the pressure is on Botev here with them 5pts behind Hebar and at more risk of relegation. The 19/4 on offer for the visitors is a big price though considering they've scored 8 more goals, conceded 8 fewer, and lost just 1 of the last 4 h2h matches.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
The last meeting between these sides in March ended 3-2 and the previous visit before that at Hristo Botev Stadium was a 3-2 scoreline also. Hebar have seen 8 of their last 9 matches have 3+ goals.
Angel Bastunov
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Angel Bastunov is leading the line for Hebar again this evening and at 16/1 is a very appealing price to net first. He scored a good goal away at Krumovgrad last month and already has 23 career goals at just 24yo. He takes penalties too for Hebar.
18:10 IFK Goteborg v Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg (AH) 0.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.01
Lose
-50
Goteborg are something of a bogey team for Malmo, with the visitors winning just 1 of the last 4 h2h matches. Goteborg have had decent recent wins against Brommapojkarna and Kalmar, while Malmo were beaten 3-1 at Elfsborg last time out.
Arbnor Mucolli
First Goalscorer
Arbnor Mucolli has twice taken and scored penalties for Goteborg previously. He leads the line for the hosts this evening and has scored goals throughout his career both here and at Vejle, totalling 34 already.
18:00 Radomiak Radom v Ruch Chorzow
Over 2.50
Total Goals
Ruch's last 4 games have all gone above this spread with scorelines of 5-0, 3-2, 3-2 and 2-1. They are already relegated so will likely play with freedom and less pressure. Radomiak's last 5 in a row all had 3+ goals too.
Radomiak Radom (AH) -0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.92
Lose
-50
Radomiak have 4 wins in their last 7 and score plenty of goals here. They host a Ruch Chorzow side who have already been relegated and who have picked up just 10pts on the road all season.
Subtotal98
11 May 2024
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024
Israel
Win Contest
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
United Kingdom
Win Contest
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 Betting Without Croatia
Israel
Win Contest
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 Croatia Max 12s From The Juries
Over 2.5
Win Contest
50 WIN
@1.33
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 Germany Max 12s From The Juries
Over 0.5
Win Contest
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 Spain Max 12s From The Juries
Over 0.5
Win Contest
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 Switzerland Max 12s From The Juries
Under 9.5
Win Contest
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 To Finish Last
Estonia
Win Contest
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 Top Balkan Country
Slovenia
Win Contest
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 Top Baltic Country
Latvia
Win Contest
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 Top Big Five Country
United Kingdom
Win Contest
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 Top Nordic Country
Denmark
Win Contest
50 WIN
@29.00
Lose
-50
20:00 Eurovision Song Contest 2024 United Kingdom Max 12s From The Juries
Over 0.5
Win Contest
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
17:30 Nottm Forest v Chelsea
Draw
50 WIN
@3.90
Lose
-50
Depending on Luton's result at West Ham, Notts Forest may need just a point to ensure their PL survival and they have the quality to do so against an inform Chelsea. The visitors have lost just 2 of their last 17 as Mauricio Pochettino's side have found form, but a fair few draws in there including vs Sheff Utd, Burnley, Brentford.
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15:00 Bournemouth v Brentford
Draw
Not the easiest game to call this but I think a draw probably about right. Bournemouth are in decent home form with W4 D4 L1 in their last 9 here. Brentford are tricky to beat too, losing just 1 of their last 7 with 4 draws.
15:00 Everton v Sheff Utd
Everton
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Sean Dyche was named manager of the month after W4 D1 L1 in April, despite the loss being 6-0 at Chelsea. He's kept 4 clean sheets during that period and steered his side to safety. Sheff Utd have won only 1 of 17 and lost their last 5 in a row by a combined margin of 18-5.
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15:00 Newcastle v Brighton
Newcastle
Newcastle have 4 wins in their last 5 and are making a late push for a top 5 spot as Tottenham stutter. Brighton have won only 1 of 10 on the road, against basement side Sheff Utd, and have nothing to play for in midtable.
15:00 Tottenham v Burnley
Tottenham
50 WIN
@1.33
Win
17
Tottenham are fairly short at 1/3 given they've lost 4 in a row but you would expect them to win. They won 5-2 at Turf Moor earlier in the season and 1-0 here in the FA Cup. Burnley can only keep their survival hopes alive with a win so will have to attack and that should play into Tottenham's hands.
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15:00 West Ham v Luton
Draw
West Ham are winless in their last 6 matches and have conceded 5 goals in 2 of their last 3. They face a Luton side who must get a result to keep their surival hopes alive and they have the quality to do so as they've shown in recent draws against the likes of Everton, Forest and Palace.
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15:00 Wolverhampton v Crystal Palace
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Palace are in superb form with 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 as Oliver Glasner's side are ending the season on a high. The two sides are very evenly matched, separated by just two places and three points and a score draw seems the most sensible pick here.
13:00 Bulls v Glasgow
Glasgow 0.00
To Win
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Bulls have lost 3 of their last 5 matches including heavy defeats at Northampton and Leinster, and a 27-22 reversal at home to Munster in this competition. Glasgow are bang in form with 7 wins in their last 8 and the only defeat a narrow reversal at Harlequins. Worth a go at 9/2 here, particularly as they currently sit 7pts above Bulls in the standings.
