colsinit4fun
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
colsinit4fun's Tips History
02 May 2024
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
Vital Island
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Coko Beach is the class act and clearly sets the standard here. However, he has yet to win at this trip though his 3 attempts have been in the Grand National. He has run in that race for the last 3 years and he usually re-appears at Limerick the following October. It is only 19 days since he ran at Aintree so at the odds I would rather look elsewhere. Enda Bolger has won this 14 times in the past so Birchdale is respected though he has yet to prove he stays this far. This is often won by a veteran with a 14yo and 15yo winning in the past 10 years. Vital Island won this last year and comes here relatively fresh. He has plenty of experience of this track and his jockey knows him. At around 20/1, he rates a sporting each way bet.
16:02 4:02 Ayr
Vellner
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@5.50
Win
450
An extremely modest and disappointing bunch but the one that jumps out is Vellner. His trainer has only ever sent two horses to Ayr, one won & the other was 2nd. He showed some decent form in his earlier days in Ireland before joining his current yard. He has tried a variety of distance in his last 6 runs from 8f to 12f but his best recent run was 2 starts back over 8f at Kempton when a 4l 5th. Last time over 10f on soft ground at Doncaster he weakened out of it in the final 2f so a return to 8f should suit. With only 6 runners and an experienced rider back on board, he should be able to sit where he wants and at around 9/2 in such a poor race, is a sporting bet.
15:27 3:27 Ayr
Sycamore Gap
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-100
This looks an ideal opportunity for Sycamore Gap to finally get off the mark. This ex-Godolphin inmate cost 200,000 guineas as a yearling although he didn’t see the track for them. He was backed in to favourite on course debut in a 2m NHF on turf at Newcastle where he travelled strongly until 3f out so we know the ground is fine. Has since had 5 runs on the AW with the 2nd of which he was noted making good late headway through the final furlong to be nearest at the finish over 8f. Eventually upped to 9.5f at Wolves last time, he again travelled strongly out the back in a race run at a crawl so was never going to land a blow on top of which he was very weak in the market, 9/1 from 9/2. That was his handicap debut and he has been dropped 1lb for that. Hollie now takes the mount and with a likely decent pace on here and a small field, she should be able to get a clear run and is likely to be staying on strongly at the finish. At around 10/3, he is the Nap of the day.
Subtotal300
01 May 2024
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
William Munny
Daily Racing
Willie Mullins always plays a strong hand in this but when Barry Connell tells you he has the best bumper horse in Ireland, you take notice! William Munny travelled on the bit last time out at Naas but showed an excellent turn of foot when asked to win his race. He has been freshened up with a 2 month break since then and this was always his target. Remembering how much his trainer talked up Our Conor back inn 2013, at around 4/1, he looks excellent value.
15:50 3:50 Pontefract
Stately Home
Daily Racing
Races over this CD favour low drawn runners and preferably front runners. The one to take the eye is Shaun Lycett’s Stately Home who is nicely drawn in stall 2. He can race with the pace and with Garden Oasis making his seasonal re-appearance, Clifford Lee should be able to jump out and get to the inside rail. Lee comes here for only 2 rides and is in a rich vein of form with a 27% strike rate in the past 14 days. Stately Home has been kept busy on the AW this Winter before a fair 4th at Windsor 2 weeks ago. He has won on his only visit to the track (CD) and at around 3/1, is fancied to make virtually all the running.
15:25 3:25 Ascot
Woolhampton
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 3.75 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.
@4.50
Win
175
Woolhampton sets the standard on RPRs and that is before the 7lb claim of Oliver Searle who knows her well. She was an eyecatcher on re-appearance when given too much to do over 6f at Wolverhampton from her wide draw, staying on well to be nearest at the finish. In addition, her usual blinkers were left off last time but are back on today. She has run 3 times over CD and has yet to be out of the first 3. She should get an even pace to aim at and drawn against the stand rail, she should be staying on strongly at the finish. At around 11/4 she is the Nap of the day.