Glasgow 15.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Glasgow currently sit top of the table and will be a confidence side heading into this trip to Bulls. They've got a superb defence, concedining 107pts fewer than Bulls across their 15 matches and they've covered this spread in both previous h2h matches between the two clubs.
Under 61.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
This spread feels a little on the high side considering Glasgow have the best defensive record in the league by some margin. None of Glasgow's previous 7 road matches had over 52 points in them and both previous h2h matches were under this spread too.
12:55 Western Force v Fijian Drua
Western Force
To Win
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Home form counts for an awful lot in rugby union and Force are might pick despite recent struggles. They've won 3 of the last 4 h2h matches between the sides and Fijian Drua have lost 19 of their last 20 road matches.
Western Force -1.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
It's tough to back a Fijian Drua side here who have been beaten in 19 of their previous 20 away matches, the one anomaly being a 2pt win at Moana Pasifika in 2023. Force have had good recent wins against Crusaders and Reds at home, scoring 37 and 40 points respectively.
Over 55.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
I think this could be a cracking game between two sides who don't care much for the defensive side of the game. Both Force and Fijian Drua have shipped an average of over 30pts per game so far this term. Force conceded 56 at Chiefs last time out, while 4 of Fijian Drua's last 7 went above this spread.
12:35 Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Taishan
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Plenty of attacking quality on the pitch today including the likes of Pedro, Cryzan and Qaziashvili, who between them have combined for 14 goals already this term. Shandong's last 6 matches have seen a total of 21 goals at an average of 3.5 per match.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.92
Win
46
Both meetings between these sides last year saw both teams score. They occupy similar spots around the upper middle table and both average over a goal per game in attack and defence.
12:30 Celtic v Rangers
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.60
Win
30
Celtic and Rangers played out a belter of a 3-3 draw at Ibrox last time out and there's often goals when the sides meet at Parkhead too, with 4 of the last 5 h2h meetings seeing btts. The teams have both averaged over 2 goals per game in the SPL this term.
12:30 Fulham v Man City
Man City
Man City have to win if they're to keep their title hopes in their hands and you'd expect them to get the job done here. Fulham have won just 1 of their last 7 and have lost their last 5 in a row against Man City, conceding 2+ goals in all those defeats.
Mateo Kovacic
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Mateo Kovacic is an industrious midfielder not afraid to get his body about. He picked up 8 yellows in 27 matches for Chelsea last season and while he has a more free role in this City team, he still has to do the dirty work with Rodri and will put challenges in against the likes of Palhinha.
Rodri
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Rodri has picked up 5+ yellow cards in each of his last 7 seasons and this year it has been 8 yellows and a red in total for Man City in the PL alone. Referees are wise to the role he plays now and despite his qualities, he always has a yellow in him.
Timothy Castagne
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Timothy Castagne was booked at home to Liverpool and will expect to face a similarly tough day of defending against the likes of Foden, De Bruyne and Bernardo Silva today. 6/1 worth a go for a yellow
12:00 Hertha Berlin v Kaiserslautern
Draw
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
A point would edge Kaiserslautern ever closer to safety and 3/1 looks a favourable price today. Form is very similar for both, with 3 losses in their last 10 between them. Hertha have little to play for but don't lose many at home.
12:00 Nurnberg v Elversberg
Draw
50 WIN
@3.80
Lose
-50
Nurnberg are desperately short of form, drawing 1 and losing 7 of their last 8 as they've slipped closer to the drop zone. A point here should be enough to ensure their survival and they'll have confidence against an Elversberg side who only have 2 wins in their last 7.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Nurnberg have failed to score in 6 of their last 8 matches, with 5 of them ending with under 2.5 goals. They were 1-0 winners in the reverse fixture at Elversberg and those factors combine suggest 21/10 for 2 or fewer goals here is well worth a poke. We saw similar yesterday too with Paderborn Hamburg finishing under 2.5 in this league at 5/2.
12:00 Schalke v Hansa Rostock
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.60
Win
30
Schalke were dominant in their 4-0 win at Osnabruck last time out to ensure their safety and they can play with more freedom now. Both these sides have conceded 50+ goals in their 32 league games this term and should be goals here.
Schalke (AH) -0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Schalke won 2-0 when these sides met earlier in the campaign and they've won 4 of the last 5 h2h meetings total. Rostock come into this off the back of 4 straight defeats and it's tough to back them here.
12:00 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers v Shanghai Shenhua
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.75
Lose
-50
Shanghai Shenhua have averaged 2.5 goals per game on their own so far this season, netting 25 in their 10 matches. Tianjin have seen over this spread in 3 of their last 4, including their 2-1 win at Henan last time out on the road.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
The last 4 h2h matches between Tianjin and Shanghai all saw both teams score in them, all of which were in 2022 or 2023. The hosts have seen 4 of their last 6 see btts and Shanghai have netted in 17 of their last 20 on the road.
12:00 Trelleborgs FF v Utsiktens BK
Draw
50 WIN
@3.40
Win
120
Utsiktens have started well with 11pts from 6 but they aren't always the best travellers. Trelleborgs have 7pts and have improved their defence of late, conceding just 3 in 5. Evenly matched outfits and the draw is the most sensible play.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Trelleborgs' last 5 matches have seen scorelines of 1-0 x4 and one 1-1 draw, all ending with under 2.5 goals. It makes the 11/10 on offer for unders here appealing. Utsiktens have failed to score in 6 of their last 9 away matches too.
Subtotal-882
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