15:05 3:05 Punchestown
Answer To Kayf
Daily Racing
Despite being an 8yo, Answer To Kayf has only had 7 races under Rules. This race was named as his target immediately after landing an Incentive race for this series at Naas in February. He recorded his best RPR last time out when 4th in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham and has been kept fresh for this since then. He goes very well for today’s rider who also takes off a valuable 7lb making him clear top rated on RPRs. His best form has been on much softer ground but if he acts on this slightly better surface, he looks overpriced at around 11/4.
14:50 2:50 Ascot
Jasour
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
360
Jasour could do with the rain staying away as he is definitely better on a sound surface. That said, it is described as good to soft on the straight course with just the final furlong softening up. He was impressive when landing the Group 2 July Stakes at HQ last summer, quickening up from last place to win going away. Jim Crowley, who rode him, said that holding him up had been the making of him. He then was well beaten in 2 Group 1s in August and September. The first, he made the running on very soft ground at Deauville then pulled far too hard in the Middle Park so he had nothing left at the finish and he was allowed to come home in his own time. There should be a good pace on here which should allow him to settle and Jim Crowley is back on for the first time since his Newmarket win last July. Provided he doesn’t encounter traffic problems, he can be produced late to take this on the way the Commonwealth Cup back here at the Royal meeting. At around 12/1, he looks overpriced and is a sporting each way bet.
Subtotal385
30 April 2024
17:35 5:35 Yarmouth
Magnificent Match
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.50
Lose
-100
Magnificent Match would have been a most unlucky loser over CD last time having had to wait until the final furlong before seeing daylight. He got up on the line so a 3lb rise is more than fair. He was thought enough of to make his debut in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot at 2 years where unsurprisingly he was well beaten. Had 3 runs on the AW in the Winter where he showed a consistent level of form followed by a 3 month break before his last run. Clearly going the right way and providing he doesn’t meet travel problems again, is fancied to follow up. At around 7/2, he rates the Nap of the day.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown
Tullyhill
Daily Racing
100 EWNB
@7.50
Lose
-200
A fascinating renewal with at least 4 here with a solid claim. Interestingly, none of the last 10 winners ran at Aintree which puts a question mark against Mystical Power, Firefox and Ile Atlantique who all ran at Cheltenham as well. Clearly on Cheltenham form, Slade Steel is the form choice and he has plenty in hand on Tullyhill. However, Tullyhill was favourite for the Supreme at Cheltenham and Paul Townend was very disappointed with him and a different horse is expected today. Whether he didn’t travel well who knows but at around 13/2, Tullyhill is a solid each way bet.
14:45 2:40 Yarmouth
Miss Gitana
Daily Racing
50 EW
@6.50
Lose
-100
Makes her handicap debut today though on RPRs she has a tough opening mark. That said, she recorded her best RPR on debut last year at Beverley when keeping on under hands and heels to finish 4th. Had another 3 runs in the following 4 weeks in which she did not show anything remarkable. From a family that connections know well, her mother blossomed in the summer of her 3yo career. She has a choice of 2 entries on Thursday so with the yard making a brighter start to the season than is usual, she could be being primed for a successful summer. The yard has a very good strike rate here, with 2-7 (2 x 2nds), 1-7 (3 placed), 4-12 (2 x 2nds), 3-8 in the last 4 years. At around 8/1, she is worth an each way interest before possible turning out again in 2 days time. One to keep an eye on.
Subtotal-400
29 April 2024
19:09 7:09 Windsor
Pique
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-100
Comes from a good family and she is a half-sister to no less than 9 winners. She is still owned by the Cumani’s and Fittocks Stud and she looks to have been found a good winning opportunity on handicap debut. She stepped up to 9.5f on re-appearance and having raced in rear, she was noted making promising late headway to be closest at the line. She will be suited by this further step up in trip to 11.5f and she looks to be in with a generous opening handicap mark. There should be a good even pace here and she will be fine on the easier ground. At around 11/4, she is the one to be on.
16:25 4:25 Ayr
Tip Top Tank
Daily Racing
50 EW
@7.00
Lose
-100
A modest Class 6 handicap with the eye drawn to the Tim Easterby trained Tip Top Tank. He has only had 5 runs but noticeably he made his debut in a Class 3 Novice at York last October. While he was unsurprisingly outclassed in that event, he must have shown something to start off in that grade. His best run to date was 2 runs back when he was a staying on runner up at Newcastle on his only other run at this trip of 5f. He was bumped at the start that day so he may have well have won with a clear run. He was again bumped at the start at Newcastle last time and while he was able to race in behind the front rank, that was over 6f and he weakened from 1f out. Back to the minimum on turf, and with a first time tongue tie and cheek pieces and David Allen back on board, at around 6/1, he rates a solid each way bet.
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15:50 3:50 Ayr
Cues Beau
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@9.50
Win
510
Ed Dunlop doesn’t send horses here often with 1 win and 3 placed from 4 runners in the past 5 years. Cues Beau won on her 4th attempt last season in May but didn’t see the track again until Kempton at the end of January. She ran to similar RPRs in her first 2 runs this year at Kempton before a disappointing run over 8f at Chelmsford last time. She raced out the back and while she made headway approaching the final furlong she weakened on the run to home without being given a hard time. She has dropped 5lb for her 3 defeats this year and on her best form sets a clear standard here. Most in this field race out the back so if reproducing her run style when winning at Nottingham, she can lie handy and she can maintain he unbeaten record on turf. At around 17/2, she looks a solid each way bet.
14:00 2:00 Southwell
Torvar
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@12.00
Lose
-100
Cloud King didn’t get a clear run at all when scoring over CD a month ago but is raised 12lb for that win. Also, that was a 0-60 Class 6 and he is now in a 0-75 Class 5. He should give a good account but I would rather take him on at the price. Torvar has won 3 on the AW, all over 5f so he will appreciate the drop back in trip. His last 2 were over 6f at Lingfield, going around a bend which didn’t seem to suit him. He should appreciate the straight 5F here and drops to a 0-75 after his last 3 in 0-78, 0-80 & 0-85. While Front Gunner is likely to make the pace, Torvar can race prominently so with stall 1, Danny can jump him out with the pace and he could take some pegging back. At around 11/1, he looks well worth an each way interest for the first 2 and is a sporting Nap of the day.
Subtotal210
28 April 2024
16:05 4:05 Wetherby
Gemini Star
Daily Racing
50 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@8.50
Void
0
Not a race to go mad with but Gemini Star is lightly raced and may still have improvement in her and should be in better shape after her re-appearance. She ducked right at the start and was always in rear in a race where it paid to race prominently so she was always up against it. It often pays to be drawn wide here over CD so she is nicely drawn in stall 9. She acts on testing ground and this intermediate trip should suit. At around 9/1, she is worth an each way interest.
14:20 2:20 Bath
Sarahs Verse
Daily Racing
50 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@8.50
Win
25
A modest handicap but a few in with chances. However, the ability to handle the testing ground will be key. Sarah’s Verse had tumbled down the weights through last season and started this term on a very good mark. Even with a 4lb rise for her last win, she remains well treated and with Hollie retaining the mount and testing ground again, she rates a sporting each way Nap of the day at around 7/1.
Subtotal25
27 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Sandown
Annual Invictus
Daily Racing
50 EWNAPNOTENon RunnerBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOGNR
@21.00
Win
150
Plenty in with a shout here but preference is for the Chris Gordon trained Annual Invictus. He comes here relatively fresh having looked to swerve the soft ground this Winter. That said, he has taken the same route as he did last year when he finished in 6th place in this race. Last year, he finished 8th in the Kim Muir before coming here where he jumped well and was going well until he was bumped jumping the 3rd last down the back and lost his pitch. He stayed on again up the hill to finish a respectable 16.5l behind Kittys Light. He again ran in the Kim Muir on soft ground this year where he was travelling well until badly hampered by a faller and lost his place jumping the 2nd last down the back. Well back in last approaching the 2nd last, he kept on nicely to finish in 7th place albeit beaten 33l. Granted better luck in running this time and back on better ground, he can get compensation for a yard that has had a difficult season. At around 16/1, he rates a sporting each way Nap of the day.
15:00 3:00 Sandown
Jonbon
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@3.00
Win
200
A fascinating re-match between El Fabiolo and Jonbon after the damp squib of Cheltenham. El Fabiolo has always seemed to make an error somewhere in his races and those daft enough to have taken such short odds at Cheltenham were put out of their misery at the 5th. While there is no denying that if he puts in a slick round of jumping he is the one to beat, I can’t have him at odds on. To be fair, Jonbon is also not the slickest of jumpers but he has won 3 times around here and he landed this after scoring at Aintree last year. With the Henderson team back in decent form, at around 2/1, Jonbon is the one to be on.
14:25 2:25 Sandown
The Real Whacker
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-100
A few of these have questions to answer, Hitman has only won 1 of his last 15 and doesn’t always look the most enthusiastic at the business end. Al Dancer and Ga Law have done well in good handicaps this season but look a bit out of their depth in this class. The Real Whacker could not dominate the way he wanted in the Gold Cup and this is a little easier. He should be able to set fractions today and at around 3/1, he looks the one to be on.
Subtotal250
26 April 2024
15:50 3:50 Perth
Readysteadybeau
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@5.00
Lose
-100
Chasing Fire is likely to go ff favourite here as he steps up to 3m for the first time. However, he has issues with his jumping and has more of a Flat racing pedigree so just how he copes with 3m on softer ground remains to be seen and I have to look elsewhere. Geryville returned to form last time over an inadequate trip and will be suited by the return to 3m. However, that was his first win in 13 runs and id overlooked. Readysteadybeau is well thought of as a staying chaser but his best form has been racing up with the pace which he did not do last time out. That was off a 54 day break and he has been off for another 83 days so comes here a fresh horse. If he can get into a rhythm on the front end, he could take all the catching and at around 4/1, rates the value bet.
15:15 3:15 Perth
Artic Row
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.50
Lose
-100
Arctic Row has been nicely progressive in Chases this season and despite a 9lb rise for his last win is fancied to land the hat-trick. There should be plenty of pace on and this strong traveller can sit out the back and pounce late on. He goes well for Sean Quinlan and while he may not want the ground too testing, he should be ok today. There is stamina on the dam’s side of his pedigree and being by Yeats, this step up to 3m should suit. At around 6/1, he rates a sporting Nap of the day.
13:15 1:15 Sandown
Hedge Fund
Daily Racing
50 EW
@6.50
Win
5
It will be interesting to see how the draw pans out this season as the bias seemed to have reverted to low numbers again last season. If that is the case, then Hedge Fund is perfectly placed in stall 2 and if his re-appearance blew away the cobwebs, he could take some catching on the far rail. He has plenty of early speed and today’s better ground should suit. He stepped up to Listed company on his last run last season over 5.5f at Deauville before fading in the final 110yds. The yard has had 5-23 so far this season and he can land this before stepping up in grade. At around 11/2, he looks a solid each way bet.
Subtotal-195
25 April 2024
18:45 6:45 Huntingdon
Quaresome
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@7.00
Lose
-100
Call The Dance should go well on handicap debut but her opening mark is not particularly generous based on her RPRs. Oslo has had a pipe opener on the AW at Kempton and was unlucky in that he met all sorts of trouble through the final furlong. However, he has raced 41 times under Rules and lacks the scope of others here. The one that takes the eye is McCain’s Quaresome. He tends to have breaks between races so maybe is not the easiest to keep sound. He comes here on the back of a 62 day break and sets the clear standard on RPRs on top of which his ride takes off a useful 7lb. He probably found the ground too soft in his last 3 and will be suited by the better ground here. At around 6/1, he looks a solid each way bet.
16:45 4:45 Perth
Secret Trix
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-100
Secret Trix won on re-appearance last month after 153 day break racing on soft ground after his progressive form last summer on good ground so he clearly looks to act on any ground from good through to heavy. He usually races out the back so with 2 likely make it here, he should get the race run to suit. Sean Bowen is still looking to push Cobden for the Jockeys Title and at around 9/4, he looks the value bet.
16:35 4:35 Huntingdon
Dunworley
Daily Racing
50 EW
@26.00
Lose
-100
A chance is taken here with one of the outsiders in Dunworley. He made his Rules debut in a Hunter Chase over CD last May finishing a fair 2nd. He has had 2 runs this season, the first on ground too soft and the second over a trip way too short for him. He will be suited by the return to this CD and if able to reproduce the RPR recorded last May then he looks well handicapped today. He has been nibbled at early doors at some fancy prices so it’s reasonable to assume that this has been the plan all along. At around 25/1, he rates a sporting each way chance.
16:10 4:10 Perth
A Different Kind
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-100
This looks to be between the 2 at the head of the market with preference for the McCain trained A Different Kind. He comes here off a 227 day break but does have a good record fresh. He should be able to set his own fractions and if getting into a rhythm, could take a deal of catching. Sure Touch has been nicely progressive and looks to act on any ground. He is sure to give a good account but if the selection gets a soft lead Sure Touch may find himself with too much to do. At around 2/1, A Different Kind is the one to be on.
15:35 3:35 Perth
Bingoo
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@10.00
Win
40
There should be plenty of pace on here with Rafferty’s Return and Choose A Copper likely to take each other on for the lead. That could set this up for a closer and Bingoo fits the bill. He was pulled up in the Martin Pipe last time after stumbling badly after jumping 3 out and landing awkwardly 2 out. Prior to that, was never sighted in the Class 2 Morebattle at Kelso and now drops back to a Class 3, has Charlotte Jones back on board and he has been dropped 3lb. The last 2 runs were in big fields and he will be better suited by today’s smaller field. He can sit out the back before being brought with a late run. This lightly raced 8yo has won in April for each of the last 2 years and at around 9/1, looks overpriced and rates the Nap of the day.
Subtotal-360
24 April 2024
16:42 4:42 Taunton
Roger Pol
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-100
A handful in here with a shout but I keep coming back to Roger Pol. Landed his maiden at Fakenham in November before finishing 2nd in a Class 3 handicap at Ascot over slightly further than this. Not disgraced under a penalty in a novice at Leicester before facing a stiff task last time in the EBF Final at Sandown on very testing ground. Has been given plenty of time to recover from that and will be better suited by today’s Spring ground. At around 9/4, he is the one to be on.
16:37 4:37 Ludlow
Luna Run
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-100
A modest mares handicap but the one to take the eye is Evan Williams mare Luna Run. She made a promising debut at Exeter on good ground a year ago under a hands and heels ride from Adam Wedge. She was then off the track until January when she had 2 runs in 3 weeks. The former, she probably needed the run and the latter, the ground was probably too soft. She made her handicap debut at Fontwell on heavy ground 5 weeks ago. She looked ill at ease on that ground and will much prefer today’s better ground and the return to this trip. Dropped 3lb for that last run and with Issie taking 3lbs off on her only ride of the day, at around 8/1, she looks solid each way value and rates a sporting each way Nap of the day.
15:59 3:59 Uttoxeter
Its Maisy
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@2.10
Win
110
It’s Maisy comes here in top form having run consistently in her last 3 over similar trip and ground. William Maggs takes off a valuable 3lb and he is 3-10 for the yard this season. Raised 3lb for her last run when a close 2nd, she at least is in good form which you can’t say about any of her rivals. Ebendi looks to be best suited by better ground and while Sandy Brook looks very well handicapped on form from December 2021, his well being has to be taken on trust after a 120 day break. To be honest, I would have expected It’s Maisy to be odds on so at around 11/10, she looks a value bet.
15:35 3:35 Ludlow
Of Course You Can
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@6.00
Lose
-100
Of Course You Can makes her handicap debut here and sets a clear standard on RPRs even before her rider’s 5lb claim. Her best form has been on a sound surface which she gets again today. From the family of Gold Cup winner Long Run, she should be well suited by this step up in trip and back on a sound surface off a generous opening mark, she looks the value bet.
Subtotal-190
23 April 2024
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Another Angel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
A tight and modest handicap but at the odds, Another Angel appeals as a sporting each way bet. It pays to be drawn low here and especially when racing with the pace so he is well drawn in stall 1. In addition, Mark Winn is back on board and he has 1 win and 2 x close 2nds on him, all over CD. At around 20/1, he is worth a small each way bet.
17:15 5:15 Southwell
Nordic Tiger
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 23/04 at 08:290.15 deduction for Intimate@6.00 withdrawn at 10:330.00 deduction for Captains Pick @17.000 withdrawn at 12:11R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.15) = 4.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.40 BOG
@4.50
Win
350
Nordic Tiger has to be the selection here on stats alone! He landed 2 handicap hurdles within a week at the beginning of Feb and probably found the ground too soft when seeking a hat-trick at Plumpton last time. When landing his first win, trainer Harry Derham stated he would be better with Spring ground which he should get today and he is proven at the trip. The yard is in good form with a 29% strike rate in the past fortnight and are 2-2 at the track this season. In addition, Alice Stevens retains the ride and she is 6-18 (33%) for the yard this season. There should be a good pace on here which he had when winning at Wincanton and he should be able to sit in behind the leaders. With Alice taking 5lbs off, he sets the standard on RPRs and at around 9/2, is the one to be on.
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16:05 4:05 Southwell
Rialannah
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.75
Lose
-100
A few of these may have more improvement to come but Sue Smith’s Rialannah showed a good willingness when runner up to an Irish raider at Market Rasen 3 weeks ago. She was staying on nicely up the home straight after being ridden leaving the back straight and stuck to her guns all the way to the line. She made a promising hurdling debut at Huntingdon in January before 2 below par runs but they were both on soft ground and she was back on drying ground last time. She sets the standard on RPRs and is well suited by the step back up in trip. The likely favourite, The Lord Maid has only run on testing ground in Ireland and was said to love the heavy ground last time. It remains to be seen how she copes with this quicker ground. At around 15/4, Rialannah rates the Nap of the day.
Subtotal200
22 April 2024
16:15 4:15 Ffos Las
Hugueneau
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@15.00
Win
90
The Big Man
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@23.00
Lose
-50
The Big Man makes his handicap debut here and could have got in with a lenient mark judged on his first run over hurdles. That was in a useful Class 3 novice at Newbury and after a patient ride was noted making headway approaching 3 out. Still on the tails of the leaders, including now 129 rated Making Headway as they approached the final flight, he weakened on the run in. Then upped to 19.5 F and 21.5F, he raced in rear in both and was never sighted. An opening mark of just 83, looks generous and useful conditional James Turner takes off another 7lb, he could be thrown in if that run against Making Headway is taken literally. A number of these have questions to answer so this lightly raced 5yo, makes a lot of appeal at around 22/1 and is worthy of a small interest.
15:48 3:48 Kempton
Bhaloo
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.00
Win
200
This looks to lie between the 2 at the head of the market. Classic King finished ahead of Bhaloo behind Queens Gamble here over 2m in November. Bhaloo is fancied to get his revenge today as the yard were going through their well documented nightmare winter. In addition, Bhaloo lost his pitch jumping the last down the back straight but he stayed on again at the finish to finish 3l behind today’s likely favourite. With the yard back in form and with Nico back on board and over this longer trip, he looks overpriced at around 2/1 and is the one to be on.
14:42 2:42 Ffos Las
Ballinsker
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@21.00
Win
1200
2 last time out winners dominate the market but I’m not sure that the drying ground will suit either. Bonza Boy has won his last 2 comfortably but it’s difficult to gauge the value of the form of either race on top of which he has gone up 18lb for those 2 wins. Pilgrims King has won 2 of his last 3 but they were in Class 5’s and he was beaten in this class in between. The one that takes the eye is Evan Willims’ Ballinsker. He was pulled up last time over 3m1f on soft ground after a 3 month break and shouldl strip fitter today. He has won in April in each of the last 2 years and his record does suggest he prefers Spring ground which he gets today. Eleanor Williams has ridden him in his last 3 but regular rider Issie is back on board today. He likes to force the pace which he should be able to do today The yard’s fancied runners are generally running to form so at around 20/1, he rates a sporting each way Nap of the day.
14:00 2:00 Hexham
Tedtwo
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.50
Win
250
This course favours front runners, especially over the minimum trip and this should set up nicely for Tedtwo. He has 2 wins and 2 x 2nds in 4 runs this season and last time, raced enthusiastically to make all at Sedgefield and he should be able to dictate the pace here. Likely favourite, Joker De Mai has been disappointing for me in his last 3 and he does have a habit of racing a tad keenly. In addition, he drops in trip and with the selection likely to make the pace, he may find himself too far out of his ground. At around 5/2, Tedtwo looks the value bet.
Subtotal1690
21 April 2024
15:55 3:55 Stratford
Raise Your Glass
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@6.00
Lose
-100
Raise Your Glass has been progressive in her last 2 runs, the latter being over CD 6 weeks ago. That was on heavy ground and her short, scratchy action suggests she may well be suited by today’s better ground. She makes her handicap debut here and not being the biggest will enjoy her feather weight today. The yard have a very useful strike rate with handicap debutants (4-9, 44%) and with Lilly Pinchin up, 4-5! With Lilly up again and she has been on board for the last 2 runs, at around 5/1, she looks a solid each way bet.
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15:23 3:23 Stratford
Avada Kedavra
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@2.62
Lose
-100
This looks an ideal opportunity for Avada Kedvara to land his first win. Has been off for 99 days and has had a wind op since his last run. The problems for the Henderson yard have been well documented and with the yard coming back to form, the wind op, the break and making his handicap debut, he could be off a reasonable opening mark. He should be well up to landing this and rates the Nap of the day.
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15:02 3:02 Wincanton
Im Ravenous
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-100
Likely favourite Golden Move was best on an easier surface on the Flat, so while he will improve for his hurdle debut, I’m not convinced the quicker ground will suit. Conversely, I’m Ravenous is likely to enjoy the better ground and after a promising re-appearance after 11 months off, he should be primed for this. He was making headway into 4th when he hit 2 out and should strip fitter here. He sets the standard on RPRs and at around 3/1, he looks the value bet.
13:40 1:40 Stratford
Diamond Twin
Daily Racing
50 EW
@9.50
Lose
-100
Diamond Twin has stamina in his pedigree and is still lightly raced. He showed improved form when stepping up to 2m 3f in a maiden at Warwick and recorded a similar level of form on handicap debut at Market Rasen. He dropped out quickly from 2 out and was quickly pulled up with a reported respiratory problem. Has had 136 days off, missing the winter ground and while he has not had a wind op, Skelton knows what he is doing and while the Trainers title looks to have slipped away, he is sure to be coming here to add to his tally and he is the yard’s only runner of the day. At around 8/1, he looks worth an each way bet.
Subtotal-400
20 April 2024
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Git Maker
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-100
A competitive renewal as always but I keep coming back to the potential favourite, Git Maker. He comes here after just 3 runs this season the first of which came after a break after a back injury which kept him off the course for about 10 months. He has always been talked about as staying chaser and various Nationals were mentioned as targets. Was the only one to give the favourite a run in the Kim Muir and he finished 18l clear of the 3rd. He has only gone up 1lb for that and without the winner that day he would have been an 18l scorer. Sure to be suited by conditions today, he looks the Nap of the day at around 6/1.
14:25 2:25 Ayr
First Street
Daily Racing
50 EW
@9.00
Lose
-100
First Street was well beaten in this last year but this time around he comes here a fresh horse having been absent since end of January and he had a wind op 3 days after his last run. The yard is coming back to form after a nightmare winter and they have a useful 23% strike rate after a wind op. At around 8/1, he looks a solid each way bet.
13:15 1:15 Ayr
Persian Time
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@6.50
Lose
-100
This looks likely to be run at a good clip and could well play into the hands of a closer. Traprain Law has won twice here but his jumping has not looked great the last twice and with other front runners, his jumping will need to be better. Sans Bruit jumped well when making all to land a competitive handicap at Aintree but that was only 9 days ago and likely to have been his target so I can’t help thinking that this is an afterthought. Uncle Phil comes here fresh but he is another front runner and his handicap mark looks a bit harsh. Persian Time comes here fairly fresh and with the Henderson yard coming back to form and with a good pace to aim at, he should get the race run to suit. At around 6/1, he rates the value bet.
Subtotal-300
19 April 2024
17:30 5:30 Exeter
Paddy In The Caddy
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-100
Paddy In The Caddy scored on handicap debut last time, proving suited by some better Spring ground. He has only been raised 4lb for that win and with a reasonable pace likely, he should get the race run to suit. Likely favourite, Soir De Gala has shown improved form in his last 2 starts but is 14lb higher than his win last time out. At around 5/1, Paddy In The Caddy is the value bet.
15:55 3:55 Ayr
Royal Mer
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@3.75
Lose
-100
Royal Mer is in the form of his life and comes here seeking a 4-timer. He has improved by around 25lb in his last 3 runs and can defy a 7lb penalty. This ex French horse jumps very well and he should get a good pace to aim at. Jack Tudor has ridden him in his last 2 races and he comes here for just 2 rides. 2m on soft ground suits him well and at around 11/4, he is the value bet.
15:20 3:20 Ayr
Fostersisland
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@34.00
Win
280
Doddiethegreat is short enough although he certainly has a chance on his best form and the yard look to be returning to form. Theformismighty looks on a fair opening mark and on his 2nd run after a wind op is also sure to go well. The one to take the eye for me is Foster’sisland who has 2 wins and a 2nd from 3 runs here. He too comes here on his 2nd run after a wind op and is now 1lb below his last winning mark just over a year ago. He ran with credit last time in a Class 2 at Kelso with the form franked by the 2nd Brewinupastorm landing a Grade 2 in Ireland. Regular rider Emma takes off 3lb which puts him well in the mix. At his favourite course, he looks a sporting each way Nap of the day at around 28/1.
13:50 1:50 Ayr
Shakeyatailfeather
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-100
The 2 Irish raiders bring the best form on RPRs to this but both have disappointed in their last 2 runs. Innatendue’s 2nd at Cheltenham in November would give her a strong chance but with under-par runs the last twice and the yard only 1-22 in the past 14 days, has questions to answer. Lily Du Berlais contested graded races in her first 2 hurdle outings and ran to a good level of form. She was then pulled up at Fairyhouse a year ago and was well beaten at 8/15 at Catterick after a 332 day break. From another yard struggling for form, she also has something to prove. Shakeyatailfeather has a bit to find on RPRs but has shown much better form since joining this yard. She was making headway when brought down 4 out at Doncaster in March then improved again to finish 2nd to Wyenot at Kempton when the CD looked too sharp. That winner franked the form at Cheltenham yesterday and with Skelton chasing the Trainers title, they will be going all out with this one. At around 7/4, she is the one to be on.
Subtotal-20
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